Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 13, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Warriors			129	116.2	111	109.1
		Lakers			125	112.6	111	112.9

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-21

103

LAL

+11

-17

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.25 62.6%

LAL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 34	22.8	8	40%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-4	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 36	20.6	18	90%	3	4	1	1	1	2	0	3	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 38	19.5	6	50%	1	4	0	0	5	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	19.0	9	41%	3	0	1	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 28	10.9	6	100%	4	2	0	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	27.3	26	87%	3	3	2	0	3	2	1	2	5-7	71%	6-7	86%	3-5	60%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	25.9	10	56%	6	10	0	1	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 21	22.0	15	75%	3	1	1	0	4	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	17.7	9	64%	5	3	2	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	17.6	10	71%	3	0	2	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	11.4	8	100%	4	1	0	1	0	4	2	2	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	8.9	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	8.4	4	67%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Rudy Gay #33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 37	8.0	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendric Davis #21 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javan Johnson #31 · SF · 6'6" 192 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Donovan Williams #8 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rodney McGruder #19 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cory Joseph #1 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Lumbar; Strain
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	43	36	10	6	21	27	10	33	20-26	77%	29-48	60%	17-41	41%

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Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Klay Thompson #11 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 34	22.8	8	40%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-4	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 36	20.6	18	90%	3	4	1	1	1	2	0	3	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 38	19.5	6	50%	1	4	0	0	5	4	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	19.0	9	41%	3	0	1	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 28	10.9	6	100%	4	2	0	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	27.3	26	87%	3	3	2	0	3	2	1	2	5-7	71%	6-7	86%	3-5	60%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	25.9	10	56%	6	10	0	1	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 21	22.0	15	75%	3	1	1	0	4	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	17.7	9	64%	5	3	2	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	17.6	10	71%	3	0	2	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	11.4	8	100%	4	1	0	1	0	4	2	2	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	8.9	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	8.4	4	67%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Rudy Gay #33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 37	8.0	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendric Davis #21 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javan Johnson #31 · SF · 6'6" 192 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Donovan Williams #8 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rodney McGruder #19 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cory Joseph #1 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Lumbar; Strain
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	43	36	10	6	21	27	10	33	20-26	77%	29-48	60%	17-41	41%

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Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	25.5	12	75%	4	6	2	1	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 25	23.8	16	80%	3	3	2	0	1	3	0	3	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	22.1	13	59%	6	4	1	0	1	2	1	5	6-7	86%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 30	20.1	17	106%	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	17.6	12	55%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	3-6	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	19.1	8	57%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	18.7	6	60%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	16.4	3	17%	2	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-4	25%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	16.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	13.4	13	72%	7	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	12.0	6	60%	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
D'Moi Hodge #55 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 25	12.0	8	57%	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	10.9	3	30%	0	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 24	DND - Coaches Decision
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	DND - Coaches Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	DND - Coaches Decision
Scotty Pippen Jr. #20 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damion Baugh #18 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vincent Valerio-Bodon #27 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	228	125	60%	41	30	13	4	17	19	9	32	23-37	62%	27-49	55%	16-36	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.25 62.6%

LAL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

86%

LAL

64%

Midrange

GSW

38%

LAL

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

25.5

41%

62%

LAL

24.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

GSW

77%

LAL

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Kuminga	26	87%	13.0 / 15
S. Curry	18	90%	9.0 / 10
M. Moody	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Podziemski	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Payton	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Wiggins	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Šarić	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Thompson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. Jackson-Davis	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Paul	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Looney	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Robinson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Quinones	0	-	0.0 / 3
R. Gay	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Prince	17	106%	8.5 / 8
A. Reaves	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Davis	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Wood	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Russell	12	75%	6.0 / 8
L. James	12	55%	6.0 / 11
R. Hachimura	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Hodge	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Christie	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Fudge	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Hood-Schifino	3	17%	1.5 / 9
J. Hayes	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Lewis	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 112.6 28 102.8	GSW 116.2 +3.6 LAL 112.6
Pace	8 105.9 1 108.6	GSW 109.1 LAL 112.9 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time	18 13.7 27 13.4	GSW 13.2 LAL 12.7 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 55.8% 17 53.0%	GSW 61.2% +1.2% LAL 60.0%
TO %	24 17.2% 20 16.3%	GSW 18.0% LAL 15.1% −2.9%
ORB %	10 25.9% 33 17.4%	GSW 23.8% +2.4% LAL 21.4%
FTrt	11 29.2 15 28.6	GSW 29.2 LAL 43.5 +14.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 64.8% 25 59.3%	GSW 78.3% +8.5% LAL 69.8%
STL %	25 8.5% 18 9.3%	GSW 9.0% LAL 11.7% +2.7%
BLK %	16 11.9% 27 9.5%	GSW 12.2% +3.9% LAL 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 57.8% 20 54.6%	GSW 62.6% +3.1% LAL 59.5%
Rim FG%	5 68.1% 12 63.4%	GSW 86.4% +22.4% LAL 64.0%
Mid FG%	7 46.6% 29 39.2%	GSW 38.5% LAL 45.8% +7.3%
3P %	5 38.4% 8 36.5%	GSW 41.5% LAL 44.4% +2.9%
FT %	21 75.2% 31 69.1%	GSW 76.9% +14.7% LAL 62.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35 20.7% 21 30.3%	GSW 24.7% LAL 29.4% +4.7%
Mid Att. %	35 35.8% 26 27.9%	GSW 29.2% LAL 28.2% −1.0%
3P Att. %	16 43.5% 21 41.8%	GSW 46.1% +3.7% LAL 42.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Game Totals	GSW	LAL
Possessions	111	111
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	129	125
Rebounds	43	41
Assists	36	30
Steals	10	13
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls	27	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	32 (0)
Field Goals	46-89	43-85
At-the-Rim FG	19-22	16-25
Midrange FG	10-26	11-24
2-Point FG	29-48	27-49
3-Point FG	17-41	16-36
Free Throws	20-26	23-37
Fast Break Pts	7	20
2nd Chance Pts	16	12
Points in Paint	48	42
Pts off Turnovers	17	33
Bench Points	82	55
Biggest Lead	7	13

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg