Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		United			97	95.1	102	108.5
		Pelicans			107	104.9	102	97.8

Scoring Opportunities

MEL

+19

-17

104

NOP

+17

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEL

0.93 46.6%

NOP

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Melbourne United

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Milton Doyle #35 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 32	38.3	25	54%	3	4	1	0	7	3	0	3	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	3-12	25%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	38	97	47%	48	23	7	1	17	18	13	35	13-20	65%	24-50	48%	12-41	29%

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Melbourne United

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Milton Doyle #35 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 32	38.3	25	54%	3	4	1	0	7	3	0	3	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	3-12	25%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	38	97	47%	48	23	7	1	17	18	13	35	13-20	65%	24-50	48%	12-41	29%

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New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	20.9	0	0%	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	20.1	11	50%	4	4	0	1	3	0	0	4	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 25	19.0	18	64%	1	0	3	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	18.1	3	50%	3	2	0	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	15.7	15	68%	2	5	2	0	2	2	0	2	5-7	71%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	22.4	7	22%	3	3	0	0	5	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-6	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	21.4	7	70%	1	0	3	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	20.4	6	75%	8	1	0	3	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	19.8	11	110%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	16.1	6	50%	4	1	1	1	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	15.9	11	50%	5	2	0	0	0	0	3	2	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	9.6	10	63%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Jalen McDaniels #00 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 28	7.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Christian Shumate #42 · NA · 6'6" 213 · 23	4.1	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #9 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle Sprain
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist Surgery
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle Sprain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	230	107	52%	46	20	11	8	16	22	13	33	19-24	79%	32-57	56%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEL	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	MEL	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEL

0.93 46.6%

NOP

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEL

47%

NOP

67%

Midrange

MEL

50%

NOP

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEL

18.0

29%

44%

NOP

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

MEL

65%

NOP

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

United

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Doyle	25	54%	12.5 / 23

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Murphy	18	64%	9.0 / 14
Z. Williamson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Poole	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Alvarado	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Hawkins	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. McGowens	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Fears	7	22%	3.5 / 16
M. Peavy	7	70%	3.5 / 5
Y. Missi	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Matković	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Looney	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Shumate	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Bey	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	31 95.1 4 118.2	MEL 95.1 NOP 104.9 +9.8
Pace	20 102.9 17 103.2	MEL 108.5 +10.7 NOP 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.3 17 13.9	MEL 13.3 −1.5 NOP 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	31 46.2% 12 54.8%	MEL 46.2% NOP 48.9% +2.7%
TO %	20 16.7% 10 15.3%	MEL 15.3% NOP 13.7% −1.6%
ORB %	15 28.3% 8 31.6%	MEL 28.3% +1.2% NOP 27.1%
FTrt	33 22.0 27 28.3	MEL 22.0 NOP 26.7 +4.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 63.9% 34 53.8%	MEL 63.9% +13.9% NOP 50.0%
STL %	33 6.9% 18 9.0%	MEL 6.9% NOP 10.8% +3.9%
BLK %	34 1.8% 17 10.1%	MEL 1.8% NOP 16.0% +14.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	32 46.6% 10 58.4%	MEL 46.6% NOP 51.9% +5.3%
Rim FG%	32 46.7% 11 67.1%	MEL 46.7% NOP 66.7% +20.0%
Mid FG%	2 50.0% 2 50.0%	MEL 50.0% +11.9% NOP 38.1%
3P %	29 29.3% 30 28.1%	MEL 29.3% +5.1% NOP 24.2%
FT %	34 65.0% 5 81.7%	MEL 65.0% NOP 79.2% +14.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 33.0% 1 44.7%	MEL 33.0% NOP 40.0% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	12 22.0% 4 18.5%	MEL 22.0% −1.4% NOP 23.3%
3P Att. %	14 45.1% 33 36.8%	MEL 45.1% +8.4% NOP 36.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	MEL	NOP
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.0
Points	97	107
Rebounds	48	46
Assists	23	20
Steals	7	11
Blocks	1	8
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	33 (5)
Field Goals	36-91	40-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-30	24-36
Midrange FG	10-20	8-21
2-Point FG	24-50	32-57
3-Point FG	12-41	8-33
Free Throws	13-20	19-24
Fast Break Pts	7	6
2nd Chance Pts	12	19
Points in Paint	38	60
Pts off Turnovers	23	20
Bench Points	39	60
Biggest Lead	1	16

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg