Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 17, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nets			99	92.5	107	112.5
		Celtics			120	113.2	106	101.1

Scoring Opportunities

BKN

+11

-19

BOS

+16

-24

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson F · 6'7" 214 · 22	21.0	10	50%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Sean Kilpatrick G · 6'4" 212 · 27	20.0	15	68%	3	1	0	0	0	3	1	2	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Justin Hamilton F · 7'0" 255 · 27	18.7	8	100%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Jeremy Lin G · 6'3" 200 · 28	18.7	13	81%	2	5	1	0	4	4	0	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Brook Lopez C · 7'1" 282 · 29	18.6	6	33%	5	2	2	2	3	1	1	4	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%

Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 27	21.5	12	60%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 22	21.2	8	57%	5	0	0	0	2	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 36	19.9	4	29%	1	3	4	0	3	3	0	1	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 28	18.0	10	56%	5	2	3	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Whitehead G · 6'4" 213 · 22	17.3	5	36%	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 33	15.4	0	0%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jorge Gutierrez G · 6'3" 189 · 28	12.0	5	42%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 30	\| NWT - Rest
Caris LeVert G · 6'7" 205 · 22	\| DND - Left Foot Rehab
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Yogi Ferrell G · 6'0" 180 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joe Harris F-G · 6'6" 219 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Bennett F · 6'8" 245 · 24	\| NWT - Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	222	99	50%	34	25	15	4	19	0	9	25	16-24	67%	25-55	45%	11-32	34%

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Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson F · 6'7" 214 · 22	21.0	10	50%	4	3	2	0	0	1	1	3	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Sean Kilpatrick G · 6'4" 212 · 27	20.0	15	68%	3	1	0	0	0	3	1	2	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Justin Hamilton F · 7'0" 255 · 27	18.7	8	100%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Jeremy Lin G · 6'3" 200 · 28	18.7	13	81%	2	5	1	0	4	4	0	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Brook Lopez C · 7'1" 282 · 29	18.6	6	33%	5	2	2	2	3	1	1	4	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%

Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 27	21.5	12	60%	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 22	21.2	8	57%	5	0	0	0	2	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 36	19.9	4	29%	1	3	4	0	3	3	0	1	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 28	18.0	10	56%	5	2	3	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Whitehead G · 6'4" 213 · 22	17.3	5	36%	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 33	15.4	0	0%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jorge Gutierrez G · 6'3" 189 · 28	12.0	5	42%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 30	\| NWT - Rest
Caris LeVert G · 6'7" 205 · 22	\| DND - Left Foot Rehab
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Yogi Ferrell G · 6'0" 180 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joe Harris F-G · 6'6" 219 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Bennett F · 6'8" 245 · 24	\| NWT - Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	222	99	50%	34	25	15	4	19	0	9	25	16-24	67%	25-55	45%	11-32	34%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 26	17.6	7	70%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 28	15.4	19	106%	0	0	1	0	4	3	0	0	6-7	86%	5-5	100%	1-1	100%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 26	14.6	11	61%	5	2	2	0	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 30	12.0	5	125%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	11.2	7	70%	6	2	1	0	1	2	1	5	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 23	21.1	10	45%	4	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Brown G-F · 6'6" 223 · 20	19.8	12	75%	0	1	1	0	2	5	0	0	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 30	18.3	3	30%	7	0	1	0	0	4	2	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21	16.4	10	63%	4	3	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 27	15.0	5	63%	5	2	0	2	1	2	0	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 23	14.0	6	60%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	3-3	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Demetrius Jackson G · 6'1" 201 · 22	13.8	7	58%	2	2	3	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22	13.2	8	80%	4	0	1	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 23	13.2	0	0%	3	4	1	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31	12.7	7	39%	4	4	0	0	3	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Ben Bentil F · 6'9" 235 · 22	11.6	3	30%	5	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Damion Lee G · 6'6" 210 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Georges-Hunt G · 6'5" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jalen Jones F · 6'7" 220 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	\| DND - Right Shoulder Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	60%	55	25	13	4	24	0	13	42	24-29	83%	30-53	57%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	BKN	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BKN

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BKN

56%

BOS

61%

Midrange

BKN

26%

BOS

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BKN

16.5

34%

52%

BOS

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

BKN

67%

BOS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Kilpatrick	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Lin	13	81%	6.5 / 8
B. Bogdanovic	12	60%	6.0 / 10
R. Hollis-Jefferson	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Budinger	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Hamilton	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. McCullough	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Lopez	6	33%	3.0 / 9
I. Whitehead	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Gutierrez	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Scola	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Foye	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	19	106%	9.5 / 9
J. Brown	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Crowder	11	61%	5.5 / 9
T. Rozier	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Young	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Mickey	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Bradley	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Johnson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Jackson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
G. Green	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Hunter	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Horford	5	125%	2.5 / 2
T. Zeller	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Jerebko	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Bentil	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Smart	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 97.1 15 102.9	BKN 92.5 BOS 113.2 +20.7
Pace	2 104.0 9 102.0	BKN 112.5 +11.4 BOS 101.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 12.9 21 14.2	BKN 12.8 −1.4 BOS 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 49.0% 10 51.5%	BKN 47.7% BOS 55.8% +8.1%
TO %	17 17.0% 14 16.8%	BKN 16.3% −3.9% BOS 20.2%
ORB %	32 15.9% 27 20.9%	BKN 17.6% BOS 34.2% +16.6%
FTrt	8 34.5 25 28.2	BKN 27.6 BOS 33.7 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 63.7% 18 59.0%	BKN 69.4% +9.9% BOS 59.5%
STL %	16 9.0% 12 9.7%	BKN 14.0% +1.7% BOS 12.3%
BLK %	34 2.8% 20 7.6%	BKN 7.5% +0.2% BOS 7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 52.2% 13 53.5%	BKN 50.0% BOS 60.0% +10.0%
Rim FG%	24 56.9% 13 59.5%	BKN 55.6% BOS 61.3% +5.7%
Mid FG%	33 28.9% 2 43.5%	BKN 26.3% BOS 50.0% +23.7%
3P %	17 35.6% 19 34.3%	BKN 34.4% BOS 36.4% +2.0%
FT %	17 74.6% 26 72.6%	BKN 66.7% BOS 82.8% +16.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 35.5% 24 32.8%	BKN 41.4% +5.3% BOS 36.0%
Mid Att. %	2 23.3% 12 32.4%	BKN 21.8% −3.7% BOS 25.6%
3P Att. %	4 41.2% 8 34.8%	BKN 36.8% BOS 38.4% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BKN	BOS
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	99	120
Rebounds	34	55
Assists	25	25
Steals	15	13
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	24 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	42 (4)
Field Goals	36-87	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	20-36	19-31
Midrange FG	5-19	11-22
2-Point FG	25-55	30-53
3-Point FG	11-32	12-33
Free Throws	16-24	24-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg