Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 6, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Celtics			107	105.9	101	100.9
		Hornets			92	92.0	100	100.1

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+14

-14

101

CHA

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.06 53.0%

CHA

0.94 46.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 26	27.6	14	58%	3	5	2	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 26	24.1	8	57%	6	3	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	21.9	6	60%	7	0	2	0	0	3	2	5	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	20.4	15	68%	1	5	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 30	19.4	13	59%	8	3	0	1	1	2	0	8	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%

Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	21.7	12	46%	5	0	1	0	2	2	1	4	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.5	14	78%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 23	19.6	8	50%	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	16.6	5	63%	6	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 27	16.2	2	20%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	10.9	5	50%	2	1	0	0	3	6	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 23	9.9	3	50%	0	2	1	0	2	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22	5.8	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	4.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	\| DND - Left Hip Flexor Strain
Ben Bentil F · 6'9" 235 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damion Lee G · 6'6" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Georges-Hunt G · 6'5" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Jones F · 6'7" 220 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	49	21	9	3	14	0	9	40	13-19	68%	26-56	46%	14-32	44%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 26	27.6	14	58%	3	5	2	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 26	24.1	8	57%	6	3	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	21.9	6	60%	7	0	2	0	0	3	2	5	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	20.4	15	68%	1	5	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 30	19.4	13	59%	8	3	0	1	1	2	0	8	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%

Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	21.7	12	46%	5	0	1	0	2	2	1	4	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.5	14	78%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 23	19.6	8	50%	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	16.6	5	63%	6	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 27	16.2	2	20%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	10.9	5	50%	2	1	0	0	3	6	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 23	9.9	3	50%	0	2	1	0	2	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22	5.8	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	4.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	\| DND - Left Hip Flexor Strain
Ben Bentil F · 6'9" 235 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damion Lee G · 6'6" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Georges-Hunt G · 6'5" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Jones F · 6'7" 220 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	49	21	9	3	14	0	9	40	13-19	68%	26-56	46%	14-32	44%

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Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist F · 6'7" 232 · 23	23.6	7	32%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 30	23.1	9	50%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum G · 6'7" 230 · 28	23.1	8	36%	1	2	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-6	33%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 30	21.1	2	25%	5	0	1	0	1	5	3	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 26	8.8	4	50%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 30	24.3	11	50%	2	3	1	0	2	4	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Frank Kaminsky F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24	23.4	10	56%	6	1	0	1	0	2	0	6	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jeremy Lamb G · 6'5" 185 · 24	22.9	16	67%	10	4	0	1	1	3	1	9	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28	19.3	6	43%	2	6	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31	17.3	9	64%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Christian Wood F · 6'9" 214 · 21	9.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Treveon Graham G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23	9.1	8	80%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Aaron Harrison G · 6'6" 210 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Roberts G · 6'1" 173 · 31	\| DND - Left Hamstring
Mike Tobey C · 7'0" 260 · 22	\| DND - Left Hamstring
Cody Zeller C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24	\| DND - Right Knee
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	225	92	47%	41	24	5	3	15	0	6	35	12-16	75%	31-60	52%	6-27	22%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.06 53.0%

CHA

0.94 46.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

64%

CHA

63%

Midrange

BOS

35%

CHA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

21.0

44%

66%

CHA

9.0

22%

33%

Free Throws

BOS

68%

CHA

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Bradley	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Rozier	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Horford	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Brown	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Crowder	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Smart	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Young	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Jerebko	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Hunter	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Zeller	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Mickey	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Lamb	16	67%	8.0 / 12
R. Sessions	11	50%	5.5 / 11
F. Kaminsky	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Williams	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Belinelli	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Batum	8	36%	4.0 / 11
T. Graham	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Kidd-Gilchrist	7	32%	3.5 / 11
S. Hawes	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Walker	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Hibbert	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Wood	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 102.9 34 91.5	BOS 105.9 +13.9 CHA 92.0
Pace	9 102.0 22 98.9	BOS 100.9 +0.9 CHA 100.1
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 15 14.5	BOS 14.3 −0.1 CHA 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 51.5% 35 41.8%	BOS 53.4% +7.4% CHA 46.0%
TO %	14 16.8% 6 15.0%	BOS 15.0% CHA 13.8% −1.2%
ORB %	27 20.9% 25 20.9%	BOS 20.5% +7.5% CHA 13.0%
FTrt	25 28.2 11 32.8	BOS 21.6 +3.2 CHA 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.0% 17 59.1%	BOS 52.5% CHA 64.9% +12.4%
STL %	12 9.7% 29 7.1%	BOS 8.9% +3.9% CHA 5.0%
BLK %	20 7.6% 14 8.5%	BOS 5.0% CHA 5.4% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 53.5% 35 46.1%	BOS 53.0% +6.1% CHA 46.9%
Rim FG%	13 59.5% 23 57.2%	BOS 63.6% +0.6% CHA 63.0%
Mid FG%	2 43.5% 29 34.1%	BOS 35.3% CHA 42.4% +7.1%
3P %	19 34.3% 34 23.5%	BOS 43.8% +21.6% CHA 22.2%
FT %	26 72.6% 7 77.7%	BOS 68.4% CHA 75.0% +6.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 32.8% 25 31.7%	BOS 25.0% CHA 31.0% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	12 32.4% 30 37.9%	BOS 38.6% CHA 37.9% −0.7%
3P Att. %	8 34.8% 17 30.4%	BOS 36.4% +5.3% CHA 31.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	CHA
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	107	92
Rebounds	49	41
Assists	21	24
Steals	9	5
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (3)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	40-88	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	17-27
Midrange FG	12-34	14-33
2-Point FG	26-56	31-60
3-Point FG	14-32	6-27
Free Throws	13-19	12-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg