Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 5, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Raptors			125	112.6	111	101.7
		Celtics			119	109.2	109	98.4

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

104

+21

-7

125

BOS

+10

-10

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	25.5	9	45%	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 21	24.3	8	57%	3	3	0	1	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 25	24.2	10	56%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 29	23.0	13	50%	6	1	1	0	3	2	2	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	19.0	7	29%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-6	17%

Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 23	19.2	13	46%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Josh Jackson #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 26	17.0	13	72%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	15.6	4	40%	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	13.6	10	125%	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 25	13.6	10	63%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-2	0%	5-5	100%	0-2	0%
D.J. Wilson #9 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 27	13.2	9	56%	8	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 27	12.8	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	12.6	6	75%	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Gabe Brown #44 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	11.4	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	10.5	0	0%	2	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	0-2	0%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 23	9.7	8	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #11 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Soreness
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Cheekbone Fracture
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring Strain
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	50%	59	22	6	4	7	18	13	46	18-25	72%	43-77	56%	7-32	22%

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Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 24	25.5	9	45%	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 21	24.3	8	57%	3	3	0	1	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 25	24.2	10	56%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 29	23.0	13	50%	6	1	1	0	3	2	2	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 29	19.0	7	29%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-6	17%

Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 23	19.2	13	46%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Josh Jackson #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 26	17.0	13	72%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 30	15.6	4	40%	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Khem Birch #24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 30	13.6	10	125%	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 25	13.6	10	63%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-2	0%	5-5	100%	0-2	0%
D.J. Wilson #9 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 27	13.2	9	56%	8	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 27	12.8	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	12.6	6	75%	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Gabe Brown #44 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	11.4	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	10.5	0	0%	2	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	0-2	0%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 23	9.7	8	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #11 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip Soreness
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Cheekbone Fracture
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring Strain
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	50%	59	22	6	4	7	18	13	46	18-25	72%	43-77	56%	7-32	22%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	29.3	18	47%	10	4	0	0	1	1	0	10	6-7	86%	6-9	67%	0-7	0%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26	26.9	23	72%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-5	40%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	26.6	3	38%	1	5	2	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 36	26.0	7	50%	6	2	0	1	2	2	1	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	24.2	10	83%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	26.1	22	92%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	23.1	4	29%	2	9	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	21.7	8	57%	5	0	0	1	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	21.1	17	61%	4	5	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 25	13.2	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Brodric Thomas #97 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 26	12.1	1	17%	2	2	0	0	0	4	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Justin Jackson #43 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 28	12.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-5	0%
Noah Vonleh #4 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 27	2.6	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle Sprain
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee Surgery
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL surgery
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · NA · 6'1" 195 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jake Layman #26 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #99 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	119	55%	45	31	3	3	10	22	7	38	15-21	71%	28-47	60%	16-52	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.00 50.0%

BOS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

68%

BOS

91%

Midrange

TOR

51%

BOS

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

10.5

22%

33%

BOS

24.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

TOR

72%

BOS

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	13	50%	6.5 / 13
P. Achiuwa	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Jackson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
O. Anunoby	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Birch	10	125%	5.0 / 4
J. Dowtin	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Trent	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Wilson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Barnes	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Banton	8	50%	4.0 / 8
F. VanVleet	7	29%	3.5 / 12
C. Koloko	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Brown	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Boucher	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Hernangomez	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Young	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	23	72%	11.5 / 16
S. Hauser	22	92%	11.0 / 12
J. Tatum	18	47%	9.0 / 19
P. Pritchard	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. White	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Williams	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Horford	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Brogdon	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Kabengele	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Smart	3	38%	1.5 / 4
N. Vonleh	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Thomas	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 105.1 4 115.2	TOR 112.6 +3.4 BOS 109.2
Pace	11 105.0 23 103.4	TOR 101.7 +3.3 BOS 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 13.5 19 13.6	TOR 14.2 −0.5 BOS 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 47.8% 3 57.6%	TOR 49.1% BOS 52.5% +3.4%
TO %	6 13.6% 19 16.6%	TOR 5.5% −3.0% BOS 8.5%
ORB %	2 28.9% 24 21.5%	TOR 25.5% +12.3% BOS 13.2%
FTrt	6 33.5 24 27.0	TOR 22.9 +1.7 BOS 21.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	32 45.5% 1 72.5%	TOR 44.0% BOS 70.5% +26.5%
STL %	13 9.1% 32 3.9%	TOR 5.4% +2.6% BOS 2.8%
BLK %	31 6.4% 29 6.9%	TOR 8.5% +4.6% BOS 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.09 and 3.09.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 50.7% 3 60.0%	TOR 50.0% BOS 54.6% +4.6%
Rim FG%	6 66.2% 4 69.3%	TOR 68.2% BOS 91.3% +23.1%
Mid FG%	7 43.5% 15 38.5%	TOR 50.9% +21.7% BOS 29.2%
3P %	31 24.4% 8 38.6%	TOR 21.9% BOS 30.8% +8.9%
FT %	29 69.1% 4 82.7%	TOR 72.0% +0.6% BOS 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 29.4% 27 27.8%	TOR 20.2% BOS 23.2% +3.0%
Mid Att. %	30 36.6% 3 17.9%	TOR 50.5% BOS 24.2% −26.2%
3P Att. %	30 34.0% 2 54.3%	TOR 29.4% BOS 52.5% +23.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Game Totals	TOR	BOS
Possessions	111	109
Possession Minutes	26.2	26.6
Points	125	119
Rebounds	59	45
Assists	22	31
Steals	6	3
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (8)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	46 (1)	38 (3)
Field Goals	50-109	44-99
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	21-23
Midrange FG	28-55	7-24
2-Point FG	43-77	28-47
3-Point FG	7-32	16-52
Free Throws	18-25	15-21
Fast Break Pts	14	15
2nd Chance Pts	19	10
Points in Paint	70	52
Pts off Turnovers	13	8
Bench Points	78	58
Biggest Lead	8	19

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg