Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Rockets			103	94.5	109	105.9
		Spurs			117	106.4	110	113.3

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+21

-16

114

SAS

+14

-22

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.90 45.2%

SAS

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	23.8	5	21%	5	3	0	1	0	6	3	2	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-3	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	23.5	20	63%	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	5	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	21.4	5	42%	4	4	1	1	4	5	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	21.0	13	65%	4	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	20.7	0	0%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	16.6	4	33%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	14.6	10	100%	3	1	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	14.4	3	25%	5	1	0	1	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 25	9.6	3	30%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	8.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Darius Days #15 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 24	6.6	2	25%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	5.5	2	100%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matthew Mayer #60 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	INACTIVE
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	INACTIVE
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	INACTIVE
Dillon Brooks #9 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 28	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	186	103	45%	50	21	13	4	16	29	16	34	28-35	80%	27-55	49%	7-41	17%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21	23.8	5	21%	5	3	0	1	0	6	3	2	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-3	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	23.5	20	63%	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	5	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	21.4	5	42%	4	4	1	1	4	5	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	21.0	13	65%	4	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	20.7	0	0%	1	3	1	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	16.6	4	33%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	14.6	10	100%	3	1	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	14.4	3	25%	5	1	0	1	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 25	9.6	3	30%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	8.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Darius Days #15 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 24	6.6	2	25%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35	5.5	2	100%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matthew Mayer #60 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	INACTIVE
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37	INACTIVE
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE
Victor Oladipo #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	INACTIVE
Dillon Brooks #9 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 28	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	186	103	45%	50	21	13	4	16	29	16	34	28-35	80%	27-55	49%	7-41	17%

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San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23	25.2	25	78%	3	1	0	0	3	3	0	3	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	5-10	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	22.8	4	50%	4	2	1	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #23 · C · 6'9" 240 · 26	22.5	11	69%	9	5	1	0	6	2	1	8	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 20	21.2	6	50%	6	4	1	0	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · PF · 7'4" 235 · 20	20.6	15	54%	6	1	1	2	2	3	1	5	7-8	88%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%

Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	21.0	9	56%	1	3	2	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 20	20.5	9	50%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	16.8	0	0%	1	3	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	15.3	10	56%	5	0	1	0	0	3	3	2	3-5	60%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	12.1	5	63%	6	2	0	0	2	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	11.2	9	64%	5	3	0	1	1	1	0	5	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 20	9.6	8	100%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	7.5	2	33%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	7.5	4	67%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	6.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Khem Birch #92 · C · 6'9" 220 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bediako #27 · C · 6'11" 225 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sir'Jabari Rice #11 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	54	33	9	5	22	26	10	44	26-34	76%	26-48	54%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.90 45.2%

SAS

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

63%

SAS

73%

Midrange

HOU

30%

SAS

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

10.5

17%

26%

SAS

19.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

HOU

80%

SAS

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Tate	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Landale	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. Sengun	5	21%	2.5 / 12
A. Thompson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Samuels Jr.	4	33%	2.0 / 6
N. Hinton	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Hudgins	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Days	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Marjanovic	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 4
R. Bullock	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	25	78%	12.5 / 16
V. Wembanyama	15	54%	7.5 / 14
Z. Collins	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Osman	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Jones	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Branham	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Champagnie	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Barlow	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Sochan	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Bassey	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Johnson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Wesley	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 104.9 15 108.6	HOU 94.5 SAS 106.4 +11.9
Pace	10 105.6 16 104.8	HOU 105.9 SAS 113.3 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 13.5 12 13.9	HOU 13.6 SAS 12.7 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 49.1% 15 53.2%	HOU 39.1% SAS 54.8% +15.7%
TO %	8 14.4% 13 14.9%	HOU 12.6% −6.4% SAS 19.0%
ORB %	14 25.2% 25 22.2%	HOU 26.7% +4.0% SAS 22.7%
FTrt	3 34.1 10 29.6	HOU 36.5 SAS 41.0 +4.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 63.4% 3 71.8%	HOU 61.8% SAS 84.6% +22.8%
STL %	1 12.6% 17 9.6%	HOU 11.9% +3.7% SAS 8.2%
BLK %	9 13.0% 29 8.9%	HOU 8.3% SAS 9.1% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 52.1% 19 54.6%	HOU 45.2% SAS 57.4% +12.2%
Rim FG%	26 58.2% 7 66.1%	HOU 62.5% SAS 73.1% +10.6%
Mid FG%	26 39.6% 30 39.2%	HOU 30.4% SAS 31.8% +1.4%
3P %	30 29.8% 7 36.9%	HOU 17.1% SAS 37.1% +20.0%
FT %	14 76.3% 32 68.4%	HOU 80.0% +3.5% SAS 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.8% 29 28.3%	HOU 33.3% +2.0% SAS 31.3%
Mid Att. %	10 21.5% 32 31.8%	HOU 24.0% −2.5% SAS 26.5%
3P Att. %	30 37.7% 25 39.9%	HOU 42.7% +0.5% SAS 42.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	SAS
Possessions	109	110
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	103	117
Rebounds	50	54
Assists	21	33
Steals	13	9
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	22 (1)
Fouls	29	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (5)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	44 (2)
Field Goals	34-96	39-83
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	19-26
Midrange FG	7-23	7-22
2-Point FG	27-55	26-48
3-Point FG	7-41	13-35
Free Throws	28-35	26-34
Fast Break Pts	7	13
2nd Chance Pts	23	20
Points in Paint	50	44
Pts off Turnovers	21	21
Bench Points	43	56
Biggest Lead	0	23

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg