Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 19, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			103	103.0	100	104.0
		Clippers			90	90.0	100	97.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-15

LAC

+17

-17

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.6%

LAC

0.90 45.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	28.8	8	33%	4	7	0	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	28.4	13	72%	1	3	3	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	28.1	13	46%	5	2	0	2	2	2	3	2	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	28.1	25	74%	14	8	1	0	1	3	1	13	4-5	80%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Hunter Tyson #4 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	21.1	5	63%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	2	14%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	20.7	8	67%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	19.9	13	65%	6	1	0	0	0	2	1	5	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.9	7	39%	3	0	0	0	2	2	2	1	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	16.4	6	75%	1	1	2	1	4	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bryce Wills #23 · NA · 6'6" 200 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	233	103	53%	47	27	7	2	15	22	11	36	18-23	78%	29-53	55%	9-31	29%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	28.8	8	33%	4	7	0	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	28.4	13	72%	1	3	3	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	28.1	13	46%	5	2	0	2	2	2	3	2	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	28.1	25	74%	14	8	1	0	1	3	1	13	4-5	80%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Hunter Tyson #4 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	21.1	5	63%	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	5	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.9	2	14%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	20.7	8	67%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	19.9	13	65%	6	1	0	0	0	2	1	5	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.9	7	39%	3	0	0	0	2	2	2	1	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	16.4	6	75%	1	1	2	1	4	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bryce Wills #23 · NA · 6'6" 200 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	233	103	53%	47	27	7	2	15	22	11	36	18-23	78%	29-53	55%	9-31	29%

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LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	28.2	10	36%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Terance Mann #14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	24.9	10	50%	3	0	2	0	2	0	2	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	24.5	25	69%	7	6	2	0	1	3	1	6	5-8	63%	10-13	77%	0-2	0%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 33	23.5	7	58%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	22.9	5	31%	10	2	0	0	1	4	4	6	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-0	-

Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	23.5	6	25%	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	18.8	9	50%	3	2	1	0	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	17.7	6	60%	7	2	1	2	4	4	1	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 26	13.7	1	17%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	8.4	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	7.4	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Darling #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryson Williams #41 · NA · 6'8" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Paul George #13 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	219	90	45%	46	18	11	3	17	20	12	34	16-26	62%	31-62	50%	4-24	17%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.6%

LAC

0.90 45.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

74%

LAC

51%

Midrange

DEN

21%

LAC

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13.5

29%

44%

LAC

6.0

17%

25%

Free Throws

DEN

78%

LAC

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	25	74%	12.5 / 17
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Gordon	13	46%	6.5 / 14
Z. Nnaji	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Murray	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Holiday	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Jackson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Key	6	75%	3.0 / 4
H. Tyson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
P. Watson	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hyland	25	69%	12.5 / 18
N. Powell	10	36%	5.0 / 14
T. Mann	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Martin	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Covington	7	58%	3.5 / 6
X. Moon	6	25%	3.0 / 12
M. Plumlee	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Zubac	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Diabaté	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Coffey	1	17%	0.5 / 3
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 112.2 29 101.0	DEN 103.0 +13.0 LAC 90.0
Pace	34 96.1 31 100.6	DEN 104.0 +6.9 LAC 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	0 14.8 4 14.3	DEN 13.8 −1.0 LAC 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.3% 31 47.7%	DEN 50.6% +7.6% LAC 43.0%
TO %	14 15.4% 10 14.7%	DEN 15.3% LAC 14.9% −0.4%
ORB %	26 22.1% 8 26.6%	DEN 24.4% LAC 25.0% +0.6%
FTrt	18 25.8 20 25.2	DEN 27.4 LAC 30.2 +2.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 69.6% 32 56.2%	DEN 71.1% +19.7% LAC 51.4%
STL %	16 9.8% 15 9.8%	DEN 7.0% LAC 11.0% +4.0%
BLK %	35 4.8% 17 11.5%	DEN 3.2% LAC 5.7% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 56.7% 31 49.9%	DEN 52.6% +7.6% LAC 45.0%
Rim FG%	2 70.1% 28 57.5%	DEN 73.5% +22.1% LAC 51.4%
Mid FG%	25 40.6% 13 43.8%	DEN 21.1% LAC 48.1% +27.0%
3P %	13 35.2% 32 27.2%	DEN 29.0% +12.3% LAC 16.7%
FT %	18 75.7% 12 76.4%	DEN 78.3% +16.8% LAC 61.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 31.1% 8 36.0%	DEN 40.5% LAC 40.7% +0.2%
Mid Att. %	15 23.4% 31 31.7%	DEN 22.6% −8.8% LAC 31.4%
3P Att. %	11 45.5% 35 32.3%	DEN 36.9% +9.0% LAC 27.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	DEN	LAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.7
Points	103	90
Rebounds	47	46
Assists	27	18
Steals	7	11
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	17 (0)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	34 (2)
Field Goals	38-84	35-86
At-the-Rim FG	25-34	18-35
Midrange FG	4-19	13-27
2-Point FG	29-53	31-62
3-Point FG	9-31	4-24
Free Throws	18-23	16-26
Fast Break Pts	14	22
2nd Chance Pts	15	14
Points in Paint	54	54
Pts off Turnovers	22	12
Bench Points	39	33
Biggest Lead	16	4

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg