Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Wizards			88	94.6	93	97.6
		Knicks			90	95.7	94	89.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	26.9	9	50%	6	1	2	0	1	3	3	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	26.7	17	57%	1	1	2	0	3	0	0	1	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Jason Smith F · 7'0" 240 · 31	21.8	4	25%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	15.6	8	44%	3	4	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	15.6	8	100%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23	26.2	10	71%	7	1	1	0	3	2	1	6	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	23.7	10	50%	7	1	3	0	6	3	2	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	18.3	7	50%	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	17.8	2	25%	5	2	0	1	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Casper Ware · 5'10" 175 · 27	14.6	8	57%	2	3	1	0	2	5	0	2	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 30	14.1	1	13%	5	1	1	1	2	4	1	4	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	12.0	4	50%	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 25	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DND - Sprained Left Foot
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	\| DND - Injured Thumb
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	\| DND -
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	48	15	12	5	21	0	15	33	13-17	76%	33-61	54%	3-21	14%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	26.9	9	50%	6	1	2	0	1	3	3	3	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	26.7	17	57%	1	1	2	0	3	0	0	1	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Jason Smith F · 7'0" 240 · 31	21.8	4	25%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	15.6	8	44%	3	4	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	15.6	8	100%	3	1	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23	26.2	10	71%	7	1	1	0	3	2	1	6	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	23.7	10	50%	7	1	3	0	6	3	2	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	18.3	7	50%	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	17.8	2	25%	5	2	0	1	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Casper Ware · 5'10" 175 · 27	14.6	8	57%	2	3	1	0	2	5	0	2	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 30	14.1	1	13%	5	1	1	1	2	4	1	4	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	12.0	4	50%	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 25	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DND - Sprained Left Foot
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	\| DND - Injured Thumb
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	\| DND -
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	48	15	12	5	21	0	15	33	13-17	76%	33-61	54%	3-21	14%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kristaps Porziņģis F · 7'2" 240 · 21	31.5	15	54%	6	2	0	2	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-6	17%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 27	26.3	11	46%	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	3-7	43%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 32	25.4	19	86%	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-5	80%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 31	22.7	3	38%	3	3	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Willy Hernangomez C · 6'11" 240 · 22	17.6	2	50%	3	3	0	1	5	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 28	22.9	11	39%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	2-10	20%	1-2	50%
Chasson Randle G · 6'2" 185 · 24	18.9	5	36%	3	1	1	0	3	5	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Marshall Plumlee C · 7'0" 250 · 24	18.3	6	75%	5	2	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Ron Baker G · 6'4" 220 · 24	16.2	8	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Maurice Ndour F · 6'9" 200 · 24	16.2	2	50%	3	1	3	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27	12.1	2	100%	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday G · 6'6" 185 · 28	6.4	2	20%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 33	5.5	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas · 6'9" 215 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 28	\| NWT -
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	41	20	11	4	20	0	13	28	9-11	82%	21-53	40%	13-30	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NYK

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.94 46.8%

NYK

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

19

32

59%

NYK

12

25

48%

Midrange

WAS

14

29

48%

NYK

9

28

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

3

4.5

21

14%

21%

NYK

13

19.5

30

43%

65%

Free Throws

WAS

13

17

76%

NYK

9

11

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. O'Bryant III	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Oubre	10	50%	5.0 / 10
O. Porter Jr.	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Wall	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Gortat	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Ware	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Nicholson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Smith	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. House	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Satoransky	2	25%	1.0 / 4
I. Mahinmi	1	13%	0.5 / 4
J. Eddie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	19	86%	9.5 / 11
K. Porziņģis	15	54%	7.5 / 14
B. Jennings	11	46%	5.5 / 12
L. Thomas	11	39%	5.5 / 14
R. Baker	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Plumlee	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Randle	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Vujacic	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Lee	3	38%	1.5 / 4
W. Hernangomez	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Ndour	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. O'Quinn	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Holiday	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 105.1 6 106.9	WAS 94.6 NYK 95.7 +1.1
Pace	28 98.0 10 101.8	WAS 97.6 +7.8 NYK 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.6 14 14.5	WAS 14.8 −1.3 NYK 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 50.2% 9 52.0%	WAS 45.7% NYK 48.8% +3.1%
TO %	3 14.0% 19 17.2%	WAS 19.7% NYK 19.3% −0.4%
ORB %	15 23.6% 3 29.2%	WAS 34.9% +6.6% NYK 28.3%
FTrt	28 25.9 31 24.8	WAS 20.7 +7.4 NYK 13.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 57.5% 12 62.7%	WAS 41.7% NYK 58.8% +17.1%
STL %	3 11.9% 4 11.8%	WAS 12.9% +1.2% NYK 11.7%
BLK %	29 5.5% 10 8.8%	WAS 9.4% +2.8% NYK 6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 51.8% 9 54.1%	WAS 46.8% NYK 51.1% +4.3%
Rim FG%	5 62.9% 18 58.2%	WAS 59.4% +11.4% NYK 48.0%
Mid FG%	10 39.7% 5 42.8%	WAS 48.3% +16.2% NYK 32.1%
3P %	23 32.1% 14 36.4%	WAS 14.3% NYK 43.3% +29.0%
FT %	31 71.0% 30 72.2%	WAS 76.5% NYK 81.8% +5.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.4% 13 36.2%	WAS 39.0% +8.9% NYK 30.1%
Mid Att. %	32 38.2% 14 33.6%	WAS 35.4% NYK 33.7% −1.6%
3P Att. %	29 26.4% 18 30.2%	WAS 25.6% NYK 36.1% +10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	NYK
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	88	90
Rebounds	48	41
Assists	15	20
Steals	12	11
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	28 (0)
Field Goals	36-82	34-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	12-25
Midrange FG	14-29	9-28
2-Point FG	33-61	21-53
3-Point FG	3-21	13-30
Free Throws	13-17	9-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg