Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 15, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Bulls			102	110.9	92	88.0
		Nuggets			116	126.1	92	95.8

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+17

-9

100

DEN

+10

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	30.9	12	67%	4	7	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	25.1	20	67%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	21.8	2	20%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	21.7	20	71%	1	3	0	0	0	4	0	1	5-7	71%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	21.7	9	50%	10	1	1	0	1	4	4	6	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	21.6	9	45%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-5	60%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	18.9	2	33%	5	0	0	1	0	3	1	4	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	18.7	2	17%	4	2	1	0	2	4	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Adama Sanogo #21 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 22	14.3	7	39%	4	0	1	1	2	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	12.0	6	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	12.0	5	83%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Carlik Jones #7 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 26	9.7	3	30%	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 22	6.5	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	5.1	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	43	21	4	9	9	27	15	28	12-21	57%	27-59	46%	12-29	41%

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Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	30.9	12	67%	4	7	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	25.1	20	67%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	21.8	2	20%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	21.7	20	71%	1	3	0	0	0	4	0	1	5-7	71%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30	21.7	9	50%	10	1	1	0	1	4	4	6	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 28	21.6	9	45%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-5	60%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	18.9	2	33%	5	0	0	1	0	3	1	4	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 21	18.7	2	17%	4	2	1	0	2	4	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Adama Sanogo #21 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 22	14.3	7	39%	4	0	1	1	2	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	12.0	6	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	12.0	5	83%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Carlik Jones #7 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 26	9.7	3	30%	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Justin Lewis #34 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 22	6.5	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	5.1	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Alex Caruso #6 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	43	21	4	9	9	27	15	28	12-21	57%	27-59	46%	12-29	41%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #9 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 35	24.1	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	23.6	13	59%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	5-7	71%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	23.4	15	63%	9	5	1	1	2	4	0	9	2-5	40%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	21.7	21	70%	2	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	8-10	80%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	20.7	6	60%	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	24.9	23	72%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	8	44%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	18.2	2	33%	5	3	0	4	0	1	1	4	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 23	16.8	13	72%	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	9.7	3	75%	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	7.0	1	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamorko Pickett #54 · SF · 6'9" 206 · 26	4.9	3	150%	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Amida Brimah #35 · C · 6'10" 230 · 30	1.5	1	50%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Au'Diese Toney #25 · NA · 6'6" 205 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	218	116	62%	39	25	4	2	10	18	5	34	24-36	67%	25-34	74%	14-40	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

57%

DEN

86%

Midrange

CHI

27%

DEN

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

18.0

41%

62%

DEN

21.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

CHI

57%

DEN

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Williams	20	67%	10.0 / 15
C. White	20	71%	10.0 / 14
A. Dosunmu	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Drummond	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Carter	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Sanogo	7	39%	3.5 / 9
O. Bitim	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Taylor	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Jones	3	30%	1.5 / 5
Q. Jackson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Craig	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Phillips	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Terry	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Lewis	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Strawther	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Murray	21	70%	10.5 / 15
N. Jokić	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Gordon	13	59%	6.5 / 11
H. Tyson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
P. Watson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Gillespie	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Pickett	3	150%	1.5 / 1
Z. Nnaji	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Key	1	50%	0.5 / 1
A. Brimah	1	50%	0.5 / 1
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 106.0 9 112.2	CHI 110.9 DEN 126.1 +15.2
Pace	33 98.4 34 96.1	CHI 88.0 DEN 95.8 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time	-2 14.9 0 14.8	CHI 16.4 DEN 15.0 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 49.6% 6 55.3%	CHI 51.1% DEN 62.2% +11.1%
TO %	17 15.8% 14 15.4%	CHI 10.2% −0.7% DEN 10.9%
ORB %	3 31.2% 26 22.1%	CHI 30.6% +15.4% DEN 15.2%
FTrt	33 18.7 18 25.8	CHI 23.9 DEN 48.6 +24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 63.1% 8 69.6%	CHI 53.8% DEN 64.1% +10.3%
STL %	13 9.9% 16 9.8%	CHI 4.3% DEN 4.3%
BLK %	1 18.4% 35 4.8%	CHI 26.5% +23.1% DEN 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 51.5% 8 56.7%	CHI 51.0% DEN 61.7% +10.7%
Rim FG%	35 53.1% 2 70.1%	CHI 56.8% DEN 85.7% +28.9%
Mid FG%	27 39.6% 25 40.6%	CHI 27.3% DEN 53.8% +26.5%
3P %	11 36.0% 13 35.2%	CHI 41.4% +6.4% DEN 35.0%
FT %	4 82.0% 18 75.7%	CHI 57.1% DEN 66.7% +9.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 37.3% 20 31.1%	CHI 42.0% +13.7% DEN 28.4%
Mid Att. %	28 28.2% 15 23.4%	CHI 25.0% DEN 17.6% −7.4%
3P Att. %	34 34.5% 11 45.5%	CHI 33.0% DEN 54.1% +21.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	DEN
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	25.1	23.1
Points	102	116
Rebounds	43	39
Assists	21	25
Steals	4	4
Blocks	9	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	10 (1)
Fouls	27	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	34 (3)
Field Goals	39-88	39-74
At-the-Rim FG	21-37	18-21
Midrange FG	6-22	7-13
2-Point FG	27-59	25-34
3-Point FG	12-29	14-40
Free Throws	12-21	24-36
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	46	44
Pts off Turnovers	13	12
Bench Points	39	61
Biggest Lead	6	18

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg