Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 18, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Bucks			113	110.8	102	113.8
		Pelicans			127	123.3	103	93.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+17

-17

102

NOP

+19

-13

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.11 55.4%

NOP

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	26.4	15	83%	4	5	0	1	4	3	1	3	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	26.3	29	76%	4	4	0	0	3	3	0	4	8-8	100%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	23.7	4	29%	3	4	0	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	21.9	6	38%	5	1	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 24	21.5	14	58%	8	2	1	0	0	1	3	5	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%

D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	16.6	5	42%	6	1	0	0	0	3	1	5	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	16.4	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	14.8	7	88%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	13.2	5	50%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	13.1	4	25%	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	12.4	5	63%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28	11.4	9	64%	6	1	0	1	1	2	1	5	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	8.6	4	50%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	5.9	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Nik Stauskas #20 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 27	4.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Treveon Graham #93 · SG · 6'5" 219 · 27	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	44	21	4	4	17	32	12	32	27-30	90%	28-50	56%	10-40	25%

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Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	26.4	15	83%	4	5	0	1	4	3	1	3	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	26.3	29	76%	4	4	0	0	3	3	0	4	8-8	100%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	23.7	4	29%	3	4	0	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	21.9	6	38%	5	1	0	0	2	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 24	21.5	14	58%	8	2	1	0	0	1	3	5	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%

D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	16.6	5	42%	6	1	0	0	0	3	1	5	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	16.4	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	14.8	7	88%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	13.2	5	50%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	13.1	4	25%	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	12.4	5	63%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28	11.4	9	64%	6	1	0	1	1	2	1	5	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	8.6	4	50%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	5.9	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Nik Stauskas #20 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 27	4.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Treveon Graham #93 · SG · 6'5" 219 · 27	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	44	21	4	4	17	32	12	32	27-30	90%	28-50	56%	10-40	25%

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New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	34.3	19	79%	5	8	2	1	3	4	0	5	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 20	33.8	31	62%	9	2	1	1	3	2	3	6	7-11	64%	12-19	63%	0-3	0%
Eric Bledsoe #5 · SG · 6'1" 205 · 31	33.0	14	50%	7	6	1	1	2	2	1	6	2-7	29%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 23	24.4	11	42%	3	3	0	0	2	6	1	2	6-7	86%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27	22.8	6	43%	9	2	0	1	1	0	7	2	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Josh Hart #3 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	21.3	6	60%	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
JJ Redick #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	19.2	18	82%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Nicolo Melli #20 · PF · 6'9" 236 · 30	16.6	9	64%	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Jaxson Hayes #10 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	15.6	8	80%	5	1	1	2	1	1	1	4	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Sindarius Thornwell #15 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	11.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Willy Hernangomez #9 · C · 6'11" 240 · 27	7.2	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Will Magnay #25 · C · 6'10" 234 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Carr #22 · PG · 6'5" 198 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rawle Alkins #21 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Ike Anigbogu #0 · C · 6'10" 262 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarrod Uthoff #19 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel #32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee/quadriceps; Strain
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	58%	51	25	6	6	13	25	15	36	27-44	61%	32-53	60%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.11 55.4%

NOP

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

58%

NOP

69%

Midrange

MIL

53%

NOP

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

15.0

25%

38%

NOP

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

MIL

90%

NOP

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	29	76%	14.5 / 19
J. Holiday	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. DiVincenzo	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Antetokounmpo	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Merrill	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Portis	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Wilson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
P. Connaughton	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Adams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Lopez	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Craig	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Forbes	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Nwora	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Diakite	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Stauskas	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	31	62%	15.5 / 25
L. Ball	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Redick	18	82%	9.0 / 11
E. Bledsoe	14	50%	7.0 / 14
B. Ingram	11	42%	5.5 / 13
N. Melli	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Hayes	8	80%	4.0 / 5
S. Adams	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Hart	6	60%	3.0 / 5
W. Hernangomez	5	83%	2.5 / 3
S. Thornwell	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 105.5 1 122.3	MIL 110.8 NOP 123.3 +12.5
Pace	20 103.6 29 98.5	MIL 113.8 +20.4 NOP 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time	24 13.1 1 15.5	MIL 12.7 −2.8 NOP 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 49.8% 7 55.0%	MIL 47.8% NOP 58.1% +10.3%
TO %	6 14.5% 3 12.2%	MIL 14.1% NOP 11.7% −2.4%
ORB %	16 19.6% 1 33.3%	MIL 25.0% NOP 31.9% +6.9%
FTrt	17 27.0 2 43.9	MIL 33.3 NOP 51.2 +17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 62.2% 27 54.9%	MIL 55.3% NOP 56.8% +1.5%
STL %	29 5.2% 20 7.7%	MIL 3.9% NOP 5.8% +1.9%
BLK %	8 11.5% 13 10.5%	MIL 7.5% NOP 12.0% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 53.6% 7 57.1%	MIL 55.4% NOP 58.3% +2.9%
Rim FG%	6 64.0% 7 63.6%	MIL 58.1% NOP 68.6% +10.5%
Mid FG%	5 45.2% 3 47.1%	MIL 52.6% +8.2% NOP 44.4%
3P %	29 27.9% 19 33.8%	MIL 25.0% NOP 36.4% +11.4%
FT %	5 79.5% 22 70.7%	MIL 90.0% +28.6% NOP 61.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.9% 2 38.6%	MIL 34.4% NOP 40.7% +6.3%
Mid Att. %	19 27.0% 6 19.9%	MIL 21.1% NOP 20.9% −0.2%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 16 41.5%	MIL 44.4% +6.1% NOP 38.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	NOP
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	113	127
Rebounds	44	51
Assists	21	25
Steals	4	6
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	32	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	36 (2)
Field Goals	38-90	44-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	24-35
Midrange FG	10-19	8-18
2-Point FG	28-50	32-53
3-Point FG	10-40	12-33
Free Throws	27-30	27-44
Fast Break Pts	16	12
2nd Chance Pts	10	27
Points in Paint	44	54
Pts off Turnovers	9	22
Bench Points	45	46
Biggest Lead	7	20

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg