Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 13, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Mavericks			114	111.8	102	95.9
		Jazz			101	99.0	102	108.5

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+22

-15

109

UTA

+13

-13

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.05 52.3%

UTA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	24.9	25	74%	6	2	2	2	1	0	0	6	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	2-5	40%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 27	22.5	6	43%	6	3	1	1	3	1	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Cooper Flagg #32 · PG · 6'9" 205 · 19	20.9	11	39%	7	1	2	2	0	2	1	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	1-6	17%
Klay Thompson #31 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	13.4	5	42%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	7.2	2	100%	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	26.4	6	43%	5	12	1	0	1	4	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	21.2	17	77%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	8-10	80%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	20.3	5	42%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	18.8	2	50%	5	4	0	1	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	17.6	13	43%	6	3	0	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	14.4	8	67%	6	0	1	0	0	1	4	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Dennis Smith Jr. #8 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	8.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	216	114	52%	59	32	8	10	15	20	18	41	25-32	78%	22-41	54%	15-53	28%

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Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	24.9	25	74%	6	2	2	2	1	0	0	6	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	2-5	40%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 27	22.5	6	43%	6	3	1	1	3	1	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Cooper Flagg #32 · PG · 6'9" 205 · 19	20.9	11	39%	7	1	2	2	0	2	1	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	1-6	17%
Klay Thompson #31 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	13.4	5	42%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	7.2	2	100%	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	26.4	6	43%	5	12	1	0	1	4	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	21.2	17	77%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	8-10	80%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	20.3	5	42%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	18.8	2	50%	5	4	0	1	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	17.6	13	43%	6	3	0	0	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	14.4	8	67%	6	0	1	0	0	1	4	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Dennis Smith Jr. #8 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	8.7	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	216	114	52%	59	32	8	10	15	20	18	41	25-32	78%	22-41	54%	15-53	28%

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Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 22	28.3	14	54%	5	3	1	0	2	3	4	1	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	24.4	13	72%	15	2	1	1	2	3	2	13	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	23.5	9	50%	0	2	0	0	4	4	0	0	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	18.4	10	50%	4	3	1	0	0	2	0	4	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	10.7	3	30%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%

Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	29.4	8	44%	5	7	3	0	3	2	1	4	5-5	100%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21	26.1	13	43%	3	1	1	2	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.2	16	80%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	3-7	43%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	16.9	3	38%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	14.3	2	14%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	13.3	2	50%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Abmas #33 · PG · 5'11" 162 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Bursitis
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinopathy
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth metatarsal stress reaction
Cameron McGriff #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	NWT - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	224	101	50%	48	22	10	3	13	25	11	37	20-27	74%	24-50	48%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.05 52.3%

UTA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

73%

UTA

65%

Midrange

DAL

42%

UTA

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

22.5

28%

42%

UTA

16.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

DAL

78%

UTA

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	25	74%	12.5 / 17
N. Marshall	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Hardy	13	43%	6.5 / 15
C. Flagg	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Robinson-Earl	8	67%	4.0 / 6
P. Washington	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Nembhard	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Thompson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Christie	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Lively	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Powell	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	16	80%	8.0 / 10
T. Hendricks	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Nurkić	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Williams	13	43%	6.5 / 15
L. Markkanen	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. George	9	50%	4.5 / 9
W. Clayton	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Bailey	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Love	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Filipowski	2	14%	1.0 / 7
S. Mykhailiuk	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 110.7 5 116.9	DAL 111.8 +12.7 UTA 99.0
Pace	16 103.2 22 102.0	DAL 95.9 UTA 108.5 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 13.8 13 14.0	DAL 15.0 UTA 13.3 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 52.1% 9 56.5%	DAL 47.3% +0.7% UTA 46.6%
TO %	4 14.0% 5 14.1%	DAL 12.9% −0.3% UTA 13.2%
ORB %	30 22.4% 29 22.9%	DAL 32.7% +11.5% UTA 21.2%
FTrt	20 31.4 13 34.2	DAL 34.0 +3.0 UTA 31.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 72.8% 9 68.3%	DAL 86.5% +23.6% UTA 62.9%
STL %	14 9.6% 23 8.4%	DAL 7.8% UTA 9.8% +2.0%
BLK %	3 16.5% 29 7.1%	DAL 20.0% +12.7% UTA 7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 55.7% 5 59.6%	DAL 52.3% +2.8% UTA 49.5%
Rim FG%	1 76.2% 10 68.0%	DAL 73.3% +8.1% UTA 65.2%
Mid FG%	28 35.9% 9 46.0%	DAL 42.3% +9.0% UTA 33.3%
3P %	24 30.8% 6 36.6%	DAL 28.3% UTA 29.7% +1.4%
FT %	10 79.3% 6 81.5%	DAL 78.1% +4.0% UTA 74.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 29.7% 25 28.7%	DAL 16.0% UTA 26.4% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	32 29.1% 19 25.0%	DAL 27.7% −3.4% UTA 31.0%
3P Att. %	24 41.2% 11 46.3%	DAL 56.4% +13.9% UTA 42.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	UTA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.6
Points	114	101
Rebounds	59	48
Assists	32	22
Steals	8	10
Blocks	10	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	20	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (4)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (1)	37 (1)
Field Goals	37-94	35-87
At-the-Rim FG	11-15	15-23
Midrange FG	11-26	9-27
2-Point FG	22-41	24-50
3-Point FG	15-53	11-37
Free Throws	25-32	20-27
Fast Break Pts	22	21
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	36	44
Pts off Turnovers	19	18
Bench Points	65	52
Biggest Lead	15	3

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg