Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 8, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Kings			99	92.5	107	106.4
		Raptors			112	103.7	108	108.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-18

102

TOR

+13

-29

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.97 48.5%

TOR

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	16.0	7	50%	6	6	2	0	1	2	2	4	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	16.0	2	14%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	16.0	11	55%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 31	14.2	11	69%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	14.2	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	15.8	5	63%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	14.7	8	57%	2	3	1	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	14.7	2	20%	2	4	1	0	2	0	0	2	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	13.8	4	22%	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	12.9	7	117%	1	1	0	2	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	12.2	2	50%	2	2	0	2	2	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	11.3	12	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	11.0	1	17%	3	0	1	0	3	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	9.3	1	17%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	8.1	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Deonte Burton #34 · SG · 6'5" 250 · 30	7.0	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jaylen Nowell #35 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	7.0	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 31	7.0	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Chance Comanche #22 · C · 6'10" 210 · 27	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	221	99	49%	34	29	11	2	18	23	9	25	19-25	76%	25-44	57%	10-45	22%

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Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	16.0	7	50%	6	6	2	0	1	2	2	4	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	16.0	2	14%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	16.0	11	55%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 31	14.2	11	69%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	14.2	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	15.8	5	63%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 25	14.7	8	57%	2	3	1	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	14.7	2	20%	2	4	1	0	2	0	0	2	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	13.8	4	22%	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	12.9	7	117%	1	1	0	2	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 30	12.2	2	50%	2	2	0	2	2	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28	11.3	12	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	11.0	1	17%	3	0	1	0	3	0	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 23	9.3	1	17%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25	8.1	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Deonte Burton #34 · SG · 6'5" 250 · 30	7.0	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jaylen Nowell #35 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 24	7.0	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 31	7.0	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Chance Comanche #22 · C · 6'10" 210 · 27	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	221	99	49%	34	29	11	2	18	23	9	25	19-25	76%	25-44	57%	10-45	22%

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Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 26	20.0	14	100%	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	19.9	8	57%	3	4	2	1	2	3	0	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	18.8	4	50%	5	2	1	0	4	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Scottie Barnes #4 · SG · 6'8" 237 · 22	17.6	15	63%	7	4	0	0	3	0	0	7	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 30	16.7	6	60%	5	5	1	0	2	5	0	5	3-4	75%	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	21.1	11	69%	6	0	0	1	1	2	1	5	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	20.5	22	79%	1	0	3	0	5	4	1	0	5-5	100%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 25	19.9	5	36%	5	5	0	0	3	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	15.7	11	92%	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	15.2	2	50%	3	2	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	14.4	5	42%	3	1	2	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Mouhamadou Gueye #15 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	12.0	7	88%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	3-5	60%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 37	12.0	2	50%	1	1	0	0	2	2	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Markquis Nowell #24 · SG · 5'8" 160 · 24	8.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	8.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ron Harper Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Makur Maker #9 · C · 6'10" 232 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #20 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	INACTIVE
Otto Porter Jr. #32 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 30	INACTIVE
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	48	30	13	6	29	29	8	40	24-32	75%	29-46	63%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.97 48.5%

TOR

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

69%

TOR

70%

Midrange

SAC

39%

TOR

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

15.0

22%

33%

TOR

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

SAC

76%

TOR

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Vezenkov	12	75%	6.0 / 8
K. Murray	11	55%	5.5 / 10
H. Barnes	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Mitchell	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Ford	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Sabonis	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. McGee	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Lamb	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Lyles	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Nowell	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Duarte	4	22%	2.0 / 9
D. Fox	2	14%	1.0 / 7
K. Huerter	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Monk	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Len	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Ellis	1	17%	0.5 / 3
K. Edwards	1	17%	0.5 / 3
D. Burton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Trent	22	79%	11.0 / 14
S. Barnes	15	63%	7.5 / 12
O. Anunoby	14	100%	7.0 / 7
C. Boucher	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. McDaniels	11	92%	5.5 / 6
P. Siakam	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Gueye	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Schröder	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Flynn	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Dick	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Poeltl	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Young	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Temple	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Nowell	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Freeman-Liberty	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 103.6 5 114.9	SAC 92.5 TOR 103.7 +11.2
Pace	19 103.6 9 105.7	SAC 106.4 TOR 108.6 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time	19 13.7 30 13.0	SAC 13.5 TOR 13.3 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 50.6% 3 56.7%	SAC 44.9% TOR 58.7% +13.8%
TO %	7 14.2% 30 18.9%	SAC 16.0% −8.6% TOR 24.6%
ORB %	31 19.4% 2 31.5%	SAC 18.4% TOR 24.2% +5.8%
FTrt	30 21.5 1 37.0	SAC 28.1 TOR 42.7 +14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 70.6% 5 71.2%	SAC 82.9% +6.0% TOR 76.9%
STL %	29 7.8% 10 10.4%	SAC 10.3% TOR 12.0% +1.7%
BLK %	34 5.2% 31 8.4%	SAC 4.3% TOR 13.6% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 52.6% 2 59.1%	SAC 48.5% TOR 60.9% +12.4%
Rim FG%	3 69.4% 1 71.4%	SAC 69.2% TOR 70.4% +1.2%
Mid FG%	21 41.9% 33 33.9%	SAC 38.9% TOR 52.6% +13.7%
3P %	28 31.0% 15 34.8%	SAC 22.2% TOR 34.5% +12.3%
FT %	22 74.0% 13 76.4%	SAC 76.0% +1.0% TOR 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34 23.8% 1 40.8%	SAC 29.2% TOR 36.0% +6.8%
Mid Att. %	24 27.7% 2 18.1%	SAC 20.2% −5.1% TOR 25.3%
3P Att. %	4 48.5% 22 41.1%	SAC 50.6% +11.9% TOR 38.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	SAC	TOR
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	99	112
Rebounds	34	48
Assists	29	30
Steals	11	13
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	29 (0)
Fouls	23	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	40 (2)
Field Goals	35-89	39-75
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	19-27
Midrange FG	7-18	10-19
2-Point FG	25-44	29-46
3-Point FG	10-45	10-29
Free Throws	19-25	24-32
Fast Break Pts	20	24
2nd Chance Pts	9	15
Points in Paint	50	52
Pts off Turnovers	30	24
Bench Points	66	65
Biggest Lead	8	26

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg