Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 15, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Grizzlies			134	109.8	122	99.5
		Rockets			125	100.8	124	104.2

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

107

+19

-15

126

HOU

100

+20

-24

120

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.8%

HOU

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Troy Williams F · 6'7" 218 · 22	41.5	23	68%	4	1	4	1	3	5	0	4	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	5-11	45%
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 26	30.1	21	81%	8	0	1	0	1	2	4	4	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Andrew Harrison G · 6'6" 213 · 22	25.3	14	64%	6	1	1	0	1	3	0	6	4-7	57%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 29	24.1	19	79%	0	7	3	0	1	2	0	0	8-8	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 32	20.0	10	63%	4	3	1	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Vincent Hunter · 6'9" 208 · 22	34.1	12	67%	10	2	0	3	1	5	4	6	6-10	60%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
DJ Stephens G-F · 6'5" 188 · 26	26.5	13	46%	3	1	0	2	1	3	3	0	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Wade Baldwin IV G · 6'4" 202 · 21	21.6	3	30%	3	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Wayne Selden G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22	18.4	5	25%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-5	20%
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 25	17.4	2	11%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 35	14.1	8	40%	4	1	1	0	4	5	1	3	1-4	25%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jarell Martin F · 6'10" 239 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Adams G · 6'5" 209 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Deyonta Davis C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	273	134	53%	50	30	16	7	15	0	14	36	31-44	70%	26-60	43%	17-44	39%

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Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Troy Williams F · 6'7" 218 · 22	41.5	23	68%	4	1	4	1	3	5	0	4	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	5-11	45%
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 26	30.1	21	81%	8	0	1	0	1	2	4	4	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Andrew Harrison G · 6'6" 213 · 22	25.3	14	64%	6	1	1	0	1	3	0	6	4-7	57%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 29	24.1	19	79%	0	7	3	0	1	2	0	0	8-8	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 32	20.0	10	63%	4	3	1	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Vincent Hunter · 6'9" 208 · 22	34.1	12	67%	10	2	0	3	1	5	4	6	6-10	60%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
DJ Stephens G-F · 6'5" 188 · 26	26.5	13	46%	3	1	0	2	1	3	3	0	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Wade Baldwin IV G · 6'4" 202 · 21	21.6	3	30%	3	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Wayne Selden G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22	18.4	5	25%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-5	20%
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 25	17.4	2	11%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 35	14.1	8	40%	4	1	1	0	4	5	1	3	1-4	25%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jarell Martin F · 6'10" 239 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Adams G · 6'5" 209 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Deyonta Davis C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	273	134	53%	50	30	16	7	15	0	14	36	31-44	70%	26-60	43%	17-44	39%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 27	28.1	14	70%	10	9	1	0	7	3	0	10	10-10	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 31	23.6	8	36%	5	1	0	1	2	0	1	4	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Ryan Anderson F · 6'10" 240 · 28	19.4	0	0%	3	1	1	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 34	19.2	10	83%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
KJ McDaniels G · 6'6" 205 · 24	10.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Sam Dekker F · 6'9" 230 · 22	33.9	16	53%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Tyler Ennis G · 6'3" 194 · 22	32.9	16	44%	6	4	1	0	4	4	1	5	8-11	73%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Montrezl Harrell F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23	27.0	20	63%	10	1	1	3	2	4	8	2	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 28	25.9	15	63%	2	4	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Kyle Wiltjer F · 6'10" 240 · 24	19.9	8	80%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 31	19.2	2	14%	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Gary Payton II G · 6'2" 195 · 24	13.5	5	63%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 22	11.8	9	90%	9	3	1	0	3	5	2	7	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Taylor G · 6'3" 170 · 22	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pablo Prigioni G · 6'3" 185 · 39	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chinanu Onuaku C · 6'10" 245 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PJ Hairston F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	125	52%	60	27	6	5	24	0	15	45	32-37	86%	36-67	54%	7-34	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.8%

HOU

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

71%

HOU

64%

Midrange

MEM

25%

HOU

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

39%

58%

HOU

10.5

21%

31%

Free Throws

MEM

70%

HOU

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Williams	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Green	21	81%	10.5 / 13
M. Conley	19	79%	9.5 / 12
A. Harrison	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Stephens	13	46%	6.5 / 14
V. Hunter	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Gasol	10	63%	5.0 / 8
Z. Randolph	8	40%	4.0 / 10
W. Selden	5	25%	2.5 / 10
W. Baldwin IV	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Daniels	2	11%	1.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Harrell	20	63%	10.0 / 16
S. Dekker	16	53%	8.0 / 15
T. Ennis	16	44%	8.0 / 18
E. Gordon	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Harden	14	70%	7.0 / 10
Nene	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Capela	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Ariza	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Wiltjer	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Payton	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. McDaniels	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Brewer	2	14%	1.0 / 7
R. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 5
I. Taylor	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 104.0 3 112.3	MEM 109.8 +9.0 HOU 100.8
Pace	17 99.8 6 102.9	MEM 99.5 HOU 104.2 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 25 13.8	MEM 14.5 HOU 13.8 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 7 52.7%	MEM 49.5% +3.5% HOU 46.0%
TO %	2 13.7% 4 14.5%	MEM 12.1% −4.9% HOU 17.0%
ORB %	22 21.2% 7 27.4%	MEM 23.7% HOU 29.4% +5.7%
FTrt	4 43.5 18 31.9	MEM 42.3 +5.7 HOU 36.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.0% 16 59.2%	MEM 69.8% +7.0% HOU 62.8%
STL %	6 11.3% 28 7.5%	MEM 13.1% +8.3% HOU 4.8%
BLK %	17 8.3% 9 8.8%	MEM 10.4% +2.1% HOU 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 51.1% 5 55.6%	MEM 52.8% +1.1% HOU 51.7%
Rim FG%	22 57.5% 20 57.8%	MEM 70.8% +6.4% HOU 64.4%
Mid FG%	26 34.8% 1 49.6%	MEM 25.0% HOU 31.8% +6.8%
3P %	21 33.7% 22 32.8%	MEM 38.6% +18.0% HOU 20.6%
FT %	33 68.6% 12 76.0%	MEM 70.5% HOU 86.5% +16.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.9% 6 40.3%	MEM 23.1% HOU 44.6% +21.5%
Mid Att. %	11 32.0% 1 18.3%	MEM 34.6% HOU 21.8% −12.8%
3P Att. %	9 34.1% 3 41.4%	MEM 42.3% +8.6% HOU 33.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.

Game Totals	MEM	HOU
Possessions	122	124
Possession Minutes	29.4	28.6
Points	134	125
Rebounds	50	60
Assists	30	27
Steals	16	6
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	24 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (5)	15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (5)	45 (4)
Field Goals	43-104	43-101
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	29-45
Midrange FG	9-36	7-22
2-Point FG	26-60	36-67
3-Point FG	17-44	7-34
Free Throws	31-44	32-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg