Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 15, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Pistons			97	101.0	96	95.6
		76ers			76	80.0	95	95.4

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+14

-16

PHI

+11

-24

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.03 51.6%

PHI

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 24	29.1	18	69%	6	2	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 28	27.2	10	56%	3	6	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 23	26.7	10	38%	13	2	1	0	2	5	4	9	0-4	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G · 6'5" 204 · 24	26.5	9	41%	4	2	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Henry Ellenson F · 6'11" 245 · 20	18.0	8	80%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Michael Gbinije G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24	22.1	11	92%	3	0	1	2	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Darrun Hilliard G · 6'6" 220 · 24	21.5	7	88%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Boban Marjanović C · 7'3" 290 · 28	18.1	9	64%	5	0	2	0	2	4	3	2	5-8	63%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27	17.8	8	36%	6	2	0	0	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Lorenzo Brown G · 6'5" 189 · 26	17.3	2	20%	2	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Stanley Johnson F · 6'7" 245 · 20	8.5	4	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Marcus Morris Sr. F · 6'9" 235 · 27	\| DND - Mild Knee Tendinitis
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Reggie Jackson G · 6'3" 208 · 26	\| NWT - Left Knee Tendinitis
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 30	\| DND - Back Spasms
Reggie Bullock Jr. F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	233	97	52%	44	21	14	2	16	0	12	32	16-26	62%	27-56	48%	9-21	43%

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Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 24	29.1	18	69%	6	2	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 28	27.2	10	56%	3	6	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 23	26.7	10	38%	13	2	1	0	2	5	4	9	0-4	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G · 6'5" 204 · 24	26.5	9	41%	4	2	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Henry Ellenson F · 6'11" 245 · 20	18.0	8	80%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Michael Gbinije G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24	22.1	11	92%	3	0	1	2	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Darrun Hilliard G · 6'6" 220 · 24	21.5	7	88%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Boban Marjanović C · 7'3" 290 · 28	18.1	9	64%	5	0	2	0	2	4	3	2	5-8	63%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27	17.8	8	36%	6	2	0	0	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Lorenzo Brown G · 6'5" 189 · 26	17.3	2	20%	2	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Stanley Johnson F · 6'7" 245 · 20	8.5	4	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Marcus Morris Sr. F · 6'9" 235 · 27	\| DND - Mild Knee Tendinitis
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Reggie Jackson G · 6'3" 208 · 26	\| NWT - Left Knee Tendinitis
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 30	\| DND - Back Spasms
Reggie Bullock Jr. F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	233	97	52%	44	21	14	2	16	0	12	32	16-26	62%	27-56	48%	9-21	43%

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Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 30	23.7	3	30%	1	7	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 26	23.7	4	33%	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Dario Šarić F · 6'10" 225 · 23	22.5	8	50%	5	1	0	0	3	1	1	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 29	19.6	4	50%	5	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Joel Embiid C · 7'0" 270 · 23	19.6	15	75%	5	0	0	0	7	3	2	3	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%

Jerami Grant F · 6'7" 213 · 23	26.5	12	40%	4	4	3	1	2	1	0	4	6-8	75%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21	24.0	1	17%	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes F · 6'9" 235 · 23	21.4	8	50%	5	0	1	2	2	3	3	2	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Nik Stauskas G · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.1	2	14%	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	2	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell G · 6'1" 190 · 25	16.1	4	67%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
James Webb III F · 6'9" 202 · 23	9.1	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Brandon Paul G · 6'4" 200 · 25	7.7	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Shawn Long F · 6'9" 255 · 24	7.0	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Hollis Thompson F · 6'8" 206 · 26	\| NWT - Flu
Cat Barber G · 6'1" 173 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben Simmons G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20	\| NWT - Acute Fracture Right Foot
Jahlil Okafor C · 6'11" 260 · 21	\| DND - Right Knee Rehab
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 28	\| DND - Left Wrist Soreness
Nerlens Noel C · 6'11" 220 · 23	\| DND - Left Groin Strain
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	46%	38	16	10	4	24	0	7	31	23-30	77%	22-48	46%	3-20	15%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	DET	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.03 51.6%

PHI

0.93 46.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

50%

PHI

48%

Midrange

DET

46%

PHI

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

13.5

43%

64%

PHI

4.5

15%

23%

Free Throws

DET

62%

PHI

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Harris	18	69%	9.0 / 13
M. Gbinije	11	92%	5.5 / 6
I. Smith	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Drummond	10	38%	5.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	41%	4.5 / 11
B. Marjanovic	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Ellenson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Leuer	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Hilliard	7	88%	3.5 / 4
S. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Brown	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Grant	12	40%	6.0 / 15
D. Šarić	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Holmes	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Paul	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Webb III	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Covington	4	33%	2.0 / 6
G. Henderson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. McConnell	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Long	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Rodriguez	3	30%	1.5 / 5
N. Stauskas	2	14%	1.0 / 7
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 98.6 31 93.9	DET 101.0 +21.0 PHI 80.0
Pace	32 95.6 16 99.9	DET 95.6 +0.2 PHI 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.1 8 14.7	DET 15.1 −0.0 PHI 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 48.7% 33 44.7%	DET 52.6% +13.6% PHI 39.0%
TO %	21 17.3% 29 19.2%	DET 15.3% −8.2% PHI 23.5%
ORB %	14 23.8% 20 22.3%	DET 27.9% +10.0% PHI 17.9%
FTrt	30 25.8 7 35.1	DET 33.8 PHI 44.1 +10.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 58.8% 25 56.7%	DET 58.3% PHI 64.0% +5.7%
STL %	18 8.6% 25 7.9%	DET 14.6% +4.1% PHI 10.5%
BLK %	28 5.8% 8 9.2%	DET 4.2% PHI 7.1% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 50.5% 29 49.8%	DET 51.6% +5.3% PHI 46.3%
Rim FG%	14 59.0% 28 55.0%	DET 50.0% +1.9% PHI 48.1%
Mid FG%	7 41.1% 11 39.7%	DET 46.2% +3.3% PHI 42.9%
3P %	28 31.0% 33 26.3%	DET 42.9% +27.9% PHI 15.0%
FT %	19 74.4% 3 79.2%	DET 61.5% PHI 76.7% +15.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.2% 23 33.2%	DET 39.0% PHI 39.7% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	33 39.2% 18 34.5%	DET 33.8% PHI 30.9% −2.9%
3P Att. %	28 26.6% 14 32.3%	DET 27.3% PHI 29.4% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DET	PHI
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	97	76
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	21	16
Steals	14	10
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	24 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	31 (2)
Field Goals	36-77	25-68
At-the-Rim FG	15-30	13-27
Midrange FG	12-26	9-21
2-Point FG	27-56	22-48
3-Point FG	9-21	3-20
Free Throws	16-26	23-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg