Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 9, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Blazers			94	93.1	101	98.5
		Kings			126	123.5	102	105.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

-21

SAC

+20

-20

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.06 52.8%

SAC

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 23	27.8	16	80%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	27.3	8	33%	0	6	1	0	2	3	0	0	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	25.0	17	85%	1	2	2	2	2	1	0	1	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	23.9	3	30%	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	22.4	14	54%	9	1	0	1	5	1	2	7	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%

Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	21.5	5	36%	1	2	1	0	3	0	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.9	7	70%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 19	13.3	8	57%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	12.2	4	50%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	10.8	3	38%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	8.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Miller #23 · SG · 6'0" 180 · 24	6.1	2	33%	1	1	2	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID
Jared Rhoden #42 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Core Muscle Recovery
Brandon Williams #8 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	223	94	53%	29	18	9	4	21	20	6	23	26-31	84%	19-43	44%	10-29	34%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 23	27.8	16	80%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	27.3	8	33%	0	6	1	0	2	3	0	0	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	25.0	17	85%	1	2	2	2	2	1	0	1	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	23.9	3	30%	6	1	1	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	22.4	14	54%	9	1	0	1	5	1	2	7	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%

Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	21.5	5	36%	1	2	1	0	3	0	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.9	7	70%	3	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 19	13.3	8	57%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	12.2	4	50%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	10.8	3	38%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	8.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Miller #23 · SG · 6'0" 180 · 24	6.1	2	33%	1	1	2	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID
Jared Rhoden #42 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Core Muscle Recovery
Brandon Williams #8 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	223	94	53%	29	18	9	4	21	20	6	23	26-31	84%	19-43	44%	10-29	34%

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Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	23.6	11	50%	5	2	1	0	1	1	3	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	22.8	13	65%	7	4	0	0	2	2	2	5	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25	21.8	14	70%	2	3	1	0	1	4	1	1	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	3-3	100%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	21.1	11	79%	2	4	2	1	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
KZ Okpala #30 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23	12.4	4	40%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 22	22.7	16	114%	3	1	2	1	2	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	5-6	83%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	17.3	10	50%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 24	17.1	4	33%	0	5	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Chimezie Metu #7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26	13.4	6	43%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27	11.9	10	63%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 29	11.8	4	100%	5	1	1	1	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Terence Davis #3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	10.9	14	88%	3	4	1	1	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-5	80%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23	9.7	4	67%	5	1	0	2	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore #24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 33	9.7	3	50%	1	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	1-3	33%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Matthew Dellavedova #8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 32	9.1	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23	4.9	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Chima Moneke #19 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quinn Cook #28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sam Merrill #20 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-covid illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	47	34	11	7	20	33	13	34	15-23	65%	24-44	55%	21-45	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.06 52.8%

SAC

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

61%

SAC

55%

Midrange

POR

25%

SAC

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

34%

52%

SAC

31.5

47%

70%

Free Throws

POR

84%

SAC

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	17	85%	8.5 / 10
A. Simons	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Nurkić	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Lillard	8	33%	4.0 / 12
S. Sharpe	8	57%	4.0 / 7
N. Little	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Johnson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Watford	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Hart	3	30%	1.5 / 5
G. Brown III	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Eubanks	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Miller	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Murray	16	114%	8.0 / 7
D. Fox	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Davis	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Sabonis	13	65%	6.5 / 10
H. Barnes	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Huerter	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Monk	10	50%	5.0 / 10
T. Lyles	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Metu	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Okpala	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Mitchell	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Len	4	100%	2.0 / 2
N. Queta	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Bazemore	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Ellis	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Dellavedova	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.8 6 112.5	POR 93.1 SAC 123.5 +30.5
Pace	30 99.8 12 104.3	POR 98.5 SAC 105.8 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time	0 15.0 24 13.4	POR 14.6 SAC 13.6 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 51.6% 8 53.7%	POR 47.2% SAC 62.4% +15.2%
TO %	27 18.0% 16 16.1%	POR 20.4% SAC 16.8% −3.6%
ORB %	21 22.6% 4 27.9%	POR 15.0% SAC 36.1% +21.1%
FTrt	1 47.0 25 26.7	POR 43.1 +17.3 SAC 25.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.8% 7 66.9%	POR 62.1% SAC 75.6% +13.5%
STL %	17 8.3% 2 12.3%	POR 8.9% SAC 10.8% +1.9%
BLK %	2 14.5% 18 9.6%	POR 9.1% SAC 16.3% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.05 and 3.05.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 55.8% 12 54.9%	POR 52.8% SAC 61.8% +9.0%
Rim FG%	2 69.4% 31 53.1%	POR 60.9% +5.7% SAC 55.2%
Mid FG%	31 31.0% 4 45.0%	POR 25.0% SAC 53.3% +28.3%
3P %	15 34.4% 6 39.0%	POR 34.5% SAC 46.7% +12.2%
FT %	17 75.4% 30 67.0%	POR 83.9% +18.7% SAC 65.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 35.2% 13 34.8%	POR 31.9% SAC 32.6% +0.6%
Mid Att. %	26 30.4% 10 21.4%	POR 27.8% SAC 16.9% −10.9%
3P Att. %	27 34.4% 8 43.9%	POR 40.3% SAC 50.6% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.1
Points	94	126
Rebounds	29	47
Assists	18	34
Steals	9	11
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	20 (0)
Fouls	20	33
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	13 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	34 (3)
Field Goals	29-72	45-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	16-29
Midrange FG	5-20	8-15
2-Point FG	19-43	24-44
3-Point FG	10-29	21-45
Free Throws	26-31	15-23
Fast Break Pts	5	22
2nd Chance Pts	6	23
Points in Paint	36	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	28
Bench Points	36	73
Biggest Lead	3	36

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg