Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 7, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			101	91.8	110	105.4
		Lakers			97	87.4	111	116.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+19

-18

111

LAL

+13

-18

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.89 44.7%

LAL

0.92 46.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton G · 6'6" 190 · 26	31.0	20	59%	3	2	2	0	0	2	0	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić F · 6'11" 284 · 22	28.9	8	40%	10	3	4	1	2	3	3	7	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	26.6	18	56%	14	2	4	1	6	2	5	9	8-9	89%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 29	25.4	15	54%	8	3	1	1	0	1	1	7	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	23.6	4	20%	1	6	0	0	4	2	0	1	0-1	0%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%

Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	31.6	16	44%	7	6	0	1	2	0	0	7	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	19.4	8	57%	6	1	1	0	0	5	2	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	15.6	2	25%	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 23	14.1	4	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	12.0	6	33%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Robbie Hummel F · 6'9" 219 · 28	8.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	3.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 22	\| DND - Right groin strain
Axel Toupane G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson F · 6'9" 207 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nate Wolters · 6'4" 190 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
D.J. Kennedy G-F · 6'5" 214 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	\| DND - Left knee surgery
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	45%	60	25	13	5	18	0	15	45	27-30	90%	28-69	41%	6-27	22%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton G · 6'6" 190 · 26	31.0	20	59%	3	2	2	0	0	2	0	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić F · 6'11" 284 · 22	28.9	8	40%	10	3	4	1	2	3	3	7	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	26.6	18	56%	14	2	4	1	6	2	5	9	8-9	89%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 29	25.4	15	54%	8	3	1	1	0	1	1	7	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	23.6	4	20%	1	6	0	0	4	2	0	1	0-1	0%	2-8	25%	0-2	0%

Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	31.6	16	44%	7	6	0	1	2	0	0	7	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	19.4	8	57%	6	1	1	0	0	5	2	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	15.6	2	25%	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 23	14.1	4	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	12.0	6	33%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Robbie Hummel F · 6'9" 219 · 28	8.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	3.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 22	\| DND - Right groin strain
Axel Toupane G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaKarr Sampson F · 6'9" 207 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nate Wolters · 6'4" 190 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
D.J. Kennedy G-F · 6'5" 214 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	\| DND - Left knee surgery
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	45%	60	25	13	5	18	0	15	45	27-30	90%	28-69	41%	6-27	22%

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Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D'Angelo Russell G · 6'3" 193 · 21	23.7	21	66%	4	5	1	0	4	1	0	4	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 30	21.6	10	56%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Julius Randle F · 6'9" 250 · 22	21.4	6	60%	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 30	20.6	4	29%	5	1	0	0	4	4	0	5	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 37	5.9	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 24	19.6	15	63%	2	2	4	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Larry Nance Jr. F-C · 6'6" 245 · 24	17.9	11	61%	5	0	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Brandon Ingram F · 6'8" 190 · 19	17.5	6	33%	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Anthony Brown F · 6'7" 224 · 24	17.1	2	20%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	12.9	6	60%	4	0	1	0	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Marcelo Huertas G · 6'3" 200 · 33	10.4	2	33%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Yi Jianlian F · 7'0" 250 · 29	9.8	3	21%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31	9.6	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 26	8.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 35	7.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Travis Wear F · 6'10" 225 · 26	5.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ivica Zubac C · 7'0" 240 · 20	3.3	2	50%	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	\| DND - Bruised left knee.
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	234	97	46%	47	21	12	3	18	0	8	39	13-22	59%	27-64	42%	10-30	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.89 44.7%

LAL

0.92 46.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

44%

LAL

54%

Midrange

DEN

33%

LAL

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9.0

22%

33%

LAL

15.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

90%

LAL

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Barton	20	59%	10.0 / 17
J. Nurkić	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Murray	16	44%	8.0 / 18
W. Chandler	15	54%	7.5 / 14
N. Jokić	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Hernangomez	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Beasley	6	33%	3.0 / 9
E. Mudiay	4	20%	2.0 / 10
J. Stokes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Nelson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Russell	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Clarkson	15	63%	7.5 / 12
L. Nance	11	61%	5.5 / 9
L. Williams	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Randle	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Ingram	6	33%	3.0 / 9
T. Black	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Young	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Mozgov	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Yi	3	21%	1.5 / 7
A. Brown	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Huertas	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Zubac	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. World Peace	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Calderon	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Wear	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 102.3 18 101.9	DEN 91.8 +4.4 LAL 87.4
Pace	14 100.6 7 102.7	DEN 105.4 LAL 116.1 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.2 24 13.9	DEN 13.7 LAL 12.4 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 47.3% 13 50.4%	DEN 38.5% LAL 44.7% +6.2%
TO %	23 17.4% 11 15.9%	DEN 14.8% LAL 14.8%
ORB %	4 29.0% 24 21.1%	DEN 27.8% +12.7% LAL 15.1%
FTrt	6 37.1 12 32.6	DEN 31.3 +7.9 LAL 23.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.5% 21 57.7%	DEN 73.5% +16.7% LAL 56.8%
STL %	26 7.9% 13 9.6%	DEN 11.8% +1.0% LAL 10.8%
BLK %	25 6.6% 27 6.1%	DEN 7.8% +3.5% LAL 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 50.8% 19 51.8%	DEN 44.7% LAL 46.2% +1.5%
Rim FG%	27 56.2% 10 60.2%	DEN 44.4% LAL 54.1% +9.7%
Mid FG%	18 37.6% 12 39.3%	DEN 33.3% +7.4% LAL 25.9%
3P %	32 28.3% 16 35.7%	DEN 22.2% LAL 33.3% +11.1%
FT %	21 73.2% 34 66.4%	DEN 90.0% +30.9% LAL 59.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 44.7% 30 29.7%	DEN 46.9% +7.5% LAL 39.4%
Mid Att. %	5 26.4% 20 36.4%	DEN 25.0% −3.7% LAL 28.7%
3P Att. %	19 28.9% 10 33.9%	DEN 28.1% LAL 31.9% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	110	111
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	101	97
Rebounds	60	47
Assists	25	21
Steals	13	12
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	45 (5)	39 (7)
Field Goals	34-96	37-94
At-the-Rim FG	20-45	20-37
Midrange FG	8-24	7-27
2-Point FG	28-69	27-64
3-Point FG	6-27	10-30
Free Throws	27-30	13-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg