Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Spurs			112	105.7	106	96.0
		Heat			107	101.9	105	117.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	25.7	19	86%	6	1	0	0	0	2	2	4	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	25.6	8	44%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 24	24.5	15	94%	3	4	2	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-7	71%
Devin Vassell #24 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 25	23.3	12	46%	6	2	1	0	2	3	0	6	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	21.6	10	45%	4	5	1	2	5	2	0	4	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	19.0	8	50%	6	2	1	0	4	4	3	3	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 26	19.0	11	55%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	16.0	9	113%	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	15.5	9	64%	11	4	1	1	3	4	7	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	10.8	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #33 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	6.8	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	208	112	54%	49	24	10	5	21	28	16	33	19-27	70%	27-50	54%	13-36	36%

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San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	25.7	19	86%	6	1	0	0	0	2	2	4	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	25.6	8	44%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 24	24.5	15	94%	3	4	2	1	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-7	71%
Devin Vassell #24 · PG · 6'5" 200 · 25	23.3	12	46%	6	2	1	0	2	3	0	6	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	21.6	10	45%	4	5	1	2	5	2	0	4	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%

Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	19.0	8	50%	6	2	1	0	4	4	3	3	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 26	19.0	11	55%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	16.0	9	113%	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	15.5	9	64%	11	4	1	1	3	4	7	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	10.8	2	33%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #33 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	6.8	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	208	112	54%	49	24	10	5	21	28	16	33	19-27	70%	27-50	54%	13-36	36%

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Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	26.1	18	60%	4	3	1	1	4	1	0	4	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 28	21.9	9	38%	4	0	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	21.5	8	36%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	21.0	3	38%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dru Smith #12 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	13.1	6	150%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	28.4	19	86%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	7-7	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	27.0	3	38%	5	2	1	0	3	3	3	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	26.1	29	76%	12	1	1	1	2	2	3	9	2-3	67%	9-13	69%	3-6	50%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	24.9	8	44%	0	10	2	1	3	0	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	15.9	4	29%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	14.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32
Precious Achiuwa #8 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dain Dainja #42 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	36	24	8	3	19	23	8	28	23-30	77%	27-52	52%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 53.8%

MIA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

17

22

77%

MIA

15

23

65%

Midrange

SAS

10

28

36%

MIA

12

29

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13

19.5

36

36%

54%

MIA

10

15.0

29

34%

52%

Free Throws

SAS

19

27

70%

MIA

23

30

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	19	86%	9.5 / 11
J. Champagnie	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. Vassell	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Flagler	11	55%	5.5 / 10
V. Wembanyama	10	45%	5.0 / 11
L. Waters	9	113%	4.5 / 4
L. Kornet	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Barnes	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Bryant	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Biyombo	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Potter	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Ware	29	76%	14.5 / 19
J. Jaquez	19	86%	9.5 / 11
N. Powell	18	60%	9.0 / 15
B. Adebayo	9	38%	4.5 / 12
A. Wiggins	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Jakučionis	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Smith	6	150%	3.0 / 2
P. Larsson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
N. Jović	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Johnson	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 120.8 29 102.3	SAS 105.7 +3.8 MIA 101.9
Pace	25 100.9 6 106.6	SAS 96.0 MIA 117.2 +21.1
Avg. Poss. Time	-1 15.1 30 12.5	SAS 15.0 MIA 12.3 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.9% 29 48.1%	SAS 54.1% +2.2% MIA 51.9%
TO %	26 17.5% 19 16.6%	SAS 19.0% MIA 16.8% −2.2%
ORB %	4 34.6% 23 25.9%	SAS 36.4% +16.9% MIA 19.5%
FTrt	12 34.3 15 33.9	SAS 31.4 MIA 37.0 +5.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 67.0% 25 63.1%	SAS 60.0% MIA 64.9% +4.9%
STL %	9 10.3% 30 7.4%	SAS 9.4% +1.8% MIA 7.6%
BLK %	11 12.6% 27 7.9%	SAS 9.6% +3.6% MIA 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.5% 28 52.0%	SAS 53.8% MIA 56.3% +2.5%
Rim FG%	7 69.8% 30 56.5%	SAS 77.3% +12.1% MIA 65.2%
Mid FG%	15 43.2% 24 38.1%	SAS 35.7% MIA 41.4% +5.7%
3P %	9 36.1% 20 31.7%	SAS 36.1% +1.6% MIA 34.5%
FT %	13 77.3% 18 75.7%	SAS 70.4% MIA 76.7% +6.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 37.1% 6 36.6%	SAS 25.6% MIA 28.4% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	5 18.5% 33 29.3%	SAS 32.6% −3.2% MIA 35.8%
3P Att. %	16 44.4% 34 34.1%	SAS 41.9% +6.1% MIA 35.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	112	107
Rebounds	49	36
Assists	24	24
Steals	10	8
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	21 (2)	19 (0)
Fouls	28	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	28 (2)
Field Goals	40-86	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	17-22	15-23
Midrange FG	10-28	12-29
2-Point FG	27-50	27-52
3-Point FG	13-36	10-29
Free Throws	19-27	23-30
Fast Break Pts	8	7
2nd Chance Pts	15	8
Points in Paint	46	48
Pts off Turnovers	23	25
Bench Points	48	63
Biggest Lead	13	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg