Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Pacers			135	117.4	115	98.1
		Timberwolves			134	115.5	116	112.0

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+19

-24

110

MIN

+18

-20

114

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.24 61.9%

MIN

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	14.0	14	78%	3	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	14.0	8	80%	4	0	1	1	3	2	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	13.9	12	86%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	11.1	8	57%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	9.3	2	50%	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	24.4	13	50%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Gabe McGlothan #41 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 27	20.5	5	28%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.9	12	67%	3	1	0	1	4	1	1	2	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	18.5	6	75%	3	1	0	2	3	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
James Wiseman #11 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25	15.8	5	83%	4	2	0	1	3	2	3	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	10.4	3	75%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	10.0	3	50%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	8.3	7	88%	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	4.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Delon Wright #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	3.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Kam Jones #7 · NA · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	199	135	62%	50	32	12	7	24	33	17	33	25-31	81%	25-48	52%	20-46	43%

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Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	14.0	14	78%	3	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	14.0	8	80%	4	0	1	1	3	2	1	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	13.9	12	86%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	11.1	8	57%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	9.3	2	50%	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	24.4	13	50%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Gabe McGlothan #41 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 27	20.5	5	28%	6	1	1	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.9	12	67%	3	1	0	1	4	1	1	2	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	18.5	6	75%	3	1	0	2	3	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
James Wiseman #11 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25	15.8	5	83%	4	2	0	1	3	2	3	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	10.4	3	75%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	10.0	3	50%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	8.3	7	88%	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28	4.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Delon Wright #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	3.9	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Kam Jones #7 · NA · 6'4" 200 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	199	135	62%	50	32	12	7	24	33	17	33	25-31	81%	25-48	52%	20-46	43%

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Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	18.7	17	47%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	18.3	5	63%	4	0	1	1	5	4	1	3	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	18.0	14	58%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · SF · 6'9" 264 · 26	15.6	10	71%	3	1	2	0	1	3	1	2	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	13.7	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	22.6	9	64%	2	5	3	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	21.8	3	19%	2	4	1	0	3	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Joan Beringer #19 · C · 6'11" 230 · 19	20.5	4	50%	4	1	1	1	0	0	2	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Alize Johnson #24 · PF · 6'9" 212 · 29	17.0	9	75%	9	1	0	0	1	1	0	9	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	12.0	11	79%	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	8.9	3	50%	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	7.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	195	134	59%	41	26	14	5	20	26	11	30	31-41	76%	26-54	48%	17-36	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.24 61.9%

MIN

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

72%

MIN

67%

Midrange

IND

30%

MIN

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

30.0

43%

65%

MIN

25.5

47%

71%

Free Throws

IND

81%

MIN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Walker	13	50%	6.5 / 13
A. Nesmith	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Furphy	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Mathurin	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Nembhard	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. McConnell	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Huff	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. McGlothan	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Wiseman	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Q. Jackson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
O. Toppin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Wright	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	17	47%	8.5 / 18
J. Randle	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Hyland	11	79%	5.5 / 7
N. Reid	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Shannon	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Johnson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
R. Gobert	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Beringer	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Dillingham	3	19%	1.5 / 8
D. DiVincenzo	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Conley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 109.5 10 113.2	IND 117.4 +1.9 MIN 115.5
Pace	18 103.1 21 102.3	IND 98.1 MIN 112.0 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.0 18 13.8	IND 14.7 MIN 12.9 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.6% 6 56.9%	IND 58.5% +1.3% MIN 57.2%
TO %	33 20.8% 27 17.6%	IND 18.2% MIN 16.3% −1.9%
ORB %	10 30.6% 17 27.5%	IND 36.2% +11.2% MIN 25.0%
FTrt	30 25.8 23 30.0	IND 33.0 MIN 45.6 +12.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 69.3% 16 64.5%	IND 71.1% +10.6% MIN 60.5%
STL %	12 9.9% 19 8.7%	IND 10.4% MIN 12.1% +1.7%
BLK %	16 10.6% 20 9.8%	IND 13.0% +2.6% MIN 10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 57.4% 7 58.8%	IND 61.9% +2.6% MIN 59.3%
Rim FG%	12 67.0% 17 65.4%	IND 72.0% +5.3% MIN 66.7%
Mid FG%	16 42.9% 29 34.8%	IND 30.4% +0.8% MIN 29.6%
3P %	13 35.2% 1 42.9%	IND 43.5% MIN 47.2% +3.7%
FT %	7 80.4% 17 75.9%	IND 80.6% +5.0% MIN 75.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 28.1% 9 35.2%	IND 26.6% MIN 30.0% +3.4%
Mid Att. %	11 21.6% 25 26.2%	IND 24.5% −5.5% MIN 30.0%
3P Att. %	6 50.3% 31 38.6%	IND 48.9% +8.9% MIN 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIN
Possessions	115	116
Possession Minutes	28.1	24.9
Points	135	134
Rebounds	50	41
Assists	32	26
Steals	12	14
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	24 (0)	20 (1)
Fouls	33	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	45-94	43-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	18-27
Midrange FG	7-23	8-27
2-Point FG	25-48	26-54
3-Point FG	20-46	17-36
Free Throws	25-31	31-41
Fast Break Pts	28	18
2nd Chance Pts	21	16
Points in Paint	48	48
Pts off Turnovers	30	22
Bench Points	91	86
Biggest Lead	24	3

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg