Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			91	95.8	95	95.1
		Thunder			94	98.9	95	94.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	25.4	10	56%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	25.2	15	58%	6	4	1	1	6	2	3	3	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	24.7	9	50%	6	4	0	0	2	3	0	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.0	13	81%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	21.2	5	50%	5	2	0	2	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	25.3	12	67%	1	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	20.6	5	31%	3	0	5	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	18.2	14	78%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	4-7	57%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	12.2	0	0%	2	0	4	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	12.0	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	11.3	2	17%	3	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Moses Brown #34 · C · 7'2" 258 · 26	4.0	1	17%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	226	91	48%	45	23	13	5	13	19	11	34	10-17	59%	15-41	37%	17-45	38%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	25.4	10	56%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	25.2	15	58%	6	4	1	1	6	2	3	3	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	24.7	9	50%	6	4	0	0	2	3	0	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	22.0	13	81%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	21.2	5	50%	5	2	0	2	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	25.3	12	67%	1	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	20.6	5	31%	3	0	5	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	18.2	14	78%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	4-7	57%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	12.2	0	0%	2	0	4	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	12.0	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	11.3	2	17%	3	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Moses Brown #34 · C · 7'2" 258 · 26	4.0	1	17%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	226	91	48%	45	23	13	5	13	19	11	34	10-17	59%	15-41	37%	17-45	38%

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Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	19.4	8	44%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	19.4	9	50%	6	3	1	1	2	2	1	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	18.0	12	120%	4	5	1	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	16.4	6	50%	3	1	1	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SF · 6'5" 186 · 32	10.6	3	50%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	22.2	2	14%	1	2	1	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	20.3	17	61%	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	20.2	8	67%	7	2	0	1	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	18.7	10	50%	4	2	0	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Zack Austin #16 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dariq Whitehead #99 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	INACTIVE
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	INACTIVE
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	INACTIVE
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	INACTIVE
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	165	94	51%	49	22	8	5	17	15	8	41	11-13	85%	19-31	61%	15-53	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.96 47.9%

OKC

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

7

15

47%

OKC

11

20

55%

Midrange

DEN

8

26

31%

OKC

8

11

73%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

17

25.5

45

38%

57%

OKC

15

22.5

53

28%

42%

Free Throws

DEN

10

17

59%

OKC

11

13

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Watson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Strawther	14	78%	7.0 / 9
T. Hardaway	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Pickett	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Brown	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Johnson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji	5	31%	2.5 / 8
H. Tyson	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. Brown	1	17%	0.5 / 3
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Dieng	17	61%	8.5 / 14
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	12	120%	6.0 / 5
C. Wallace	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Holmgren	9	50%	4.5 / 9
L. Dort	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Williams	8	67%	4.0 / 6
I. Hartenstein	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Caruso	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Wiggins	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 110.5 26 105.3	DEN 95.8 OKC 98.9 +3.2
Pace	31 98.6 13 104.0	DEN 95.1 +0.2 OKC 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 14.5 21 13.6	DEN 15.1 −0.0 OKC 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 54.9% 20 52.0%	DEN 47.1% OKC 49.4% +2.3%
TO %	22 16.8% 12 15.5%	DEN 12.2% −4.5% OKC 16.7%
ORB %	31 21.7% 32 19.8%	DEN 21.2% +2.2% OKC 19.0%
FTrt	10 34.5 31 24.9	DEN 19.8 +4.3 OKC 15.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 64.4% 15 65.2%	DEN 71.9% +7.2% OKC 64.7%
STL %	16 9.3% 4 11.4%	DEN 13.7% +5.3% OKC 8.4%
BLK %	23 8.4% 8 13.3%	DEN 16.1% +3.9% OKC 12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.7% 20 54.4%	DEN 47.9% OKC 51.1% +3.2%
Rim FG%	23 62.1% 25 59.1%	DEN 46.7% OKC 55.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%	6 48.5% 4 48.8%	DEN 30.8% OKC 72.7% +41.9%
3P %	12 35.6% 16 33.3%	DEN 37.8% +9.5% OKC 28.3%
FT %	15 76.8% 8 79.5%	DEN 58.8% OKC 84.6% +25.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.0% 33 24.9%	DEN 17.4% OKC 23.8% +6.4%
Mid Att. %	18 24.8% 16 23.2%	DEN 30.2% OKC 13.1% −17.1%
3P Att. %	18 44.3% 3 52.0%	DEN 52.3% OKC 63.1% +10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	91	94
Rebounds	45	49
Assists	23	22
Steals	13	8
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	41 (2)
Field Goals	32-86	34-84
At-the-Rim FG	7-15	11-20
Midrange FG	8-26	8-11
2-Point FG	15-41	19-31
3-Point FG	17-45	15-53
Free Throws	10-17	11-13
Fast Break Pts	13	11
2nd Chance Pts	9	10
Points in Paint	26	30
Pts off Turnovers	17	20
Bench Points	39	56
Biggest Lead	16	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg