Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 8, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Bulls			102	100.0	102	106.1
		Bucks			105	101.9	103	99.2

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+17

-15

104

MIL

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

0.98 49.0%

MIL

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	22.9	14	70%	6	6	2	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	22.2	13	65%	2	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	17.3	7	50%	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	17.3	4	50%	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	17.3	9	64%	2	3	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	18.7	7	39%	4	1	2	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	16.3	8	57%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	14.7	8	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	14.1	8	44%	9	0	0	0	2	2	3	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	11.2	2	20%	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	9.7	2	25%	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Carlik Jones #7 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 26	9.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	8.6	2	50%	4	2	0	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Adama Sanogo #21 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 22	8.0	4	40%	4	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	6.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	5.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	5.4	6	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Max Heidegger #20 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 26	5.4	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 23	4.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	4.8	5	83%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	47	24	11	8	15	18	15	32	11-12	92%	26-64	41%	13-35	37%

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Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	22.9	14	70%	6	6	2	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	22.2	13	65%	2	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	17.3	7	50%	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	17.3	4	50%	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	17.3	9	64%	2	3	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	18.7	7	39%	4	1	2	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	16.3	8	57%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	14.7	8	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	14.1	8	44%	9	0	0	0	2	2	3	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	11.2	2	20%	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	9.7	2	25%	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Carlik Jones #7 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 26	9.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	8.6	2	50%	4	2	0	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Adama Sanogo #21 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 22	8.0	4	40%	4	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	6.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	5.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	5.4	6	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Max Heidegger #20 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 26	5.4	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 23	4.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	4.8	5	83%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	49%	47	24	11	8	15	18	15	32	11-12	92%	26-64	41%	13-35	37%

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Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lindell Wigginton #28 · PG · 6'1" 189 · 26	25.4	2	14%	3	3	3	1	4	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	21.9	13	65%	0	4	2	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33	20.1	10	71%	4	1	1	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	12.5	11	69%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	12.5	8	80%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.6	6	38%	2	7	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31	21.3	14	78%	5	1	0	2	1	4	0	5	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	19.7	8	44%	8	2	0	0	1	0	2	6	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Robin Lopez #42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 36	19.5	6	50%	0	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	16.8	4	40%	4	3	1	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Marques Bolden #12 · C · 6'10" 249 · 25	16.0	3	75%	4	0	1	2	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf: Strain
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Omari Moore #13 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cameron Payne #15 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jazian Gortman #36 · PG · 6'2" 184 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	208	105	54%	46	28	8	4	17	13	7	39	13-16	81%	31-52	60%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

0.98 49.0%

MIL

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

55%

MIL

86%

Midrange

CHI

29%

MIL

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

19.5

37%

56%

MIL

15.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

CHI

92%

MIL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	14	70%	7.0 / 10
P. Williams	13	65%	6.5 / 10
Z. LaVine	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Carter	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Dosunmu	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Drummond	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. DeRozan	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Craig	7	39%	3.5 / 9
O. Bitim	6	100%	3.0 / 3
Q. Jackson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
N. Vučević	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Sanogo	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Terry	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Phillips	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Taylor	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Lewis	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Heidegger	1	25%	0.5 / 2
C. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 4
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Antetokounmpo	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Beasley	13	65%	6.5 / 10
B. Lopez	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Crowder	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Portis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
P. Connaughton	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Washington	6	38%	3.0 / 8
R. Lopez	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Jackson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Bolden	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Wigginton	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 106.0 26 103.1	CHI 100.0 MIL 101.9 +1.9
Pace	33 98.4 14 104.9	CHI 106.1 +6.8 MIL 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time	-2 14.9 10 14.0	CHI 13.6 −0.9 MIL 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 49.6% 26 49.9%	CHI 46.0% MIL 54.1% +8.1%
TO %	17 15.8% 16 15.5%	CHI 12.6% −4.5% MIL 17.1%
ORB %	3 31.2% 21 23.6%	CHI 27.8% +9.9% MIL 17.9%
FTrt	33 18.7 27 23.1	CHI 12.1 MIL 18.8 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 63.1% 10 66.0%	CHI 61.5% MIL 68.3% +6.8%
STL %	13 9.9% 20 9.0%	CHI 10.8% +3.0% MIL 7.8%
BLK %	1 18.4% 22 10.4%	CHI 15.4% +9.1% MIL 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 51.5% 28 51.4%	CHI 49.0% MIL 53.6% +4.6%
Rim FG%	35 53.1% 10 64.8%	CHI 55.2% MIL 85.7% +30.5%
Mid FG%	27 39.6% 34 32.4%	CHI 28.6% MIL 29.2% +0.6%
3P %	11 36.0% 24 32.2%	CHI 37.1% +6.8% MIL 30.3%
FT %	4 82.0% 28 72.0%	CHI 91.7% +10.4% MIL 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 37.3% 19 31.3%	CHI 29.3% MIL 32.9% +3.6%
Mid Att. %	28 28.2% 13 22.6%	CHI 35.4% MIL 28.2% −7.1%
3P Att. %	34 34.5% 10 46.1%	CHI 35.4% MIL 38.8% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	CHI	MIL
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	102	105
Rebounds	47	46
Assists	24	28
Steals	11	8
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls	18	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	39 (5)
Field Goals	39-99	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	16-29	24-28
Midrange FG	10-35	7-24
2-Point FG	26-64	31-52
3-Point FG	13-35	10-33
Free Throws	11-12	13-16
Fast Break Pts	25	17
2nd Chance Pts	14	11
Points in Paint	38	54
Pts off Turnovers	15	21
Bench Points	55	61
Biggest Lead	14	9

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg