Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Hawks			113	110.8	102	118.3
		Rockets			122	117.3	104	91.4

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+15

-13

104

HOU

+18

-19

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.09 54.3%

HOU

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	20.8	9	45%	2	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	20.0	8	80%	3	6	2	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	18.3	9	64%	2	8	0	0	3	0	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	16.9	11	69%	2	0	2	2	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	15.3	5	31%	0	1	1	0	1	5	0	0	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	24.4	8	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	17.9	5	28%	3	4	3	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	16.4	11	61%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	15.7	13	93%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	12.8	5	28%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	12.4	3	38%	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	10.1	4	40%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.0	6	60%	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	7.7	8	200%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	3.2	0	0%	10	1	0	1	1	3	2	8	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	225	113	54%	34	32	14	5	13	26	10	24	18-27	67%	25-42	60%	15-49	31%

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Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	20.8	9	45%	2	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	20.0	8	80%	3	6	2	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	18.3	9	64%	2	8	0	0	3	0	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	16.9	11	69%	2	0	2	2	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	15.3	5	31%	0	1	1	0	1	5	0	0	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	24.4	8	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	17.9	5	28%	3	4	3	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	16.4	11	61%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	15.7	13	93%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	12.8	5	28%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	12.4	3	38%	3	1	0	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	10.1	4	40%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.0	6	60%	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	7.7	8	200%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	3.2	0	0%	10	1	0	1	1	3	2	8	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	225	113	54%	34	32	14	5	13	26	10	24	18-27	67%	25-42	60%	15-49	31%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	25.9	11	55%	2	3	2	0	4	2	1	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	23.2	9	50%	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	6	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	18.7	7	50%	3	1	0	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	18.4	10	63%	6	2	0	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	17.3	19	73%	5	6	0	2	1	2	1	4	7-7	100%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%

JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	22.4	17	94%	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	20.4	8	31%	4	3	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	2-9	22%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	17.7	8	80%	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	17.1	8	80%	3	0	1	2	0	1	1	2	8-10	80%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	16.3	8	133%	5	2	0	0	3	2	3	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	15.3	2	33%	5	0	2	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Cameron Matthews #9 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	7.7	1	50%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	220	122	59%	53	24	6	6	19	17	12	41	30-35	86%	25-47	53%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.09 54.3%

HOU

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

60%

HOU

78%

Midrange

ATL

59%

HOU

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

22.5

31%

46%

HOU

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

ATL

67%

HOU

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Johnson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
O. Okongwu	11	61%	5.5 / 9
Z. Risacher	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Young	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Daniels	8	80%	4.0 / 5
L. Kennard	8	100%	4.0 / 4
N. Đurišić	8	200%	4.0 / 2
M. Gueye	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Porziņģis	5	31%	2.5 / 8
K. Wallace	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Houstan	5	28%	2.5 / 9
V. Krejčí	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Newell	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Bassey	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Dante	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Davison	17	94%	8.5 / 9
A. Thompson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Eason	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Smith	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Holiday	8	31%	4.0 / 13
C. Capela	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Okogie	8	80%	4.0 / 5
S. Adams	8	133%	4.0 / 3
R. Sheppard	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Matthews	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 107.1 1 123.0	ATL 110.8 HOU 117.3 +6.5
Pace	5 106.7 4 106.7	ATL 118.3 +26.9 HOU 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	24 13.3 11 14.1	ATL 12.2 −3.6 HOU 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 50.1% 5 57.0%	ATL 52.2% HOU 56.8% +4.6%
TO %	11 15.3% 7 14.5%	ATL 12.0% −5.9% HOU 17.9%
ORB %	25 25.4% 9 31.5%	ATL 19.6% HOU 33.3% +13.7%
FTrt	18 32.1 17 33.1	ATL 29.7 HOU 43.2 +13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 66.9% 29 61.0%	ATL 80.0% +18.5% HOU 61.5%
STL %	21 8.4% 10 9.9%	ATL 13.7% +7.9% HOU 5.8%
BLK %	7 13.4% 13 12.1%	ATL 10.6% HOU 14.3% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 53.3% 2 60.5%	ATL 54.3% HOU 59.2% +4.9%
Rim FG%	13 66.1% 18 65.3%	ATL 60.0% HOU 77.8% +17.8%
Mid FG%	10 44.9% 6 48.5%	ATL 59.4% +12.0% HOU 47.4%
3P %	31 28.0% 4 37.5%	ATL 30.6% HOU 41.2% +10.6%
FT %	20 75.2% 1 85.2%	ATL 66.7% HOU 85.7% +19.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.5% 15 32.0%	ATL 11.0% HOU 11.1% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	22 26.0% 28 26.8%	ATL 35.2% −11.7% HOU 46.9%
3P Att. %	20 43.5% 25 41.2%	ATL 53.8% +11.9% HOU 42.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	HOU
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	20.7	27.3
Points	113	122
Rebounds	34	53
Assists	32	24
Steals	14	6
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	19 (2)
Fouls	26	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	41 (1)
Field Goals	40-91	39-81
At-the-Rim FG	6-10	7-9
Midrange FG	19-32	18-38
2-Point FG	25-42	25-47
3-Point FG	15-49	14-34
Free Throws	18-27	30-35
Fast Break Pts	12	7
2nd Chance Pts	9	20
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	24	13
Bench Points	71	66
Biggest Lead	3	15

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg