Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 20, 2023

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Hawks			106	101.9	104	101.7
		76ers			120	115.4	104	106.4

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+17

-24

PHI

+10

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.09 54.6%

PHI

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	27.1	19	50%	2	10	2	0	5	1	0	2	7-9	78%	3-9	33%	2-7	29%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	25.9	12	40%	3	4	1	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	23.7	13	81%	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	23.1	6	75%	8	4	0	1	2	2	2	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	19.2	9	45%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	1-5	20%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.6	14	88%	7	2	0	0	3	2	3	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	20.3	9	90%	4	3	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	18.8	5	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	17.0	9	56%	4	1	2	1	1	6	3	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 20	12.0	3	50%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	8.3	4	100%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	4.4	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	3.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	236	106	55%	44	30	11	6	24	21	14	30	19-28	68%	24-46	52%	13-37	35%

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Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	27.1	19	50%	2	10	2	0	5	1	0	2	7-9	78%	3-9	33%	2-7	29%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 27	25.9	12	40%	3	4	1	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Saddiq Bey #41 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	23.7	13	81%	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	23.1	6	75%	8	4	0	1	2	2	2	6	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 29	19.2	9	45%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	1-5	20%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.6	14	88%	7	2	0	0	3	2	3	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31	20.3	9	90%	4	3	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	18.8	5	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	17.0	9	56%	4	1	2	1	1	6	3	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 20	12.0	3	50%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	8.3	4	100%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	6.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25	4.4	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	3.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	236	106	55%	44	30	11	6	24	21	14	30	19-28	68%	24-46	52%	13-37	35%

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Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	33.2	21	55%	5	1	1	2	3	2	2	3	14-15	93%	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	31.7	15	63%	2	12	3	1	4	2	0	2	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Tobias Harris #12 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 31	25.3	11	55%	5	5	1	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	24.6	29	85%	5	2	2	1	2	3	2	3	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	6-10	60%
P.J. Tucker #17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 38	19.3	0	0%	6	1	1	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	24.0	11	50%	2	1	2	0	2	1	1	1	3-5	60%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 26	19.6	8	57%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24	17.9	6	75%	8	2	0	2	2	3	2	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	13.0	6	150%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	12.9	2	33%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Patrick Beverley #22 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35	6.6	5	125%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Javonte Smart #39 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 24	5.9	3	75%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 36	5.9	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Azuolas Tubelis #20 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #28 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mo Bamba #7 · C · 7'0" 231 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Montrezl Harrell #5 · C · 6'8" 240 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee Sprain
Filip Petrusev #33 · C · 6'11" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad Strain
James Harden #1 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	64%	40	31	12	3	20	21	10	30	21-28	75%	24-40	60%	17-40	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.09 54.6%

PHI

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

61%

PHI

70%

Midrange

ATL

39%

PHI

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

19.5

35%

53%

PHI

25.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

ATL

68%

PHI

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	19	50%	9.5 / 19
O. Okongwu	14	88%	7.0 / 8
S. Bey	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Murray	12	40%	6.0 / 15
C. Capela	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Bogdanović	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Johnson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Hunter	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Griffin	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Forrest	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Bufkin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
B. Fernando	3	75%	1.5 / 2
W. Matthews	0	-	0.0 / 1
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Gueye	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Melton	29	85%	14.5 / 17
J. Embiid	21	55%	10.5 / 19
T. Maxey	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Harris	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Oubre	11	50%	5.5 / 11
F. Korkmaz	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Reed	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Springer	6	150%	3.0 / 2
P. Beverley	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Smart	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Green	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. House	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 102.9 11 110.2	ATL 101.9 PHI 115.4 +13.5
Pace	15 104.8 23 103.0	ATL 101.7 PHI 106.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.1 11 13.9	ATL 14.2 PHI 13.5 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 52.8% 16 53.1%	ATL 52.4% PHI 61.9% +9.5%
TO %	31 19.7% 5 13.8%	ATL 20.1% PHI 17.8% −2.3%
ORB %	22 23.4% 13 25.3%	ATL 31.8% +6.8% PHI 25.0%
FTrt	17 26.0 31 20.6	ATL 33.7 PHI 35.0 +1.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.8% 20 63.3%	ATL 81.1% +5.5% PHI 75.6%
STL %	7 10.7% 4 12.1%	ATL 10.6% PHI 11.5% +0.9%
BLK %	6 14.4% 19 11.2%	ATL 15.0% +8.5% PHI 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 54.7% 16 55.0%	ATL 54.6% PHI 63.8% +9.2%
Rim FG%	13 62.6% 33 55.8%	ATL 60.7% PHI 70.4% +9.7%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 17 42.7%	ATL 38.9% +0.4% PHI 38.5%
3P %	21 33.0% 4 38.6%	ATL 35.1% PHI 42.5% +7.4%
FT %	16 75.9% 20 75.3%	ATL 67.9% PHI 75.0% +7.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 30 27.9%	ATL 33.7% PHI 33.8% +0.0%
Mid Att. %	11 22.1% 23 27.6%	ATL 21.7% PHI 16.3% −5.4%
3P Att. %	15 43.7% 12 44.5%	ATL 44.6% PHI 50.0% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	PHI
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.5
Points	106	120
Rebounds	44	40
Assists	30	31
Steals	11	12
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	24 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	21	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	30 (4)
Field Goals	37-83	41-80
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	19-27
Midrange FG	7-18	5-13
2-Point FG	24-46	24-40
3-Point FG	13-37	17-40
Free Throws	19-28	21-28
Fast Break Pts	20	14
2nd Chance Pts	17	8
Points in Paint	44	48
Pts off Turnovers	21	32
Bench Points	47	44
Biggest Lead	17	14

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg