Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 6, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Kings			96	93.2	103	104.2
		Warriors			105	101.9	103	102.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-21

GSW

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.01 50.5%

GSW

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 26	20.6	20	91%	6	2	4	1	3	4	0	6	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	2-4	50%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	20.6	7	88%	1	3	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	17.3	4	40%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	15.7	3	21%	4	3	1	1	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-2	50%
Kosta Koufos F · 7'0" 265 · 28	13.4	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	24.2	10	38%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 31	21.1	7	58%	4	2	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	20.8	12	46%	8	4	4	0	1	3	2	6	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	3-5	60%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 30	20.6	13	54%	5	5	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-4	75%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	20.1	2	20%	2	0	2	0	1	4	1	1	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Skal Labissière F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	10.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 30	9.7	4	50%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	8.9	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Lamar Patterson G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25	7.7	5	83%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	5-6	83%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Georgios Papagiannis C · 7'1" 240 · 19	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Cousins G · 6'4" 191 · 23	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	51%	43	24	17	2	21	0	10	33	14-20	70%	23-57	40%	12-26	46%

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Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 26	20.6	20	91%	6	2	4	1	3	4	0	6	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	2-4	50%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	20.6	7	88%	1	3	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	17.3	4	40%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	15.7	3	21%	4	3	1	1	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-2	50%
Kosta Koufos F · 7'0" 265 · 28	13.4	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	3	2	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	24.2	10	38%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 31	21.1	7	58%	4	2	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	20.8	12	46%	8	4	4	0	1	3	2	6	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	3-5	60%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 30	20.6	13	54%	5	5	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-4	75%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	20.1	2	20%	2	0	2	0	1	4	1	1	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Skal Labissière F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	10.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 30	9.7	4	50%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	8.9	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Lamar Patterson G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25	7.7	5	83%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	5-6	83%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Georgios Papagiannis C · 7'1" 240 · 19	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Cousins G · 6'4" 191 · 23	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	51%	43	24	17	2	21	0	10	33	14-20	70%	23-57	40%	12-26	46%

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Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant F · 6'11" 240 · 28	26.4	25	96%	5	1	1	2	3	2	0	5	5-5	100%	4-5	80%	4-6	67%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 29	25.6	13	65%	2	5	4	1	4	1	0	2	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 27	25.4	9	56%	5	5	2	0	2	2	0	5	4-7	57%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 27	24.6	11	61%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 33	17.6	4	33%	6	3	0	0	2	3	1	5	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33	18.3	2	50%	3	1	0	0	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 26	17.1	16	89%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Patrick McCaw G · 6'7" 185 · 21	15.5	8	67%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 31	12.4	2	100%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 36	12.1	4	40%	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 24	10.5	5	50%	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 26	7.9	0	0%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 21	7.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 29	7.0	5	83%	4	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 34	4.5	0	0%	5	0	0	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Damian Jones C · 7'0" 245 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Elliot Williams G · 6'5" 190 · 27	\| DND - Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	232	105	58%	45	22	12	6	23	0	7	38	28-35	80%	16-35	46%	15-35	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.01 50.5%

GSW

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

52%

GSW

50%

Midrange

SAC

30%

GSW

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

46%

69%

GSW

22.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

SAC

70%

GSW

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Cousins	20	91%	10.0 / 11
G. Temple	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Barnes	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. McLemore	10	38%	5.0 / 13
T. Lawson	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Tolliver	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Koufos	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Patterson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Afflalo	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Farmar	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Richardson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Gay	3	21%	1.5 / 7
W. Cauley-Stein	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Labissière	0	-	0.0 / 2
I. Cousins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	25	96%	12.5 / 13
I. Clark	16	89%	8.0 / 9
S. Curry	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Thompson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Green	9	56%	4.5 / 8
P. McCaw	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. McAdoo	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. McGee	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Pachulia	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. West	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Iguodala	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Livingston	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Pressey	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Varejao	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 106.6 4 107.6	SAC 93.2 GSW 101.9 +8.7
Pace	12 100.9 5 103.2	SAC 104.2 +1.6 GSW 102.6
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 27 13.7	SAC 13.8 −0.2 GSW 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 56.4% 4 54.8%	SAC 49.4% GSW 55.0% +5.6%
TO %	32 20.5% 18 17.1%	SAC 19.3% −2.6% GSW 21.9%
ORB %	26 20.9% 28 20.3%	SAC 20.8% +3.3% GSW 17.5%
FTrt	15 32.2 13 32.5	SAC 24.1 GSW 50.0 +25.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.1% 4 68.5%	SAC 68.6% GSW 71.0% +2.4%
STL %	2 12.3% 9 10.2%	SAC 16.5% +4.8% GSW 11.7%
BLK %	18 8.1% 1 12.2%	SAC 5.7% GSW 10.5% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.9% 4 56.9%	SAC 50.5% GSW 58.3% +7.8%
Rim FG%	2 68.0% 3 66.7%	SAC 51.9% +1.9% GSW 50.0%
Mid FG%	13 39.2% 25 35.4%	SAC 30.0% GSW 42.1% +12.1%
3P %	4 42.9% 6 40.2%	SAC 46.2% +3.3% GSW 42.9%
FT %	5 78.7% 10 76.4%	SAC 70.0% GSW 80.0% +10.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.3% 31 29.1%	SAC 32.5% +9.7% GSW 22.9%
Mid Att. %	24 36.7% 7 29.8%	SAC 36.1% GSW 27.1% −9.0%
3P Att. %	24 27.0% 5 41.1%	SAC 31.3% GSW 50.0% +18.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	GSW
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.1
Points	96	105
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	24	22
Steals	17	12
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	23 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	38 (0)
Field Goals	35-83	31-70
At-the-Rim FG	14-27	8-16
Midrange FG	9-30	8-19
2-Point FG	23-57	16-35
3-Point FG	12-26	15-35
Free Throws	14-20	28-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg