Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 10, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Rockets			110	103.8	106	109.1
		Heat			118	111.3	106	103.0

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+18

-25

MIA

+17

-16

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.6%

MIA

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 22	28.3	21	70%	7	6	3	0	2	0	1	6	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	28.2	25	60%	4	5	1	0	3	1	0	4	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	5-10	50%
KJ Martin #6 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 22	28.1	13	72%	3	4	2	1	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	17.1	2	20%	4	1	0	0	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	4.8	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	28.2	17	77%	12	0	1	1	3	3	5	7	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	23.8	8	36%	1	1	1	0	0	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-10	20%
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	18.4	4	50%	6	0	0	1	3	0	4	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	16.8	4	33%	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	10.9	4	100%	6	2	0	1	2	1	1	5	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	8.3	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	8.0	0	0%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 34	DND – Rest
Willie Cauley-Stein #00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Maledon #5 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Derrick Favors #14 · C · 6'10" 265 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maurice Harkless #7 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lower Back
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 19	NWT - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	221	110	56%	49	27	9	3	25	25	14	35	12-17	71%	25-48	52%	16-43	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 22	28.3	21	70%	7	6	3	0	2	0	1	6	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	28.2	25	60%	4	5	1	0	3	1	0	4	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	5-10	50%
KJ Martin #6 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 22	28.1	13	72%	3	4	2	1	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	17.1	2	20%	4	1	0	0	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	4.8	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	28.2	17	77%	12	0	1	1	3	3	5	7	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	23.8	8	36%	1	1	1	0	0	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-10	20%
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	18.4	4	50%	6	0	0	1	3	0	4	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	16.8	4	33%	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	10.9	4	100%	6	2	0	1	2	1	1	5	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	8.3	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	8.0	0	0%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 34	DND – Rest
Willie Cauley-Stein #00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Maledon #5 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Derrick Favors #14 · C · 6'10" 265 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maurice Harkless #7 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lower Back
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 19	NWT - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	221	110	56%	49	27	9	3	25	25	14	35	12-17	71%	25-48	52%	16-43	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	23.9	24	75%	4	2	1	0	3	2	1	3	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	5-10	50%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 26	23.7	6	43%	2	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	21.0	10	71%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	19.5	8	36%	3	4	3	0	3	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.9	2	50%	5	0	0	1	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	30.5	15	63%	6	2	0	1	0	2	4	2	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	25.9	15	63%	3	2	1	0	1	2	2	1	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	23.3	15	50%	12	4	2	0	2	1	3	9	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28	22.1	14	54%	3	4	1	1	2	0	0	3	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	4-10	40%
Jamaree Bouyea #11 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23	12.5	6	50%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Mychal Mulder #15 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 28	9.6	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Marcus Garrett #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	9.5	0	0%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	DND – Rest
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	DND – Rest
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	DND – Rest
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle Soreness
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee Contusion
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Kne Tendinitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	234	118	55%	44	28	12	6	16	16	13	31	22-26	85%	18-43	42%	20-51	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.6%

MIA

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

57%

MIA

67%

Midrange

HOU

44%

MIA

18%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

24.0

37%

56%

MIA

30.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

HOU

71%

MIA

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	25	60%	12.5 / 21
K. Porter	21	70%	10.5 / 15
T. Eason	17	77%	8.5 / 11
K. Martin	13	72%	6.5 / 9
G. Mathews	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Fernando	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Washington	4	33%	2.0 / 6
U. Garuba	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Sengun	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Tate	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Hudgins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Strus	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Cain	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Smith	15	63%	7.5 / 12
N. Jović	15	50%	7.5 / 15
D. Robinson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
G. Vincent	10	71%	5.0 / 7
V. Oladipo	8	36%	4.0 / 11
H. Highsmith	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Bouyea	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Mulder	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Dedmon	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Garrett	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 115.3 9 110.1	HOU 103.8 MIA 111.3 +7.5
Pace	14 104.6 19 103.6	HOU 109.1 +6.0 MIA 103.0
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.2 4 14.4	HOU 13.2 −0.8 MIA 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.6% 16 51.3%	HOU 53.8% +2.7% MIA 51.1%
TO %	30 18.7% 7 14.5%	HOU 20.2% MIA 13.2% −7.0%
ORB %	1 33.9% 13 25.8%	HOU 31.1% +4.0% MIA 27.1%
FTrt	23 27.1 25 26.8	HOU 18.7 MIA 27.7 +9.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.0% 2 70.7%	HOU 65.9% MIA 73.7% +7.8%
STL %	21 8.2% 6 10.5%	HOU 8.5% MIA 11.3% +2.8%
BLK %	2 14.2% 26 8.8%	HOU 7.0% MIA 12.5% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.1% 15 54.1%	HOU 55.6% +0.5% MIA 55.1%
Rim FG%	19 60.5% 18 60.6%	HOU 56.7% MIA 66.7% +10.0%
Mid FG%	11 40.5% 20 37.4%	HOU 44.4% +26.2% MIA 18.2%
3P %	2 41.6% 12 34.9%	HOU 37.2% MIA 39.2% +2.0%
FT %	24 73.5% 8 79.7%	HOU 70.6% MIA 84.6% +14.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 35.6% 19 29.8%	HOU 33.0% +10.6% MIA 22.3%
Mid Att. %	9 23.2% 10 23.3%	HOU 19.8% −3.6% MIA 23.4%
3P Att. %	14 41.2% 5 46.8%	HOU 47.3% MIA 54.3% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	MIA
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	110	118
Rebounds	49	44
Assists	27	28
Steals	9	12
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	25 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	25	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (4)	31 (3)
Field Goals	41-91	38-94
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	14-21
Midrange FG	8-18	4-22
2-Point FG	25-48	18-43
3-Point FG	16-43	20-51
Free Throws	12-17	22-26
Fast Break Pts	12	17
2nd Chance Pts	18	17
Points in Paint	46	30
Pts off Turnovers	21	34
Bench Points	47	68
Biggest Lead	16	16

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg