Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 8, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		76ers			106	103.9	102	99.6
		Celtics			114	110.7	103	105.6

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+16

-14

104

BOS

+15

-16

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.02 51.0%

BOS

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	28.9	24	67%	4	4	1	1	0	4	1	3	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 24	23.4	5	25%	5	1	1	1	0	4	2	3	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 31	21.9	13	50%	7	0	1	1	2	2	0	7	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Patrick Beverley #22 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	14.0	12	86%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
P.J. Tucker #17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 38	12.2	0	0%	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	23.6	14	88%	5	2	1	1	2	2	4	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 25	16.4	7	39%	6	1	1	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	16.1	0	0%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 36	15.3	3	25%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	14.1	3	30%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Javonte Smart #39 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 24	14.1	6	100%	1	2	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	13.2	6	38%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	12.0	6	100%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	8.0	5	42%	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
David Duke Jr. #28 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	6.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	DND - Coaches Decision
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	DND - Coaches Decision
James Harden #1 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	DND - Coaches Decision
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DND - Coaches Decision
Montrezl Harrell #5 · C · 6'8" 240 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Azuolas Tubelis #20 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	51%	48	19	10	6	14	24	14	34	15-19	79%	26-57	46%	13-38	34%

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Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	28.9	24	67%	4	4	1	1	0	4	1	3	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Paul Reed #44 · C · 6'9" 210 · 24	23.4	5	25%	5	1	1	1	0	4	2	3	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 31	21.9	13	50%	7	0	1	1	2	2	0	7	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Patrick Beverley #22 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	14.0	12	86%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
P.J. Tucker #17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 38	12.2	0	0%	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	23.6	14	88%	5	2	1	1	2	2	4	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 25	16.4	7	39%	6	1	1	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	16.1	0	0%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 36	15.3	3	25%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	14.1	3	30%	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Javonte Smart #39 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 24	14.1	6	100%	1	2	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	13.2	6	38%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	12.0	6	100%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	8.0	5	42%	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
David Duke Jr. #28 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	6.7	2	33%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	DND - Coaches Decision
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	DND - Coaches Decision
James Harden #1 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	DND - Coaches Decision
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DND - Coaches Decision
Montrezl Harrell #5 · C · 6'8" 240 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Azuolas Tubelis #20 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	51%	48	19	10	6	14	24	14	34	15-19	79%	26-57	46%	13-38	34%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	26.7	13	38%	10	5	1	0	1	2	2	8	7-9	78%	3-9	33%	0-4	0%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 27	25.9	19	79%	3	1	1	1	2	4	2	1	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 29	24.8	7	44%	4	2	1	1	3	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 28	24.6	17	77%	5	1	0	1	3	2	1	4	5-8	63%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 37	20.9	5	63%	4	2	0	2	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	23.2	0	0%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-6	0%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	23.2	26	93%	2	4	1	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	6-11	55%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33	21.5	6	30%	5	1	2	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-6	0%	2-4	50%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	18.0	7	58%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	13.2	5	42%	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28	12.8	4	67%	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lamar Stevens #77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	5.2	5	125%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jay Scrubb #55 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Torn Right ACL
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
DJ Steward #26 · SG · 6'1" 162 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel #13 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	49	19	8	6	16	21	12	37	26-34	76%	23-47	49%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.02 51.0%

BOS

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

59%

BOS

69%

Midrange

PHI

40%

BOS

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

19.5

34%

51%

BOS

21.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

PHI

79%

BOS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Springer	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Harris	13	50%	6.5 / 13
P. Beverley	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Bamba	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Smart	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Oubre	6	38%	3.0 / 8
F. Petrusev	6	100%	3.0 / 3
P. Reed	5	25%	2.5 / 10
T. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Green	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Council	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Duke	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. House	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	26	93%	13.0 / 14
J. Brown	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Porziņģis	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Tatum	13	38%	6.5 / 17
D. White	7	44%	3.5 / 8
O. Brissett	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Holiday	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Horford	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Banton	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Stevens	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Kornet	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Hauser	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 110.2 4 115.4	PHI 103.9 BOS 110.7 +6.8
Pace	23 103.0 29 101.1	PHI 99.6 BOS 105.6 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time	11 13.9 9 14.0	PHI 14.5 BOS 13.6 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 53.1% 8 54.4%	PHI 47.9% BOS 51.8% +3.9%
TO %	5 13.8% 15 15.4%	PHI 11.9% −1.9% BOS 13.8%
ORB %	13 25.3% 4 29.3%	PHI 27.5% +1.4% BOS 26.1%
FTrt	31 20.6 22 24.8	PHI 20.0 BOS 40.0 +20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 63.3% 29 58.7%	PHI 48.7% BOS 51.4% +2.7%
STL %	4 12.1% 12 9.9%	PHI 9.8% +2.0% BOS 7.8%
BLK %	19 11.2% 20 10.9%	PHI 12.8% +2.3% BOS 10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 55.0% 7 57.0%	PHI 51.0% BOS 55.9% +4.9%
Rim FG%	33 55.8% 8 65.0%	PHI 58.8% BOS 69.2% +10.4%
Mid FG%	17 42.7% 18 42.4%	PHI 40.0% +16.2% BOS 23.8%
3P %	4 38.6% 14 34.8%	PHI 34.2% BOS 36.8% +2.6%
FT %	20 75.3% 9 77.9%	PHI 78.9% +2.4% BOS 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 27.9% 18 31.4%	PHI 17.9% BOS 30.6% +12.7%
Mid Att. %	23 27.6% 5 18.7%	PHI 42.1% BOS 24.7% −17.4%
3P Att. %	12 44.5% 2 49.9%	PHI 40.0% BOS 44.7% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	BOS
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	106	114
Rebounds	48	49
Assists	19	19
Steals	10	8
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	24	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	37 (6)
Field Goals	39-95	37-85
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	18-26
Midrange FG	16-40	5-21
2-Point FG	26-57	23-47
3-Point FG	13-38	14-38
Free Throws	15-19	26-34
Fast Break Pts	12	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	17
Points in Paint	42	40
Pts off Turnovers	17	18
Bench Points	52	53
Biggest Lead	13	8

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg