Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			88	86.3	102	107.7
		Timberwolves			105	102.9	102	97.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-25

MIN

+13

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.98 48.9%

MIN

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 29	28.2	16	53%	6	2	0	0	5	3	0	6	6-6	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	26.0	6	38%	7	2	2	2	1	2	3	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	25.1	14	64%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	24.4	3	25%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	14.6	11	79%	6	2	0	0	4	6	2	4	5-6	83%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%

Nate Wolters · 6'4" 190 · 25	23.6	7	44%	2	2	0	0	4	1	0	2	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 23	21.1	4	25%	5	1	1	0	2	2	3	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson F · 6'9" 207 · 24	19.6	10	100%	3	0	1	1	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Axel Toupane G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	18.6	11	55%	7	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	15.9	2	17%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
D.J. Kennedy G-F · 6'5" 214 · 27	12.0	4	67%	2	3	3	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	10.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Robbie Hummel F · 6'9" 219 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Emmanuel Mudiay #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	49%	45	19	7	3	25	0	10	35	25-31	81%	27-53	51%	3-20	15%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 29	28.2	16	53%	6	2	0	0	5	3	0	6	6-6	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	26.0	6	38%	7	2	2	2	1	2	3	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	25.1	14	64%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	24.4	3	25%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	14.6	11	79%	6	2	0	0	4	6	2	4	5-6	83%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%

Nate Wolters · 6'4" 190 · 25	23.6	7	44%	2	2	0	0	4	1	0	2	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 23	21.1	4	25%	5	1	1	0	2	2	3	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson F · 6'9" 207 · 24	19.6	10	100%	3	0	1	1	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Axel Toupane G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	18.6	11	55%	7	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	15.9	2	17%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
D.J. Kennedy G-F · 6'5" 214 · 27	12.0	4	67%	2	3	3	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	10.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Robbie Hummel F · 6'9" 219 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Emmanuel Mudiay #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	49%	45	19	7	3	25	0	10	35	25-31	81%	27-53	51%	3-20	15%

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Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Wiggins F · 6'7" 210 · 22	28.2	18	53%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Zach LaVine G · 6'5" 200 · 22	27.7	12	46%	5	1	2	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Karl-Anthony Towns C · 7'0" 248 · 21	25.7	18	60%	8	4	0	1	2	3	1	7	7-10	70%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Ricky Rubio G · 6'4" 190 · 26	25.1	7	58%	3	8	4	0	2	0	1	2	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Gorgui Dieng F · 6'11" 251 · 27	25.0	10	63%	7	0	1	2	1	3	4	3	6-7	86%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Nemanja Bjelica F · 6'10" 230 · 28	23.6	11	55%	4	2	1	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Shabazz Muhammad G-F · 6'6" 221 · 24	19.6	18	82%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	3-5	60%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Kris Dunn G · 6'3" 205 · 23	18.4	2	14%	2	4	3	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Cole Aldrich C · 6'11" 253 · 28	17.1	0	0%	5	1	1	1	1	3	1	4	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31	16.8	5	63%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 34	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Adreian Payne · 6'10" 237 · 26	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones G · 6'0" 196 · 20	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hill F-C · 6'10" 240 · 29	1.9	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 37	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Toure' Murry F · 6'5" 195 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nikola Pekovic #14 · C · 6'11" 307 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	42	22	14	6	16	0	10	32	28-38	74%	25-63	40%	9-19	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.98 48.9%

MIN

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

63%

MIN

57%

Midrange

DEN

38%

MIN

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

4.5

15%

23%

MIN

13.5

47%

71%

Free Throws

DEN

81%

MIN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Chandler	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Murray	14	64%	7.0 / 11
N. Jokić	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Toupane	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Sampson	10	100%	5.0 / 5
N. Wolters	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Faried	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Stokes	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. Kennedy	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Nelson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Hernangomez	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. Beasley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins	18	53%	9.0 / 17
K. Towns	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Muhammad	18	82%	9.0 / 11
Z. LaVine	12	46%	6.0 / 13
N. Bjelica	11	55%	5.5 / 10
G. Dieng	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Rubio	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Rush	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Dunn	2	14%	1.0 / 7
J. Lucas III	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Hill	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Aldrich	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Payne	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 102.3 23 99.3	DEN 86.3 MIN 102.9 +16.7
Pace	14 100.6 11 101.6	DEN 107.7 +10.7 MIN 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.2 10 14.6	DEN 13.4 −1.5 MIN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 47.3% 28 46.3%	DEN 43.2% MIN 47.0% +3.8%
TO %	23 17.4% 15 16.9%	DEN 22.4% MIN 13.9% −8.5%
ORB %	4 29.0% 10 25.1%	DEN 23.8% +1.6% MIN 22.2%
FTrt	6 37.1 9 34.3	DEN 42.5 MIN 46.3 +3.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.5% 32 52.0%	DEN 63.3% MIN 64.7% +1.4%
STL %	26 7.9% 10 10.0%	DEN 6.9% MIN 13.7% +6.8%
BLK %	25 6.6% 2 12.1%	DEN 4.8% MIN 11.3% +6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 50.8% 28 50.1%	DEN 48.9% MIN 52.5% +3.6%
Rim FG%	27 56.2% 30 53.7%	DEN 63.0% +5.9% MIN 57.1%
Mid FG%	18 37.6% 27 34.6%	DEN 38.5% +12.8% MIN 25.7%
3P %	32 28.3% 20 33.8%	DEN 15.0% MIN 47.4% +32.4%
FT %	21 73.2% 3 79.2%	DEN 80.6% +6.9% MIN 73.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 44.7% 8 38.5%	DEN 37.0% +2.8% MIN 34.1%
Mid Att. %	5 26.4% 19 34.8%	DEN 35.6% −7.1% MIN 42.7%
3P Att. %	19 28.9% 27 26.7%	DEN 27.4% +4.2% MIN 23.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	88	105
Rebounds	45	42
Assists	19	22
Steals	7	14
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	25 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (4)	32 (2)
Field Goals	30-73	34-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	16-28
Midrange FG	10-26	9-35
2-Point FG	27-53	25-63
3-Point FG	3-20	9-19
Free Throws	25-31	28-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg