Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Blazers			95	89.6	106	103.7
		Nuggets			126	116.7	108	110.5

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+14

-16

104

DEN

+13

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.90 44.8%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	30.3	14	47%	3	4	2	0	2	2	1	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	1-8	13%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	30.2	13	46%	2	3	4	2	2	3	0	2	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	26.9	15	83%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	23.6	8	50%	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	19.9	7	35%	8	3	2	0	2	4	3	5	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	25.4	6	25%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-4	25%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	23.9	14	78%	4	2	0	0	2	5	2	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	20.3	14	54%	2	1	2	1	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	12.4	2	25%	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	12.0	2	20%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	7.9	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	7.3	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	45%	33	20	13	5	16	22	10	23	12-16	75%	28-64	44%	9-34	26%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	30.3	14	47%	3	4	2	0	2	2	1	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	1-8	13%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	30.2	13	46%	2	3	4	2	2	3	0	2	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	26.9	15	83%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	23.6	8	50%	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	19.9	7	35%	8	3	2	0	2	4	3	5	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	25.4	6	25%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-4	25%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	23.9	14	78%	4	2	0	0	2	5	2	2	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	20.3	14	54%	2	1	2	1	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	12.4	2	25%	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	12.0	2	20%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	7.9	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	7.3	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	45%	33	20	13	5	16	22	10	23	12-16	75%	28-64	44%	9-34	26%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	26.6	18	75%	5	2	1	1	3	1	1	4	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	25.3	7	44%	3	3	2	1	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	25.0	12	75%	11	8	0	2	5	2	1	10	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	24.0	16	67%	5	5	0	1	4	3	2	3	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	23.2	10	63%	5	0	0	1	2	4	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	18.3	9	50%	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	17.6	15	83%	6	3	0	0	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 30	16.1	0	0%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	15.9	8	67%	4	4	1	1	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	14.1	9	90%	2	3	0	1	1	5	1	1	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	9.4	0	0%	1	3	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	8.6	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	5.6	5	125%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	5.6	10	63%	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	4.7	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	DNP - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	55	39	6	9	23	22	11	44	17-23	74%	26-40	65%	19-46	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.90 44.8%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

53%

DEN

83%

Midrange

POR

33%

DEN

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

13.5

26%

40%

DEN

28.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

POR

75%

DEN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Covington	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Lillard	14	47%	7.0 / 15
E. Kanter	14	78%	7.0 / 9
C. Anthony	14	54%	7.0 / 13
C. McCollum	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Jones	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Nurkić	7	35%	3.5 / 10
G. Trent	6	25%	3.0 / 12
H. Giles	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Elleby	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Hood	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Blevins	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Murray	16	67%	8.0 / 12
P. Dozier	15	83%	7.5 / 9
N. Jokić	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Porter	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. Bol	10	63%	5.0 / 8
W. Barton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
I. Hartenstein	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Morris	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Harris	7	44%	3.5 / 8
V. Cancar	5	125%	2.5 / 2
Z. Nnaji	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Howard	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
F. Campazzo	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 101.0 3 114.7	POR 89.6 DEN 116.7 +27.0
Pace	13 105.0 15 104.7	POR 103.7 DEN 110.5 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.1 9 14.2	POR 13.9 DEN 13.0 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 48.0% 5 55.5%	POR 42.3% DEN 63.4% +21.1%
TO %	7 14.8% 18 16.6%	POR 13.2% −6.1% DEN 19.3%
ORB %	11 21.0% 2 31.0%	POR 18.5% DEN 32.4% +13.9%
FTrt	24 23.8 15 27.4	POR 16.3 DEN 26.7 +10.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.0% 4 68.5%	POR 54.1% DEN 86.7% +32.6%
STL %	16 8.3% 12 9.0%	POR 12.3% +6.7% DEN 5.6%
BLK %	9 11.4% 7 12.5%	POR 12.5% DEN 14.1% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 51.0% 3 57.7%	POR 44.8% DEN 64.3% +19.5%
Rim FG%	27 52.1% 7 63.6%	POR 52.9% DEN 82.6% +29.7%
Mid FG%	23 35.9% 9 42.3%	POR 33.3% DEN 41.2% +7.9%
3P %	10 36.6% 9 38.3%	POR 26.5% DEN 41.3% +14.8%
FT %	3 79.5% 13 74.7%	POR 75.0% +1.1% DEN 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 14 32.1%	POR 34.7% +7.9% DEN 26.7%
Mid Att. %	25 31.7% 18 25.9%	POR 30.6% DEN 19.8% −10.8%
3P Att. %	29 35.5% 14 42.0%	POR 34.7% DEN 53.5% +18.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	106	108
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	95	126
Rebounds	33	55
Assists	20	39
Steals	13	6
Blocks	5	9
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	23 (0)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (7)	44 (5)
Field Goals	37-98	45-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-34	19-23
Midrange FG	10-30	7-17
2-Point FG	28-64	26-40
3-Point FG	9-34	19-46
Free Throws	12-16	17-23
Fast Break Pts	9	12
2nd Chance Pts	14	11
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	25	19
Bench Points	38	63
Biggest Lead	2	31

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg