Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			102	107.4	95	96.8
		Clippers			94	98.9	95	93.2

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-15

LAC

+11

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.4%

LAC

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	22.9	11	110%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	22.3	12	67%	9	6	1	1	1	1	1	8	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	22.0	18	69%	7	2	1	0	3	0	2	5	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	22.0	8	50%	0	0	3	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	20.3	7	39%	1	3	1	1	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	18.0	1	10%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	17.8	10	83%	9	1	0	0	4	5	2	7	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	17.1	9	56%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	16.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	14.1	6	60%	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	10.3	2	20%	3	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	9.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	8.8	5	83%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	6.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	4.1	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #34 · C · 7'2" 258 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	233	102	55%	45	23	9	2	15	22	8	37	11-17	65%	23-40	57%	15-42	36%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	22.9	11	110%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	22.3	12	67%	9	6	1	1	1	1	1	8	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	22.0	18	69%	7	2	1	0	3	0	2	5	4-6	67%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	22.0	8	50%	0	0	3	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	20.3	7	39%	1	3	1	1	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	18.0	1	10%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	17.8	10	83%	9	1	0	0	4	5	2	7	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	17.1	9	56%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	16.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	14.1	6	60%	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	10.3	2	20%	3	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	9.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	8.8	5	83%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	6.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	4.1	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moses Brown #34 · C · 7'2" 258 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	233	102	55%	45	23	9	2	15	22	8	37	11-17	65%	23-40	57%	15-42	36%

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LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	24.3	9	56%	4	1	0	1	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	24.0	5	36%	5	11	2	0	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	22.6	11	79%	10	2	2	0	3	0	4	6	1-4	25%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	20.3	12	67%	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 34	19.1	17	65%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	6-6	100%	4-4	100%	1-6	17%

Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	21.4	2	20%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	18.5	3	50%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	16.9	15	75%	1	1	0	3	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	16.6	6	33%	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	16.6	5	36%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	14.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	9.2	5	63%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	8.4	4	67%	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jason Preston #21 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 26	7.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	52%	42	24	9	5	15	17	8	34	19-26	73%	24-40	60%	9-37	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.4%

LAC

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

62%

LAC

65%

Midrange

DEN

50%

LAC

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

22.5

36%

54%

LAC

13.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

DEN

65%

LAC

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	18	69%	9.0 / 13
N. Jokić	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Braun	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Valančiūnas	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Watson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Johnson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Murray	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Strawther	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Pickett	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Nnaji	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Holmes	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Hardaway	1	10%	0.5 / 5
B. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	17	65%	8.5 / 13
B. Lopez	15	75%	7.5 / 10
D. Jones	12	67%	6.0 / 9
I. Zubac	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Collins	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Brown	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Harden	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Miller	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Christie	5	63%	2.5 / 4
Y. Niederhäuser	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Dunn	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Paul	2	20%	1.0 / 5
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Preston	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 110.5 6 115.9	DEN 107.4 +8.4 LAC 98.9
Pace	31 98.6 33 97.2	DEN 96.8 +3.6 LAC 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time	4 14.5 -2 15.5	DEN 14.9 −0.6 LAC 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 54.9% 2 58.6%	DEN 55.5% +6.8% LAC 48.7%
TO %	22 16.8% 16 16.2%	DEN 15.2% LAC 14.5% −0.7%
ORB %	31 21.7% 24 25.8%	DEN 19.0% +1.2% LAC 17.8%
FTrt	10 34.5 24 30.0	DEN 20.7 LAC 33.8 +13.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 64.4% 3 72.5%	DEN 60.5% LAC 72.7% +12.2%
STL %	16 9.3% 15 9.6%	DEN 9.5% LAC 9.5%
BLK %	23 8.4% 6 13.7%	DEN 5.0% LAC 12.5% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.7% 3 60.1%	DEN 55.4% +3.2% LAC 52.2%
Rim FG%	23 62.1% 6 70.1%	DEN 61.5% LAC 65.2% +3.7%
Mid FG%	6 48.5% 1 58.8%	DEN 50.0% LAC 52.9% +2.9%
3P %	12 35.6% 15 33.8%	DEN 35.7% +11.4% LAC 24.3%
FT %	15 76.8% 30 69.4%	DEN 64.7% LAC 73.1% +8.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.0% 21 29.7%	DEN 31.7% +1.8% LAC 29.9%
Mid Att. %	18 24.8% 21 26.0%	DEN 17.1% −5.0% LAC 22.1%
3P Att. %	18 44.3% 17 44.3%	DEN 51.2% +3.2% LAC 48.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.74 and 2.74.

Game Totals	DEN	LAC
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	102	94
Rebounds	45	42
Assists	23	24
Steals	9	9
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	34 (0)
Field Goals	38-82	33-77
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	15-23
Midrange FG	7-14	9-17
2-Point FG	23-40	24-40
3-Point FG	15-42	9-37
Free Throws	11-17	19-26
Fast Break Pts	13	18
2nd Chance Pts	17	6
Points in Paint	40	38
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	46	40
Biggest Lead	8	7

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg