Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 13, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Celtics			100	95.2	105	101.7
		Nets			97	92.4	105	108.5

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+12

-16

101

BKN

+13

-18

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.98 49.0%

BKN

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 26	25.7	7	29%	8	0	0	2	3	0	2	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 26	21.5	2	14%	3	4	1	0	0	3	0	3	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 30	21.3	13	72%	9	0	1	1	1	3	3	6	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	18.5	12	43%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	3-5	60%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	16.1	2	100%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	22.3	10	63%	2	3	1	0	1	0	0	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 23	22.2	13	50%	3	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.2	10	83%	1	7	3	0	2	4	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	16.0	12	100%	5	3	1	0	1	1	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	14.3	9	56%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22	14.3	6	43%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 27	11.0	3	25%	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 23	9.5	1	25%	1	0	1	1	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben Bentil F · 6'9" 235 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damion Lee G · 6'6" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Georges-Hunt G · 6'5" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Jones F · 6'7" 220 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	49%	50	24	10	7	16	0	10	40	22-32	69%	27-55	49%	8-29	28%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 26	25.7	7	29%	8	0	0	2	3	0	2	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 26	21.5	2	14%	3	4	1	0	0	3	0	3	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 30	21.3	13	72%	9	0	1	1	1	3	3	6	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	18.5	12	43%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	3-5	60%	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	16.1	2	100%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	22.3	10	63%	2	3	1	0	1	0	0	2	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 23	22.2	13	50%	3	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.2	10	83%	1	7	3	0	2	4	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	16.0	12	100%	5	3	1	0	1	1	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	14.3	9	56%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22	14.3	6	43%	6	1	0	1	1	2	0	6	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 27	11.0	3	25%	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 23	9.5	1	25%	1	0	1	1	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben Bentil F · 6'9" 235 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damion Lee G · 6'6" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Georges-Hunt G · 6'5" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Jones F · 6'7" 220 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	49%	50	24	10	7	16	0	10	40	22-32	69%	27-55	49%	8-29	28%

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Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 29	29.8	11	92%	12	2	0	0	4	3	3	9	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jeremy Lin G · 6'3" 200 · 28	26.8	12	55%	2	7	2	0	2	3	0	2	6-9	67%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson F · 6'7" 214 · 22	23.6	10	45%	4	2	1	1	0	1	1	3	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 33	22.9	8	67%	3	1	1	0	3	3	1	2	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Brook Lopez C · 7'1" 282 · 29	19.0	11	50%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-3	33%

Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 36	28.2	14	47%	11	5	0	0	4	4	1	10	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 30	21.2	7	44%	3	4	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Anthony Bennett F · 6'8" 245 · 24	19.0	2	11%	1	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Joe Harris F-G · 6'6" 219 · 25	18.9	4	33%	3	0	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 27	15.5	11	92%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Sean Kilpatrick G · 6'4" 212 · 27	15.1	7	35%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	4-4	100%	0-6	0%	1-2	50%
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Caris LeVert G · 6'7" 205 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Isaiah Whitehead G · 6'4" 213 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Yogi Ferrell G · 6'0" 180 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jorge Gutierrez G · 6'3" 189 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	48%	49	23	7	2	18	0	9	40	21-28	75%	23-51	45%	10-35	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	BKN

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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.98 49.0%

BKN

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

68%

BKN

55%

Midrange

BOS

33%

BKN

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

12.0

28%

41%

BKN

15.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

BOS

69%

BKN

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Smart	13	50%	6.5 / 13
I. Thomas	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Jerebko	12	100%	6.0 / 6
J. Brown	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Rozier	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Green	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Bradley	7	29%	3.5 / 12
J. Mickey	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Zeller	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Crowder	2	14%	1.0 / 7
A. Johnson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Hunter	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Scola	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Lin	12	55%	6.0 / 11
T. Booker	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Lopez	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Bogdanovic	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. Hollis-Jefferson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
R. Foye	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Vasquez	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Kilpatrick	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Harris	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Bennett	2	11%	1.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 102.9 27 97.1	BOS 95.2 +2.9 BKN 92.4
Pace	9 102.0 2 104.0	BOS 101.7 BKN 108.5 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 30 12.9	BOS 14.2 BKN 13.3 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 51.5% 19 49.0%	BOS 46.4% +2.2% BKN 44.2%
TO %	14 16.8% 17 17.0%	BOS 14.8% −0.7% BKN 15.5%
ORB %	27 20.9% 32 15.9%	BOS 20.0% +1.6% BKN 18.4%
FTrt	25 28.2 8 34.5	BOS 38.1 +5.5 BKN 32.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.0% 10 63.7%	BOS 68.6% BKN 69.7% +1.1%
STL %	12 9.7% 16 9.0%	BOS 9.5% +2.8% BKN 6.7%
BLK %	20 7.6% 34 2.8%	BOS 13.7% +10.1% BKN 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 53.5% 16 52.2%	BOS 49.0% +1.0% BKN 48.0%
Rim FG%	13 59.5% 24 56.9%	BOS 68.0% +12.8% BKN 55.2%
Mid FG%	2 43.5% 33 28.9%	BOS 33.3% +1.5% BKN 31.8%
3P %	19 34.3% 17 35.6%	BOS 27.6% BKN 28.6% +1.0%
FT %	26 72.6% 17 74.6%	BOS 68.8% BKN 75.0% +6.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 32.8% 14 35.5%	BOS 29.8% BKN 33.7% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	12 32.4% 2 23.3%	BOS 35.7% BKN 25.6% −10.1%
3P Att. %	8 34.8% 4 41.2%	BOS 34.5% BKN 40.7% +6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	BKN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	100	97
Rebounds	50	49
Assists	24	23
Steals	10	7
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (4)	40 (2)
Field Goals	35-84	33-86
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	16-29
Midrange FG	10-30	7-22
2-Point FG	27-55	23-51
3-Point FG	8-29	10-35
Free Throws	22-32	21-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg