Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 18, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Blazers			96	96.0	100	101.6
		Nuggets			129	127.7	101	99.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+16

-15

101

DEN

+18

-12

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.94 47.1%

DEN

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 29	29.9	26	59%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	6-6	100%	4-11	36%	4-9	44%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	26.9	8	50%	7	2	0	1	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	21.6	4	33%	6	4	0	0	5	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Rodney Hood #5 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 28	19.4	7	58%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	19.4	7	88%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	32.7	18	47%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	3-8	38%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	23.5	4	29%	6	0	1	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	22.0	4	40%	5	1	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	19.3	10	63%	9	1	0	0	3	6	7	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	13.3	3	17%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	0-6	0%	0-1	0%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.0	5	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	42	17	3	1	15	24	11	31	20-23	87%	23-56	41%	10-33	30%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 29	29.9	26	59%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	6-6	100%	4-11	36%	4-9	44%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	26.9	8	50%	7	2	0	1	1	5	0	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	21.6	4	33%	6	4	0	0	5	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Rodney Hood #5 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 28	19.4	7	58%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	19.4	7	88%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	32.7	18	47%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	3-8	38%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	23.5	4	29%	6	0	1	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	22.0	4	40%	5	1	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	19.3	10	63%	9	1	0	0	3	6	7	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	13.3	3	17%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	0-6	0%	0-1	0%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.0	5	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	47%	42	17	3	1	15	24	11	31	20-23	87%	23-56	41%	10-33	30%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	19.7	3	38%	3	4	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	16.9	4	67%	5	6	2	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	16.1	8	80%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	15.2	24	86%	5	1	2	1	0	1	1	4	4-4	100%	7-8	88%	2-5	40%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	15.2	12	75%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%

Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	22.6	16	50%	8	1	0	0	1	1	2	6	6-9	67%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	22.2	20	77%	9	3	1	0	1	3	5	4	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	4-9	44%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	19.1	9	56%	6	3	1	3	2	3	4	2	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	19.0	11	69%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	18.0	5	36%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	14.8	3	30%	0	0	1	0	1	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.0	5	63%	3	4	0	2	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	12.0	7	58%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	12.0	2	25%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 30	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	60%	53	30	11	8	12	23	17	36	21-27	78%	27-51	53%	18-44	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.94 47.1%

DEN

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

62%

DEN

66%

Midrange

POR

29%

DEN

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

30%

45%

DEN

27.0

41%

61%

Free Throws

POR

87%

DEN

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	26	59%	13.0 / 22
G. Trent	18	47%	9.0 / 19
E. Kanter	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Covington	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Hood	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Jones	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Blevins	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Nurkić	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Elleby	4	29%	2.0 / 7
H. Giles	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Anthony	3	17%	1.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	24	86%	12.0 / 14
M. Porter	20	77%	10.0 / 13
B. Bol	16	50%	8.0 / 16
G. Harris	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Morris	11	69%	5.5 / 8
I. Hartenstein	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Murray	8	80%	4.0 / 5
Z. Nnaji	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Hampton	5	36%	2.5 / 7
P. Dozier	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Jokić	4	67%	2.0 / 3
W. Barton	3	38%	1.5 / 4
F. Campazzo	3	30%	1.5 / 5
V. Cancar	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 101.0 3 114.7	POR 96.0 DEN 127.7 +31.7
Pace	13 105.0 15 104.7	POR 101.6 +2.2 DEN 99.4
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.1 9 14.2	POR 14.2 −0.3 DEN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 48.0% 5 55.5%	POR 42.7% DEN 56.8% +14.1%
TO %	7 14.8% 18 16.6%	POR 13.9% DEN 10.1% −3.8%
ORB %	11 21.0% 2 31.0%	POR 23.4% DEN 35.4% +12.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 15 27.4	POR 25.8 DEN 28.4 +2.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.0% 4 68.5%	POR 51.5% DEN 66.7% +15.2%
STL %	16 8.3% 12 9.0%	POR 3.0% DEN 10.9% +7.9%
BLK %	9 11.4% 7 12.5%	POR 2.0% DEN 14.3% +12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 51.0% 3 57.7%	POR 47.1% DEN 60.3% +13.2%
Rim FG%	27 52.1% 7 63.6%	POR 61.9% DEN 65.5% +3.6%
Mid FG%	23 35.9% 9 42.3%	POR 28.6% DEN 36.4% +7.8%
3P %	10 36.6% 9 38.3%	POR 30.3% DEN 40.9% +10.6%
FT %	3 79.5% 13 74.7%	POR 87.0% +9.2% DEN 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 14 32.1%	POR 23.6% DEN 30.5% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	25 31.7% 18 25.9%	POR 39.3% DEN 23.2% −16.2%
3P Att. %	29 35.5% 14 42.0%	POR 37.1% DEN 46.3% +9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	96	129
Rebounds	42	53
Assists	17	30
Steals	3	11
Blocks	1	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	24	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (4)	36 (5)
Field Goals	33-89	45-95
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	19-29
Midrange FG	10-35	8-22
2-Point FG	23-56	27-51
3-Point FG	10-33	18-44
Free Throws	20-23	21-27
Fast Break Pts	4	15
2nd Chance Pts	15	19
Points in Paint	38	44
Pts off Turnovers	13	17
Bench Points	44	78
Biggest Lead	2	34

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg