Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 10, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Magic			122	116.2	105	101.6
		Pelicans			105	101.0	104	107.6

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+21

-11

115

NOP

+20

-17

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.06 53.0%

NOP

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	20.0	12	55%	6	1	2	1	0	3	1	5	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	19.7	10	71%	4	5	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	19.2	18	69%	5	1	1	1	3	2	0	5	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	4-5	80%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	17.0	6	43%	5	3	1	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	15.3	9	75%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	17.7	2	20%	1	2	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	15.4	2	25%	2	2	0	1	1	3	2	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	14.9	13	65%	3	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	14.1	6	60%	5	0	1	0	0	2	1	4	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	12.7	5	63%	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	12.3	5	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	8.5	7	70%	4	0	0	2	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	8.3	7	44%	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Brandon Williams #11 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	6.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
D.J. Wilson #23 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 28	6.2	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	208	122	53%	53	29	8	7	11	26	13	40	19-26	73%	29-56	52%	15-45	33%

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Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	20.0	12	55%	6	1	2	1	0	3	1	5	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25	19.7	10	71%	4	5	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	19.2	18	69%	5	1	1	1	3	2	0	5	4-6	67%	1-5	20%	4-5	80%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	17.0	6	43%	5	3	1	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	15.3	9	75%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	17.7	2	20%	1	2	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	15.4	2	25%	2	2	0	1	1	3	2	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	14.9	13	65%	3	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26	14.1	6	60%	5	0	1	0	0	2	1	4	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	12.7	5	63%	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	12.3	5	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	8.5	7	70%	4	0	0	2	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	8.3	7	44%	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Brandon Williams #11 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	6.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
D.J. Wilson #23 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 28	6.2	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	208	122	53%	53	29	8	7	11	26	13	40	19-26	73%	29-56	52%	15-45	33%

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New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	18.5	7	50%	11	2	1	2	1	3	3	8	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 26	17.0	14	54%	4	2	1	0	4	0	1	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32	16.4	12	60%	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Herbert Jones #5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25	16.0	11	79%	5	0	0	1	1	3	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 23	15.5	12	60%	5	5	0	0	2	2	0	5	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	25.8	9	32%	3	3	0	0	3	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-6	17%
Dyson Daniels #11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21	24.9	10	63%	4	2	0	1	2	2	2	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	23.4	9	45%	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Naji Marshall #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	19.6	3	21%	1	3	3	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Dereon Seabron #0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 23	16.1	13	54%	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	3-8	38%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Kaiser Gates #12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	7.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tevian Jones #55 · NA · 6'7" 220 · 23	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam Robbins #4 · NA · 7'0" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Landers Nolley II #2 · SG · 6'7" 208 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malcolm Hill #33 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	205	105	49%	54	20	9	10	17	22	17	37	19-29	66%	31-61	51%	8-34	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.06 53.0%

NOP

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

61%

NOP

63%

Midrange

ORL

40%

NOP

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

22.5

33%

50%

NOP

12.0

24%

35%

Free Throws

ORL

73%

NOP

66%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Carter	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Anthony	13	65%	6.5 / 10
P. Banchero	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Fultz	10	71%	5.0 / 7
F. Wagner	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Bitadze	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Isaac	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Suggs	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Wagner	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Schofield	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Okeke	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Black	2	20%	1.0 / 5
G. Harris	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Wilson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Ingram	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Seabron	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. McCollum	12	60%	6.0 / 10
Z. Williamson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
H. Jones	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Daniels	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Hawkins	9	32%	4.5 / 14
K. Lewis Jr.	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Valančiūnas	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Marshall	3	21%	1.5 / 7
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 108.0 31 97.3	ORL 116.2 +15.2 NOP 101.0
Pace	32 99.8 22 103.0	ORL 101.6 NOP 107.6 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time	5 14.2 6 14.2	ORL 14.2 NOP 13.4 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 52.2% 25 50.1%	ORL 51.0% +5.7% NOP 45.3%
TO %	11 14.8% 33 20.4%	ORL 10.4% −3.2% NOP 13.6%
ORB %	27 21.9% 16 25.0%	ORL 26.0% NOP 29.8% +3.8%
FTrt	14 28.7 26 23.1	ORL 25.7 NOP 30.5 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 70.4% 14 65.1%	ORL 65.9% +14.6% NOP 51.3%
STL %	2 12.3% 9 10.5%	ORL 7.6% NOP 8.7% +1.1%
BLK %	30 8.4% 5 14.6%	ORL 11.5% NOP 17.9% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.0% 25 52.1%	ORL 53.0% +4.4% NOP 48.6%
Rim FG%	17 60.8% 32 56.1%	ORL 61.3% NOP 62.9% +1.6%
Mid FG%	20 41.9% 4 47.1%	ORL 40.0% +5.4% NOP 34.6%
3P %	20 33.1% 26 31.2%	ORL 33.3% +9.8% NOP 23.5%
FT %	19 75.5% 34 67.5%	ORL 73.1% +7.6% NOP 65.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 35.1% 9 35.5%	ORL 30.7% NOP 36.8% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	4 18.1% 17 24.6%	ORL 24.8% −2.6% NOP 27.4%
3P Att. %	9 46.8% 24 39.9%	ORL 44.6% +8.8% NOP 35.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	NOP
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	122	105
Rebounds	53	54
Assists	29	20
Steals	8	9
Blocks	7	10
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	17 (0)
Fouls	26	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (8)	17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	44-101	39-95
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	22-35
Midrange FG	10-25	9-26
2-Point FG	29-56	31-61
3-Point FG	15-45	8-34
Free Throws	19-26	19-29
Fast Break Pts	19	15
2nd Chance Pts	18	22
Points in Paint	46	54
Pts off Turnovers	26	14
Bench Points	67	49
Biggest Lead	19	16

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg