Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 13, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Thunder			118	113.5	104	109.3
		Spurs			112	106.7	105	100.2

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+10

-12

102

SAS

+19

-19

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.16 57.8%

SAS

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 21	30.6	21	95%	1	2	1	0	2	4	1	0	6-7	86%	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 20	26.1	1	17%	11	2	0	1	0	3	0	11	1-4	25%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	24.9	18	64%	6	6	2	0	3	4	3	3	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.4	5	31%	3	1	3	0	1	5	0	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 23	12.9	12	55%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4-6	67%	4-4	100%	0-4	0%

Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	30.2	17	53%	1	6	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	4-8	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 19	27.5	11	69%	2	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 22	21.4	8	67%	4	2	0	2	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	18.1	8	40%	6	1	0	1	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	11.8	5	63%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5-5	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	9.1	7	88%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 24	9.0	5	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| left ankle sprain
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| right foot surgery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| left knee sprain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| right groin strain
David Nwaba #11 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Mokoka #30 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marquese Chriss #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	NWT - Not With Team
Trey Burke #9 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 30	NWT - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	58%	39	24	10	5	12	27	8	31	28-35	80%	30-52	58%	10-34	29%

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Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 21	30.6	21	95%	1	2	1	0	2	4	1	0	6-7	86%	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 20	26.1	1	17%	11	2	0	1	0	3	0	11	1-4	25%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	24.9	18	64%	6	6	2	0	3	4	3	3	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.4	5	31%	3	1	3	0	1	5	0	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 23	12.9	12	55%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4-6	67%	4-4	100%	0-4	0%

Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	30.2	17	53%	1	6	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	4-8	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 19	27.5	11	69%	2	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 22	21.4	8	67%	4	2	0	2	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	18.1	8	40%	6	1	0	1	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	11.8	5	63%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5-5	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	9.1	7	88%	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 24	9.0	5	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| left ankle sprain
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| right foot surgery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| left knee sprain
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| right groin strain
David Nwaba #11 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Mokoka #30 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marquese Chriss #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	NWT - Not With Team
Trey Burke #9 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 30	NWT - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	58%	39	24	10	5	12	27	8	31	28-35	80%	30-52	58%	10-34	29%

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San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	29.8	19	48%	4	3	1	0	1	4	3	1	3-4	75%	8-14	57%	0-5	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	28.4	18	50%	4	2	2	0	1	4	0	4	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	1-6	17%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.2	10	45%	8	3	1	1	2	0	3	5	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	24.8	8	100%	10	5	0	1	5	2	3	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	21.9	6	33%	7	0	1	0	1	3	4	3	0-4	0%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Joshua Primo #11 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 20	24.1	23	77%	1	4	0	1	4	4	0	1	6-6	100%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	20.0	11	79%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	15.8	2	33%	3	1	0	1	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	14.8	5	50%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	12.5	8	67%	6	1	0	1	2	1	3	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	10.7	2	100%	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	7	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 19	8.5	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stephen Zimmerman #0 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| concussion protocol
Joe Wieskamp #15 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hall #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alize Johnson #19 · PF · 6'9" 212 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	NWT – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	53	23	7	5	19	24	17	36	25-34	74%	36-62	58%	5-26	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.16 57.8%

SAS

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

65%

SAS

58%

Midrange

OKC

40%

SAS

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

15.0

29%

44%

SAS

7.5

19%

29%

Free Throws

OKC

80%

SAS

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	21	95%	10.5 / 11
J. Giddey	18	64%	9.0 / 14
T. Mann	17	53%	8.5 / 16
L. Dort	12	55%	6.0 / 11
O. Dieng	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Bazley	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Pokusevski	8	40%	4.0 / 10
E. Omoruyi	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Robinson-Earl	5	31%	2.5 / 8
L. Waters	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Wiggins	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Williams	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Primo	23	77%	11.5 / 15
K. Johnson	19	48%	9.5 / 20
D. Vassell	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. McDermott	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Poeltl	8	100%	4.0 / 4
I. Roby	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Sochan	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Bates-Diop	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Langford	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Dieng	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Branham	0	-	0.0 / 3
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 118.3 25 98.5	OKC 113.5 +6.8 SAS 106.7
Pace	28 101.0 11 104.6	OKC 109.3 +9.1 SAS 100.2
Avg. Poss. Time	19 13.7 15 13.9	OKC 13.2 −1.2 SAS 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 58.2% 25 48.1%	OKC 52.3% +2.9% SAS 49.4%
TO %	21 16.9% 23 17.6%	OKC 10.6% −5.0% SAS 15.6%
ORB %	3 28.6% 20 22.8%	OKC 18.2% SAS 35.4% +17.2%
FTrt	7 33.4 14 30.1	OKC 40.7 +2.1 SAS 38.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.7% 13 64.7%	OKC 60.0% +3.9% SAS 56.1%
STL %	15 8.8% 27 7.4%	OKC 9.6% +2.9% SAS 6.7%
BLK %	17 9.6% 13 10.9%	OKC 8.1% SAS 9.6% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 60.6% 25 51.1%	OKC 57.8% +4.5% SAS 53.3%
Rim FG%	12 63.6% 24 57.1%	OKC 64.9% +6.6% SAS 58.3%
Mid FG%	5 44.4% 7 42.0%	OKC 40.0% SAS 57.7% +17.7%
3P %	9 38.2% 25 29.6%	OKC 29.4% +10.2% SAS 19.2%
FT %	12 78.0% 27 71.2%	OKC 80.0% +6.5% SAS 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 42.5% 17 33.6%	OKC 43.0% +2.1% SAS 40.9%
Mid Att. %	1 14.3% 18 25.6%	OKC 17.4% −12.1% SAS 29.5%
3P Att. %	11 43.1% 15 40.9%	OKC 39.5% +10.0% SAS 29.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	SAS
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	118	112
Rebounds	39	53
Assists	24	23
Steals	10	7
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	27	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	36 (3)
Field Goals	40-86	41-88
At-the-Rim FG	24-37	21-36
Midrange FG	6-15	15-26
2-Point FG	30-52	36-62
3-Point FG	10-34	5-26
Free Throws	28-35	25-34
Fast Break Pts	15	10
2nd Chance Pts	7	12
Points in Paint	54	68
Pts off Turnovers	23	17
Bench Points	61	51
Biggest Lead	6	12

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg