Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 12, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Mavericks			112	104.7	107	102.6
		Bucks			102	94.4	108	112.9

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+11

-13

105

MIL

+14

-15

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.07 53.3%

MIL

0.94 47.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	16.3	6	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	16.3	5	42%	6	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 27	16.3	9	75%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Dorian Finney-Smith #10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 28	16.3	3	50%	5	2	0	0	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 22	16.3	13	50%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-5	60%

Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	16.2	4	29%	1	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Trey Burke #3 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 28	16.2	9	56%	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jalen Brunson #13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	16.2	10	63%	2	4	1	0	2	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Maxi Kleber #42 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	16.2	13	93%	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	4-4	100%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Tyrell Terry #1 · PG · 6'3" 160 · 20	15.5	5	36%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Tyler Bey #2 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 23	15.5	4	40%	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	15.5	8	67%	8	4	1	0	1	0	3	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Wes Iwundu #25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 26	9.8	2	20%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 32	9.8	9	75%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Willie Cauley-Stein #33 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	8.5	4	50%	5	0	1	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 34	7.7	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Freddie Gillespie #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	5.7	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Courtney Lee #45 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 25	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	234	112	53%	51	27	8	2	13	19	9	42	13-15	87%	24-56	43%	17-43	40%

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Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #11 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	16.3	6	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	16.3	5	42%	6	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 27	16.3	9	75%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Dorian Finney-Smith #10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 28	16.3	3	50%	5	2	0	0	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 22	16.3	13	50%	2	4	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-5	60%

Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	16.2	4	29%	1	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Trey Burke #3 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 28	16.2	9	56%	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jalen Brunson #13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	16.2	10	63%	2	4	1	0	2	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Maxi Kleber #42 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	16.2	13	93%	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	4-4	100%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Tyrell Terry #1 · PG · 6'3" 160 · 20	15.5	5	36%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Tyler Bey #2 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 23	15.5	4	40%	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	15.5	8	67%	8	4	1	0	1	0	3	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Wes Iwundu #25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 26	9.8	2	20%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 32	9.8	9	75%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Willie Cauley-Stein #33 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	8.5	4	50%	5	0	1	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 34	7.7	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Freddie Gillespie #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	5.7	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Courtney Lee #45 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 25	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	234	112	53%	51	27	8	2	13	19	9	42	13-15	87%	24-56	43%	17-43	40%

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Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	24.7	25	57%	10	1	1	0	3	4	0	10	6-7	86%	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	24.6	18	75%	2	4	2	1	2	1	0	2	9-9	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	22.8	7	44%	5	2	0	0	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	21.0	4	29%	5	4	1	0	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	15.2	5	50%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Bobby Portis #9 · C · 6'9" 250 · 26	20.1	14	44%	13	2	0	0	1	3	1	12	0-2	0%	7-14	50%	0-1	0%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	19.3	3	50%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	15.0	2	20%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	15.0	0	0%	4	3	1	1	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	14.3	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28	14.2	2	50%	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	11.9	14	78%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	8.3	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	7.2	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	5.7	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nik Stauskas #20 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Patton #17 · C · 7'0" 236 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
E.J. Montgomery #23 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Treveon Graham #93 · SG · 6'5" 219 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	47%	53	24	6	5	15	20	10	43	17-20	85%	29-56	52%	9-38	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.07 53.3%

MIL

0.94 47.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

50%

MIL

68%

Midrange

DAL

37%

MIL

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

25.5

40%

59%

MIL

13.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

DAL

87%

MIL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Kleber	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Brunson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Richardson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Burke	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Marjanovic	9	75%	4.5 / 6
N. Hinton	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Hardaway	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Powell	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Terry	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Green	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Bey	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Cauley-Stein	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Finney-Smith	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Johnson	3	150%	1.5 / 1
W. Iwundu	2	20%	1.0 / 5
F. Gillespie	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	25	57%	12.5 / 22
K. Middleton	18	75%	9.0 / 12
B. Portis	14	44%	7.0 / 16
D. Wilson	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. DiVincenzo	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Lopez	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Holiday	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Augustin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Nwora	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Merrill	3	50%	1.5 / 3
B. Forbes	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Antetokounmpo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Adams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Craig	0	-	0.0 / 3
P. Connaughton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.0 11 105.5	DAL 104.7 +10.2 MIL 94.4
Pace	18 104.0 20 103.6	DAL 102.6 MIL 112.9 +10.3
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.3 24 13.1	DAL 14.0 MIL 12.8 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 53.3% 21 49.8%	DAL 50.0% +4.8% MIL 45.2%
TO %	1 11.2% 6 14.5%	DAL 11.0% −2.5% MIL 13.5%
ORB %	17 19.2% 16 19.6%	DAL 17.3% MIL 19.2% +1.9%
FTrt	27 22.7 17 27.0	DAL 15.2 MIL 21.3 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 60.3% 15 62.2%	DAL 65.9% +2.7% MIL 63.2%
STL %	30 4.0% 29 5.2%	DAL 7.5% +1.9% MIL 5.6%
BLK %	22 7.0% 8 11.5%	DAL 3.6% MIL 8.9% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 55.8% 15 53.6%	DAL 53.3% +6.1% MIL 47.2%
Rim FG%	26 52.6% 6 64.0%	DAL 50.0% MIL 67.7% +17.7%
Mid FG%	26 33.3% 5 45.2%	DAL 36.7% +4.7% MIL 32.0%
3P %	3 43.9% 29 27.9%	DAL 39.5% +15.8% MIL 23.7%
FT %	1 81.8% 5 79.5%	DAL 86.7% +1.7% MIL 85.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 26.8% 15 31.9%	DAL 26.3% MIL 33.0% +6.7%
Mid Att. %	20 27.8% 19 27.0%	DAL 30.3% MIL 26.6% −3.7%
3P Att. %	11 45.4% 18 41.1%	DAL 43.4% +3.0% MIL 40.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	MIL
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	112	102
Rebounds	51	53
Assists	27	24
Steals	8	6
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (2)	43 (5)
Field Goals	41-99	38-94
At-the-Rim FG	13-26	21-31
Midrange FG	11-30	8-25
2-Point FG	24-56	29-56
3-Point FG	17-43	9-38
Free Throws	13-15	17-20
Fast Break Pts	7	27
2nd Chance Pts	11	6
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	12
Bench Points	76	43
Biggest Lead	20	9

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg