Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 11, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Hawks			122	113.0	108	106.9
		Grizzlies			116	108.4	107	108.1

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+12

-18

102

MEM

+17

-17

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.20 59.8%

MEM

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.8	16	89%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	24.6	11	37%	1	8	0	0	4	2	0	1	7-9	78%	2-3	67%	0-8	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	24.5	20	71%	7	2	2	0	3	2	0	7	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	23.9	13	81%	7	2	0	1	1	3	2	5	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	23.6	9	45%	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	21.4	12	75%	6	1	0	0	3	5	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	18.2	6	50%	2	7	3	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	17.6	4	67%	6	3	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	13.4	10	100%	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	12.0	2	25%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	12.0	7	70%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	6.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	5.2	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	228	122	60%	48	31	6	3	18	33	9	39	25-30	83%	35-54	65%	9-31	29%

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Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	24.8	16	89%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	24.6	11	37%	1	8	0	0	4	2	0	1	7-9	78%	2-3	67%	0-8	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	24.5	20	71%	7	2	2	0	3	2	0	7	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	23.9	13	81%	7	2	0	1	1	3	2	5	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	23.6	9	45%	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	21.4	12	75%	6	1	0	0	3	5	0	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	18.2	6	50%	2	7	3	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #3 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	17.6	4	67%	6	3	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	13.4	10	100%	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	12.0	2	25%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	12.0	7	70%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	6.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	5.2	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	228	122	60%	48	31	6	3	18	33	9	39	25-30	83%	35-54	65%	9-31	29%

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Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	24.8	15	58%	3	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	7-9	78%	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	22.6	9	56%	7	1	0	0	3	1	5	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	22.4	10	83%	10	4	0	0	1	1	1	9	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 33	18.9	13	93%	5	3	1	0	3	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 28	16.1	10	45%	0	4	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%

Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	22.0	15	63%	1	1	1	0	3	2	1	0	6-7	86%	3-3	100%	1-6	17%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	15.6	11	50%	2	1	2	0	1	1	1	1	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	14.1	0	0%	3	0	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	13.4	11	42%	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	2	0-5	0%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	12.3	9	64%	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	3	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Lawson Lovering #34 · C · 7'0" 245 · 22	12.2	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tyler Burton #4 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	6.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #22 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	201	116	54%	46	23	8	3	17	27	15	31	28-41	68%	23-44	52%	14-47	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.20 59.8%

MEM

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

76%

MEM

58%

Midrange

ATL

45%

MEM

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

29%

44%

MEM

21.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

ATL

83%

MEM

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	20	71%	10.0 / 14
Z. Risacher	16	89%	8.0 / 9
K. Porziņģis	13	81%	6.5 / 8
O. Okongwu	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Young	11	37%	5.5 / 15
V. Krejčí	10	100%	5.0 / 5
D. Daniels	9	45%	4.5 / 10
C. Houstan	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Wallace	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Kennard	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Dante	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Gueye	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Newell	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wells	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. Coward	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	13	93%	6.5 / 7
C. Spencer	11	50%	5.5 / 11
G. Jackson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
S. Aldama	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Jerome	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Landale	9	56%	4.5 / 8
O. Prosper	9	64%	4.5 / 7
L. Lovering	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 107.1 13 111.8	ATL 113.0 +4.6 MEM 108.4
Pace	5 106.7 11 105.2	ATL 106.9 MEM 108.1 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time	24 13.3 27 13.2	ATL 13.5 MEM 13.3 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 50.1% 18 52.9%	ATL 57.1% +8.7% MEM 48.4%
TO %	11 15.3% 15 16.2%	ATL 16.2% MEM 13.5% −2.7%
ORB %	25 25.4% 18 27.3%	ATL 22.5% MEM 27.8% +5.3%
FTrt	18 32.1 4 36.2	ATL 35.3 MEM 45.1 +9.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 66.9% 19 64.1%	ATL 70.5% +8.3% MEM 62.2%
STL %	21 8.4% 22 8.4%	ATL 5.6% MEM 7.5% +1.9%
BLK %	7 13.4% 28 7.9%	ATL 6.8% +1.2% MEM 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 53.3% 18 56.1%	ATL 59.8% +5.6% MEM 54.2%
Rim FG%	13 66.1% 28 57.7%	ATL 76.5% +18.8% MEM 57.7%
Mid FG%	10 44.9% 21 40.6%	ATL 45.0% +0.6% MEM 44.4%
3P %	31 28.0% 5 37.3%	ATL 29.0% MEM 29.8% +0.8%
FT %	20 75.2% 24 72.7%	ATL 83.3% +15.0% MEM 68.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.5% 32 24.9%	ATL 40.0% +11.4% MEM 28.6%
Mid Att. %	22 26.0% 13 22.7%	ATL 23.5% MEM 19.8% −3.7%
3P Att. %	20 43.5% 2 52.4%	ATL 36.5% MEM 51.6% +15.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MEM
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	122	116
Rebounds	48	46
Assists	31	23
Steals	6	8
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	33	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	44-85	37-91
At-the-Rim FG	26-34	15-26
Midrange FG	9-20	8-18
2-Point FG	35-54	23-44
3-Point FG	9-31	14-47
Free Throws	25-30	28-41
Fast Break Pts	14	10
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	68	40
Pts off Turnovers	17	18
Bench Points	53	59
Biggest Lead	17	2

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg