Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Thunder			124	120.4	103	103.7
		Nuggets			94	92.2	102	101.3

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+14

-12

105

DEN

+18

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.18 59.0%

DEN

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	21.0	11	55%	3	3	1	1	3	2	1	2	3-7	43%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25	20.8	6	60%	5	2	1	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	20.1	14	58%	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	19.5	19	79%	3	5	1	0	1	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 22	17.9	8	50%	7	0	1	1	2	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%

Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	21.6	10	63%	3	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	20.2	7	44%	4	2	5	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	18.7	5	42%	3	2	2	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	17.9	14	70%	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	17.4	10	71%	4	2	2	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	16.5	9	75%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	6.2	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	5.7	5	63%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	INACTIVE
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	INACTIVE
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	224	124	59%	44	31	15	5	12	23	8	36	13-20	65%	30-48	63%	17-46	37%

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Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	21.0	11	55%	3	3	1	1	3	2	1	2	3-7	43%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25	20.8	6	60%	5	2	1	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	20.1	14	58%	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	19.5	19	79%	3	5	1	0	1	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 22	17.9	8	50%	7	0	1	1	2	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%

Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	21.6	10	63%	3	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	20.2	7	44%	4	2	5	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	18.7	5	42%	3	2	2	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	17.9	14	70%	5	1	0	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	17.4	10	71%	4	2	2	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	16.5	9	75%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	6.2	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	5.7	5	63%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	INACTIVE
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	INACTIVE
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	224	124	59%	44	31	15	5	12	23	8	36	13-20	65%	30-48	63%	17-46	37%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Strawther #3 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 22	27.8	12	50%	2	4	0	0	4	5	0	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	26.1	7	27%	5	3	0	0	3	1	2	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	25.2	11	92%	3	1	2	3	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	24.6	15	58%	6	1	1	0	1	2	1	5	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	22.7	11	50%	5	5	2	0	4	2	0	5	1-3	33%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%

Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	17.8	5	50%	4	4	0	0	1	1	0	4	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	17.1	6	50%	9	1	0	0	0	0	4	5	2-6	33%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	15.8	4	29%	5	2	0	0	1	1	4	1	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	14.3	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Andrew Funk #25 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	7.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	6.7	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Will Richardson #00 · PG · 6'5" 170 · 25	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bediako #41 · C · 6'11" 225 · 23	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	INACTIVE
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	INACTIVE
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	207	94	48%	47	25	6	3	22	18	12	35	14-25	56%	25-44	57%	10-40	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.18 59.0%

DEN

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

83%

DEN

60%

Midrange

OKC

42%

DEN

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

25.5

37%

55%

DEN

15.0

25%

38%

Free Throws

OKC

65%

DEN

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Williams	14	58%	7.0 / 12
I. Joe	14	70%	7.0 / 10
I. Hartenstein	11	55%	5.5 / 10
O. Dieng	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Wiggins	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Mitchell	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Holmgren	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Wallace	7	44%	3.5 / 8
L. Dort	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Caruso	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Ducas	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Flagler	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Strawther	12	50%	6.0 / 12
Z. Nnaji	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Gordon	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Braun	7	27%	3.5 / 13
D. Jordan	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Šarić	5	50%	2.5 / 5
V. Cancar	5	63%	2.5 / 4
H. Tyson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Funk	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 2
W. Richardson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 111.5 20 105.0	OKC 120.4 +28.2 DEN 92.2
Pace	29 100.1 8 104.2	OKC 103.7 +2.4 DEN 101.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.1 21 13.6	OKC 13.9 −0.3 DEN 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 55.8% 16 52.4%	OKC 59.0% +11.4% DEN 47.6%
TO %	3 12.9% 27 18.6%	OKC 10.5% −9.7% DEN 20.2%
ORB %	21 22.1% 16 23.3%	OKC 18.6% DEN 25.0% +6.4%
FTrt	29 18.7 1 37.6	OKC 21.3 DEN 29.8 +8.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 63.6% 2 74.7%	OKC 66.0% DEN 71.4% +5.4%
STL %	5 11.0% 31 6.9%	OKC 14.6% +8.7% DEN 5.9%
BLK %	2 14.0% 31 6.9%	OKC 11.4% +5.1% DEN 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 55.6% 11 55.1%	OKC 59.0% +11.0% DEN 48.0%
Rim FG%	8 66.7% 28 60.0%	OKC 83.3% +23.3% DEN 60.0%
Mid FG%	6 44.8% 8 44.7%	OKC 41.7% DEN 52.6% +10.9%
3P %	11 35.1% 14 33.7%	OKC 37.0% +12.0% DEN 25.0%
FT %	32 66.3% 28 70.1%	OKC 65.0% +9.0% DEN 56.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 33.9% 10 34.8%	OKC 25.5% DEN 29.8% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	15 20.9% 20 24.7%	OKC 25.5% DEN 22.6% −2.9%
3P Att. %	14 45.2% 26 40.5%	OKC 48.9% +1.3% DEN 47.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	124	94
Rebounds	44	47
Assists	31	25
Steals	15	6
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	22 (2)
Fouls	23	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (0)	35 (2)
Field Goals	47-94	35-84
At-the-Rim FG	20-24	15-25
Midrange FG	10-24	10-19
2-Point FG	30-48	25-44
3-Point FG	17-46	10-40
Free Throws	13-20	14-25
Fast Break Pts	28	8
2nd Chance Pts	9	16
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	38	13
Bench Points	66	38
Biggest Lead	31	8

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg