Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 14, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Timberwolves			121	119.8	101	97.0
		Knicks			112	112.0	100	104.2

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+14

-17

NYK

+11

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.7%

NYK

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 22	27.2	17	45%	8	2	0	1	2	2	1	7	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	3-9	33%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	26.6	17	57%	5	3	0	0	3	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	4-8	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	21.6	4	100%	9	1	1	0	1	1	1	8	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 36	18.9	5	83%	1	3	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	17.1	5	42%	1	2	0	0	1	5	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Kyle Anderson #1 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 30	21.8	6	100%	3	8	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	20.1	12	75%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	19.0	7	58%	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	18.6	22	85%	1	1	1	1	2	3	1	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 25	11.3	6	60%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	10.6	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	9.1	8	80%	2	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	4.7	3	150%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #17 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	229	121	62%	41	38	5	2	17	25	10	31	11-15	73%	25-40	63%	20-48	42%

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Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 22	27.2	17	45%	8	2	0	1	2	2	1	7	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	3-9	33%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	26.6	17	57%	5	3	0	0	3	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	4-8	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 31	21.6	4	100%	9	1	1	0	1	1	1	8	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 36	18.9	5	83%	1	3	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	17.1	5	42%	1	2	0	0	1	5	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Kyle Anderson #1 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 30	21.8	6	100%	3	8	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	20.1	12	75%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Troy Brown Jr. #23 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	19.0	7	58%	2	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 24	18.6	22	85%	1	1	1	1	2	3	1	0	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 25	11.3	6	60%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	10.6	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	9.1	8	80%	2	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	4.7	3	150%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #17 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	229	121	62%	41	38	5	2	17	25	10	31	11-15	73%	25-40	63%	20-48	42%

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New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 23	25.8	23	57%	2	2	2	0	3	0	1	1	9-12	75%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	23.0	7	35%	8	4	0	0	2	2	0	8	1-4	25%	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Quentin Grimes #6 · PG · 6'5" 207 · 23	21.6	4	40%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	21.0	8	100%	7	0	0	1	1	4	3	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Brunson #11 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 27	14.3	9	56%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	7-7	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	22.3	9	41%	0	1	3	0	1	3	0	0	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 27	20.0	4	67%	3	3	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Evan Fournier #13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	19.3	15	75%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	15.7	7	70%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	14.5	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaiah Roby #25 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	11.3	5	42%	2	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	11.3	16	133%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-4	100%
Josh Hart #3 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	7.6	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 27	6.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Charlie Brown Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	3.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DaQuan Jeffries #8 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight #1 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duane Washington Jr. #4 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	237	112	58%	40	22	13	3	15	19	9	31	23-30	77%	25-44	57%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.7%

NYK

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

68%

NYK

70%

Midrange

MIN

50%

NYK

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

30.0

42%

63%

NYK

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIN

73%

NYK

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	22	85%	11.0 / 13
A. Edwards	17	45%	8.5 / 19
K. Towns	17	57%	8.5 / 15
S. Milton	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. McLaughlin	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Brown Jr.	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Minott	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Anderson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
L. Garza	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Conley	5	83%	2.5 / 3
N. Alexander-Walker	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Gobert	4	100%	2.0 / 2
L. Miller	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	23	57%	11.5 / 20
M. McBride	16	133%	8.0 / 6
E. Fournier	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Brunson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
I. Quickley	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Robinson	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Randle	7	35%	3.5 / 10
I. Hartenstein	7	70%	3.5 / 5
I. Roby	5	42%	2.5 / 6
Q. Grimes	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. DiVincenzo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Hart	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Sims	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Windler	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 116.2 12 110.0	MIN 119.8 +7.8 NYK 112.0
Pace	28 101.3 30 100.8	MIN 97.0 NYK 104.2 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time	2 14.4 7 14.2	MIN 14.8 NYK 13.8 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 58.0% 14 53.3%	MIN 62.5% +6.9% NYK 55.6%
TO %	22 17.0% 6 14.2%	MIN 15.2% −0.2% NYK 15.4%
ORB %	12 25.4% 15 25.1%	MIN 24.4% +1.9% NYK 22.5%
FTrt	29 22.2 9 30.2	MIN 17.0 NYK 37.5 +20.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 71.9% 26 59.1%	MIN 84.4% +26.5% NYK 57.9%
STL %	32 7.2% 19 9.0%	MIN 5.0% NYK 13.0% +8.0%
BLK %	14 12.1% 33 5.9%	MIN 4.5% NYK 7.5% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.9% 15 55.0%	MIN 61.7% +3.4% NYK 58.3%
Rim FG%	18 60.5% 14 62.1%	MIN 67.9% NYK 70.4% +2.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 24 40.8%	MIN 50.0% +14.7% NYK 35.3%
3P %	2 40.7% 12 35.8%	MIN 41.7% +5.6% NYK 36.1%
FT %	11 76.5% 26 72.1%	MIN 73.3% NYK 76.7% +3.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 40.0% 23 29.9%	MIN 31.8% NYK 33.8% +1.9%
Mid Att. %	1 16.1% 11 22.1%	MIN 13.6% −7.6% NYK 21.3%
3P Att. %	14 43.9% 6 48.0%	MIN 54.5% +9.5% NYK 45.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	NYK
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	121	112
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	38	22
Steals	5	13
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	25	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	45-88	38-80
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	19-27
Midrange FG	6-12	6-17
2-Point FG	25-40	25-44
3-Point FG	20-48	13-36
Free Throws	11-15	23-30
Fast Break Pts	5	26
2nd Chance Pts	21	11
Points in Paint	48	46
Pts off Turnovers	28	20
Bench Points	73	61
Biggest Lead	15	9

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg