Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 10, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Breakers			66	65.3	101	92.8
		Blazers			106	106.0	100	110.9

Scoring Opportunities

NZB

+14

-21

POR

+14

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NZB

0.70 35.1%

POR

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

New Zealand Breakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	0	66	35%	40	14	14	4	21	24	11	29	10-15	67%	19-45	42%	6-38	16%

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New Zealand Breakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	0	66	35%	40	14	14	4	21	24	11	29	10-15	67%	19-45	42%	6-38	16%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	19.4	7	58%	1	6	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	17.0	14	78%	1	0	0	0	4	3	0	1	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 25	15.2	8	40%	6	2	2	1	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	14.2	0	0%	3	1	1	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 27	13.9	8	100%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%

Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 23	18.1	3	50%	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 27	17.3	12	55%	5	1	1	1	0	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	16.2	2	50%	2	5	3	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	15.5	6	100%	8	0	1	1	1	1	2	6	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Malcolm Brogdon #92 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	14.8	2	33%	7	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	14.5	13	108%	4	3	1	0	2	1	0	4	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	13.4	5	36%	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	1	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 21	13.1	8	50%	6	0	2	0	1	0	3	3	6-6	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Skylar Mays #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	10.9	6	75%	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #11 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	5.8	5	63%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
George Conditt IV #16 · PF · 6'11" 234 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	219	106	58%	54	26	15	5	23	18	12	42	22-27	81%	27-55	49%	10-23	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NZB	POR
Clock	Team	Event	NZB	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NZB

0.70 35.1%

POR

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NZB

52%

POR

61%

Midrange

NZB

25%

POR

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NZB

9.0

16%

24%

POR

15.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

NZB

67%

POR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	14	78%	7.0 / 9
T. Camara	13	108%	6.5 / 6
D. Reath	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Ayton	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Thybulle	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Walker	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Henderson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Brown	6	100%	3.0 / 3
S. Mays	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Sharpe	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Knox	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Murray	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Minaya	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Brogdon	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Grant	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	35 78.8 14 109.1	NZB 65.3 POR 106.0 +40.7
Pace	27 101.7 17 104.6	NZB 92.8 POR 110.9 +18.1
Avg. Poss. Time	-3 15.5 29 13.2	NZB 15.5 POR 13.0 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	35 39.5% 7 54.8%	NZB 33.7% POR 53.8% +20.1%
TO %	32 19.7% 28 18.4%	NZB 20.4% POR 20.4%
ORB %	35 14.9% 9 26.6%	NZB 20.8% POR 29.3% +8.5%
FTrt	16 28.0 21 25.2	NZB 18.1 POR 34.6 +16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	33 54.5% 28 58.7%	NZB 56.0% POR 70.3% +14.3%
STL %	6 10.8% 3 12.3%	NZB 13.9% POR 15.0% +1.1%
BLK %	13 12.6% 26 9.6%	NZB 7.3% POR 11.1% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.97 and 2.97.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	34 43.7% 11 56.2%	NZB 35.1% POR 58.2% +23.1%
Rim FG%	34 53.3% 9 64.9%	NZB 51.7% POR 61.1% +9.4%
Mid FG%	28 39.5% 10 44.9%	NZB 25.0% POR 26.3% +1.3%
3P %	34 20.3% 18 34.3%	NZB 15.8% POR 43.5% +27.7%
FT %	5 81.8% 25 72.2%	NZB 66.7% POR 81.5% +14.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.7% 6 36.7%	NZB 34.9% POR 46.2% +11.2%
Mid Att. %	22 27.4% 18 24.9%	NZB 19.3% −5.1% POR 24.4%
3P Att. %	13 43.9% 29 38.4%	NZB 45.8% +16.3% POR 29.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.57 and 2.57.

Game Totals	NZB	POR
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.6
Points	66	106
Rebounds	40	54
Assists	14	26
Steals	14	15
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	23 (0)
Fouls	24	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	42 (5)
Field Goals	25-83	37-78
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	22-36
Midrange FG	4-16	5-19
2-Point FG	19-45	27-55
3-Point FG	6-38	10-23
Free Throws	10-15	22-27
Fast Break Pts	18	23
2nd Chance Pts	10	11
Points in Paint	34	46
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	20	69
Biggest Lead	6	40

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg