Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Rockets			130	119.3	109	104.3
		Pelicans			128	117.4	109	113.8

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+18

-17

110

NOP

+18

-16

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.17 58.6%

NOP

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SG · 6'11" 240 · 37	28.0	15	58%	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 23	27.0	8	44%	12	7	2	1	6	1	3	9	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	24.4	21	88%	5	3	0	0	3	3	1	4	9-9	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	24.2	2	25%	9	1	1	1	0	2	6	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 22	22.4	26	65%	5	1	1	1	1	4	0	5	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	4-10	40%

Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	20.9	20	63%	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	9-11	82%	0-4	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	20.5	6	100%	6	1	0	1	0	6	2	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	19.6	9	56%	3	3	1	0	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	18.8	13	72%	3	2	1	1	4	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	14.3	7	50%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	12.0	3	30%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	7.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Cameron Matthews #9 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Coaches Decision
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Coaches Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	50	26	9	7	17	25	16	34	27-30	90%	35-61	57%	11-36	31%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #7 · SG · 6'11" 240 · 37	28.0	15	58%	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Alperen Sengun #28 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 23	27.0	8	44%	12	7	2	1	6	1	3	9	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	24.4	21	88%	5	3	0	0	3	3	1	4	9-9	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	24.2	2	25%	9	1	1	1	0	2	6	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 22	22.4	26	65%	5	1	1	1	1	4	0	5	8-8	100%	3-6	50%	4-10	40%

Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	20.9	20	63%	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	9-11	82%	0-4	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	20.5	6	100%	6	1	0	1	0	6	2	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	19.6	9	56%	3	3	1	0	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	18.8	13	72%	3	2	1	1	4	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	14.3	7	50%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	12.0	3	30%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	7.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Cameron Matthews #9 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Coaches Decision
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Coaches Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision \| Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	50	26	9	7	17	25	16	34	27-30	90%	35-61	57%	11-36	31%

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New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	24.3	11	55%	4	1	2	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	24.3	10	38%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	23.0	13	54%	3	4	4	0	1	1	1	2	1-3	33%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	22.3	10	63%	10	0	0	2	3	3	4	6	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	21.4	10	45%	2	3	0	1	1	6	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%

Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	24.9	16	62%	5	3	0	1	0	2	3	2	7-7	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	22.1	20	67%	6	4	2	0	3	0	1	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	18.5	13	72%	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	6-6	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	15.2	8	50%	3	2	1	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 24	12.2	4	67%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	9.5	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	6.7	6	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #9 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Shumate #42 · SF · 6'6" 213 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left wrist surgery
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right Achilles rupture
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	224	128	57%	46	21	11	4	16	22	14	32	25-27	93%	38-63	60%	9-38	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.17 58.6%

NOP

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

71%

NOP

58%

Midrange

HOU

41%

NOP

67%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

16.5

31%

46%

NOP

13.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

HOU

90%

NOP

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	26	65%	13.0 / 20
A. Thompson	21	88%	10.5 / 12
T. Eason	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Durant	15	58%	7.5 / 13
R. Sheppard	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Okogie	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Sengun	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Holiday	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Capela	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Davison	3	30%	1.5 / 5
S. Adams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Fears	20	67%	10.0 / 15
S. Bey	16	62%	8.0 / 13
Z. Williamson	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Hawkins	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Murphy	11	55%	5.5 / 10
H. Jones	10	38%	5.0 / 13
Y. Missi	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Poole	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Alvarado	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. McGowens	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Peavy	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Matković	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 123.0 4 118.2	HOU 119.3 +1.8 NOP 117.4
Pace	4 106.7 17 103.2	HOU 104.3 NOP 113.8 +9.5
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.1 17 13.9	HOU 13.8 NOP 12.6 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 57.0% 12 54.8%	HOU 53.1% +2.1% NOP 51.0%
TO %	7 14.5% 10 15.3%	HOU 13.4% NOP 12.4% −1.0%
ORB %	9 31.5% 8 31.6%	HOU 33.3% +4.1% NOP 29.2%
FTrt	17 33.1 27 28.3	HOU 30.9 +4.2 NOP 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 61.0% 34 53.8%	HOU 56.5% +11.8% NOP 44.7%
STL %	10 9.9% 18 9.0%	HOU 8.3% NOP 10.1% +1.8%
BLK %	13 12.1% 17 10.1%	HOU 11.1% +4.5% NOP 6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 60.5% 10 58.4%	HOU 58.6% +1.5% NOP 57.1%
Rim FG%	18 65.3% 11 67.1%	HOU 70.6% +12.3% NOP 58.3%
Mid FG%	6 48.5% 2 50.0%	HOU 40.7% NOP 66.7% +26.0%
3P %	4 37.5% 30 28.1%	HOU 30.6% +6.9% NOP 23.7%
FT %	1 85.2% 5 81.7%	HOU 90.0% NOP 92.6% +2.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 32.0% 1 44.7%	HOU 35.1% NOP 47.5% +12.5%
Mid Att. %	28 26.8% 4 18.5%	HOU 27.8% NOP 14.9% −13.0%
3P Att. %	25 41.2% 33 36.8%	HOU 37.1% NOP 37.6% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	HOU	NOP
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	25.1	23.0
Points	130	128
Rebounds	50	46
Assists	26	21
Steals	9	11
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	32 (1)
Field Goals	46-97	47-101
At-the-Rim FG	24-34	28-48
Midrange FG	11-27	10-15
2-Point FG	35-61	38-63
3-Point FG	11-36	9-38
Free Throws	27-30	25-27
Fast Break Pts	17	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	19
Points in Paint	54	74
Pts off Turnovers	29	24
Bench Points	58	74
Biggest Lead	17	2

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg