Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 12, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			124	106.9	116	95.9
		Bulls			133	116.7	114	94.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-27

105

CHI

+31

-21

124

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.18 59.0%

CHI

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #9 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 35	19.1	6	75%	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	18.3	17	85%	6	4	2	1	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	18.1	6	50%	1	5	3	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	17.8	6	75%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	15.8	7	117%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%

Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	29.4	10	38%	5	4	3	1	1	2	5	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.5	10	42%	5	3	0	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	22.4	13	50%	3	4	1	1	3	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	4	40%	4	2	0	2	5	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	19.7	16	80%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Andrew Funk #10 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	18.1	9	90%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	17.2	5	50%	6	1	0	2	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.0	3	50%	2	1	1	1	2	5	0	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	10.2	9	113%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	8.5	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Armaan Franklin #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Souley Boum #20 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	278	124	59%	39	35	14	1	27	22	10	29	10-13	77%	27-44	61%	20-50	40%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #9 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 35	19.1	6	75%	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	18.3	17	85%	6	4	2	1	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	18.1	6	50%	1	5	3	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	17.8	6	75%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	15.8	7	117%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%

Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	29.4	10	38%	5	4	3	1	1	2	5	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.5	10	42%	5	3	0	0	5	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	22.4	13	50%	3	4	1	1	3	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	4	40%	4	2	0	2	5	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	19.7	16	80%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Andrew Funk #10 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	18.1	9	90%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	17.2	5	50%	6	1	0	2	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.0	3	50%	2	1	1	1	2	5	0	2	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	10.2	9	113%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	8.5	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Armaan Franklin #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Souley Boum #20 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	278	124	59%	39	35	14	1	27	22	10	29	10-13	77%	27-44	61%	20-50	40%

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Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34	24.5	19	63%	1	1	4	0	3	1	1	0	8-8	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	23.3	17	57%	4	3	3	0	3	1	2	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	22.1	10	56%	4	2	2	0	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	21.9	8	57%	1	4	0	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	18.7	2	25%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	21.6	10	45%	7	4	1	0	1	0	5	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	20.3	7	39%	4	2	2	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	20.0	5	83%	3	2	1	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	19.3	8	67%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Carlik Jones #7 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 26	18.1	5	42%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	17.6	7	58%	4	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	16.8	8	100%	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	16.4	7	70%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	15.2	14	78%	4	1	2	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	14.3	6	25%	13	1	0	0	1	0	9	4	0-0	-	3-12	25%	0-0	-
Max Heidegger #20 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adama Sanogo #21 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	133	53%	56	34	16	10	21	16	26	30	17-18	94%	37-74	50%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.18 59.0%

CHI

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

62%

CHI

48%

Midrange

DEN

61%

CHI

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

30.0

40%

60%

CHI

21.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

DEN

77%

CHI

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Strawther	16	80%	8.0 / 10
C. Gillespie	13	50%	6.5 / 13
H. Tyson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
B. Key	10	42%	5.0 / 12
A. Funk	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. Jackson	9	113%	4.5 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Holiday	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Murray	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Gordon	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Huff	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Watson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Z. Nnaji	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	19	63%	9.5 / 15
Z. LaVine	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Caruso	14	78%	7.0 / 9
N. Vučević	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Taylor	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. White	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Phillips	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Carter	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Terry	7	39%	3.5 / 9
A. Dosunmu	7	58%	3.5 / 6
Q. Jackson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Drummond	6	25%	3.0 / 12
T. Craig	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Jones	5	42%	2.5 / 6
P. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 112.2 20 106.0	DEN 106.9 CHI 116.7 +9.8
Pace	34 96.1 33 98.4	DEN 95.9 +1.8 CHI 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time	0 14.8 -2 14.9	DEN 15.0 −0.3 CHI 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.3% 27 49.6%	DEN 60.6% +8.8% CHI 51.8%
TO %	14 15.4% 17 15.8%	DEN 21.9% CHI 15.5% −6.4%
ORB %	26 22.1% 3 31.2%	DEN 25.0% CHI 47.3% +22.3%
FTrt	18 25.8 33 18.7	DEN 13.8 CHI 16.1 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 69.6% 22 63.1%	DEN 74.5% +7.8% CHI 66.7%
STL %	16 9.8% 13 9.9%	DEN 12.1% CHI 14.0% +1.9%
BLK %	35 4.8% 1 18.4%	DEN 1.4% CHI 22.7% +21.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 56.7% 27 51.5%	DEN 59.0% +5.8% CHI 53.2%
Rim FG%	2 70.1% 35 53.1%	DEN 61.5% +13.6% CHI 47.9%
Mid FG%	25 40.6% 27 39.6%	DEN 61.1% +7.3% CHI 53.8%
3P %	13 35.2% 11 36.0%	DEN 40.0% +3.2% CHI 36.8%
FT %	18 75.7% 4 82.0%	DEN 76.9% CHI 94.4% +17.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 31.1% 5 37.3%	DEN 27.7% CHI 42.9% +15.2%
Mid Att. %	15 23.4% 28 28.2%	DEN 19.1% −4.1% CHI 23.2%
3P Att. %	11 45.5% 34 34.5%	DEN 53.2% +19.3% CHI 33.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	CHI
Possessions	116	114
Possession Minutes	29.0	29.1
Points	124	133
Rebounds	39	56
Assists	35	34
Steals	14	16
Blocks	1	10
Turnovers (Team)	27 (1)	21 (1)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	26 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	30 (3)
Field Goals	47-94	51-112
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	23-48
Midrange FG	11-18	14-26
2-Point FG	27-44	37-74
3-Point FG	20-50	14-38
Free Throws	10-13	17-18
Fast Break Pts	16	10
2nd Chance Pts	0	14
Points in Paint	44	54
Pts off Turnovers	18	30
Bench Points	82	77
Biggest Lead	5	14

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg