Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 7, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Timberwolves			104	102.0	102	101.7
		Mavericks			96	94.1	102	102.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+17

-18

101

DAL

+23

-20

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.03 51.5%

DAL

0.91 45.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	17.9	14	64%	3	2	2	1	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	17.1	13	59%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	16.9	7	88%	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	16.2	6	50%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	7.4	4	200%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	17.3	2	25%	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	16.7	4	50%	4	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	15.9	14	88%	3	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	15.1	4	67%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	14.2	2	25%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	13.7	10	63%	1	1	2	1	4	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	12.3	3	50%	2	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	10.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 25	8.9	7	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Vít Krejčí #17 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	7.4	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	6.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon Rehab
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	214	104	52%	46	25	9	6	18	23	13	33	12-16	75%	25-59	42%	14-31	45%

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Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	17.9	14	64%	3	2	2	1	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 22	17.1	13	59%	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	16.9	7	88%	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	16.2	6	50%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	7.4	4	200%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	17.3	2	25%	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	16.7	4	50%	4	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	15.9	14	88%	3	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	15.1	4	67%	1	3	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	14.2	2	25%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	13.7	10	63%	1	1	2	1	4	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	12.3	3	50%	2	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	10.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 25	8.9	7	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Vít Krejčí #17 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	7.4	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	6.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon Rehab
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	214	104	52%	46	25	9	6	18	23	13	33	12-16	75%	25-59	42%	14-31	45%

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Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	22.6	2	50%	4	0	1	3	3	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 21	22.6	22	52%	8	2	1	0	6	1	2	6	0-0	-	5-11	45%	4-10	40%
Josh Green #8 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 23	22.3	6	50%	3	0	1	0	2	1	1	2	0-1	0%	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Grant Williams #3 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 25	20.1	6	43%	4	3	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	18.9	18	60%	5	6	2	0	4	0	1	4	6-7	86%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%

Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 28	19.7	5	83%	2	5	0	0	3	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 21	19.6	5	23%	6	1	0	0	0	0	3	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-5	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	17.5	8	50%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Dexter Dennis #38 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	14.3	5	36%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	13.7	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	10.1	3	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Walker #16 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24	7.8	6	75%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Richaun Holmes #20 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	7.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 23	7.3	2	33%	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Greg Brown III #36 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 22	7.2	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 32	7.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Wieskamp #37 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Miles Jr. #14 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle Soreness
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	46%	51	19	8	8	20	15	15	36	12-17	71%	21-48	44%	14-46	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.03 51.5%

DAL

0.91 45.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

54%

DAL

52%

Midrange

MIN

25%

DAL

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

45%

68%

DAL

21.0

30%

46%

Free Throws

MIN

75%

DAL

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	14	64%	7.0 / 11
N. Reid	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Edwards	13	59%	6.5 / 11
L. Miller	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Gobert	7	88%	3.5 / 4
L. Garza	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Alexander-Walker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Conley	4	200%	2.0 / 1
J. Minott	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Milton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
V. Krejčí	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. McLaughlin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Anderson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Brown Jr.	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Ryan	0	-	0.0 / 6
D. Nix	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Hardy	22	52%	11.0 / 21
L. Dončić	18	60%	9.0 / 15
T. Hardaway	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Green	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Williams	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Walker	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Exum	5	83%	2.5 / 3
O. Prosper	5	23%	2.5 / 11
D. Dennis	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Brown III	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Lively	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Kleber	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Lawson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Powell	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 116.2 22 104.6	MIN 102.0 +7.8 DAL 94.1
Pace	28 101.3 21 103.3	MIN 101.7 DAL 102.3 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time	2 14.4 24 13.5	MIN 14.2 DAL 14.1 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 58.0% 28 49.2%	MIN 51.1% +6.4% DAL 44.7%
TO %	22 17.0% 3 13.3%	MIN 17.1% −1.4% DAL 18.5%
ORB %	12 25.4% 29 20.7%	MIN 26.5% DAL 31.3% +4.8%
FTrt	29 22.2 23 24.8	MIN 17.8 DAL 18.1 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 71.9% 26 59.1%	MIN 64.1% +9.8% DAL 54.3%
STL %	32 7.2% 22 8.7%	MIN 8.8% +1.0% DAL 7.8%
BLK %	14 12.1% 7 14.0%	MIN 12.5% DAL 13.6% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.9% 29 51.1%	MIN 51.5% +5.8% DAL 45.7%
Rim FG%	18 60.5% 27 58.0%	MIN 54.3% +2.4% DAL 51.9%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 32 36.1%	MIN 25.0% DAL 33.3% +8.3%
3P %	2 40.7% 19 34.3%	MIN 45.2% +14.8% DAL 30.4%
FT %	11 76.5% 33 67.7%	MIN 75.0% +4.4% DAL 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 40.0% 33 26.7%	MIN 38.9% +10.2% DAL 28.7%
Mid Att. %	1 16.1% 19 25.9%	MIN 26.7% DAL 22.3% −4.3%
3P Att. %	14 43.9% 8 47.5%	MIN 34.4% DAL 48.9% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DAL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	104	96
Rebounds	46	51
Assists	25	19
Steals	9	8
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	20 (3)
Fouls	23	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	15 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (6)	36 (1)
Field Goals	39-90	35-94
At-the-Rim FG	19-35	14-27
Midrange FG	6-24	7-21
2-Point FG	25-59	21-48
3-Point FG	14-31	14-46
Free Throws	12-16	12-17
Fast Break Pts	18	17
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	44	38
Pts off Turnovers	19	24
Bench Points	60	42
Biggest Lead	19	3

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg