Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 8, 2026

Final				ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Pelicans	118	113.5	104	94.9
		Heat	128	123.1	104	115.0

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+17

-22

MIA

+15

-11

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.15 57.3%

MIA

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	19.3	11	69%	9	0	0	0	0	2	4	5	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	19.3	11	69%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	16.3	8	40%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Bennedict Mathurin #24 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	14.4	8	50%	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	13.8	11	55%	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%

Bryce McGowens #11 · G · 6'6" 190 · 24	19.9	1	10%	3	7	3	0	2	1	1	2	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · G-F · 6'8" 215 · 27	16.9	12	67%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 22	15.6	5	63%	8	1	0	1	5	2	1	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #33 · G · 6'8" 205 · 24	15.4	3	38%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Trendon Watford #9 · G-F · 6'8" 245 · 26	15.2	2	20%	7	2	0	1	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jaron Pierre Jr. #10 · G · 6'5" 210 · 24	13.3	12	100%	1	0	0	1	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Jordan Poole #3 · G · 6'4" 194 · 27	13.2	14	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Karlo Matković #17 · F-C · 6'10" 231 · 26	12.2	9	64%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · G · 6'4" 195 · 23	11.9	9	75%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Herbert Jones #2 · F · 6'7" 206 · 28	10.4	0	0%	3	2	2	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malik Dia #8 · F · 6'9" 250 · 23	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	4.1	0	0%	2	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Julian Reese #13 · F · 6'9" 230 · 23	2.9	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · G · 6'4" 180 · 30	DNP
AJ Johnson #14 · G · 6'5" 160 · 22	DNP
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	52	22	10	8	22	25	17	35	19-25	76%	21-48	44%	19-43	44%

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New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	19.3	11	69%	9	0	0	0	0	2	4	5	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	19.3	11	69%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	16.3	8	40%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Bennedict Mathurin #24 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24	14.4	8	50%	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	13.8	11	55%	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%

Bryce McGowens #11 · G · 6'6" 190 · 24	19.9	1	10%	3	7	3	0	2	1	1	2	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Saddiq Bey #41 · G-F · 6'8" 215 · 27	16.9	12	67%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 22	15.6	5	63%	8	1	0	1	5	2	1	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #33 · G · 6'8" 205 · 24	15.4	3	38%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Trendon Watford #9 · G-F · 6'8" 245 · 26	15.2	2	20%	7	2	0	1	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jaron Pierre Jr. #10 · G · 6'5" 210 · 24	13.3	12	100%	1	0	0	1	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Jordan Poole #3 · G · 6'4" 194 · 27	13.2	14	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Karlo Matković #17 · F-C · 6'10" 231 · 26	12.2	9	64%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Kobe Bufkin #4 · G · 6'4" 195 · 23	11.9	9	75%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Herbert Jones #2 · F · 6'7" 206 · 28	10.4	0	0%	3	2	2	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malik Dia #8 · F · 6'9" 250 · 23	5.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	4.1	0	0%	2	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Julian Reese #13 · F · 6'9" 230 · 23	2.9	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · G · 6'4" 180 · 30	DNP
AJ Johnson #14 · G · 6'5" 160 · 22	DNP
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	52	22	10	8	22	25	17	35	19-25	76%	21-48	44%	19-43	44%

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Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Davion Mitchell #2 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 28	20.3	9	75%	1	7	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #7 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 32	17.9	18	60%	4	4	1	0	2	2	2	2	2-5	40%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29	16.1	9	75%	4	2	1	0	0	0	1	3	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 32	15.2	13	93%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	14.1	5	36%	1	3	1	3	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%

Nikola Jović #5 · F · 6'10" 240 · 23	20.8	8	50%	4	2	2	2	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Bobby Portis Jr. #95 · F · 6'9" 250 · 32	20.0	11	39%	6	2	2	1	2	0	3	3	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · G-F · 6'5" 205 · 35	19.2	11	61%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Myron Gardner #15 · F · 6'5" 225 · 25	14.7	11	79%	4	4	3	1	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Nick Richards #8 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	14.7	5	63%	9	0	1	1	3	0	1	8	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tre Donaldson #24 · G · 6'3" 195 · 23	14.7	12	75%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · F · 6'7" 220 · 31	14.3	6	50%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Ryan Conwell #4 · G · 6'4" 215 · 22	14.2	3	25%	1	4	0	0	0	4	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
#14 · · 0'0" · 0	12.0	5	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
#20 · · 0'0" · 0	12.0	2	33%	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Lester Quinones #25 · G · 6'4" 208 · 26	DNP
Dru Smith #12 · G · 6'2" 200 · 29	DNP
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	DNP
Bez Mbeng #19 · G · 6'4" 185 · 23	DNP
Pelle Larsson #9 · G · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND – Injury · Illness
Keshad Johnson #16 · F · 6'6" 230 · 25	DND – Injury · Right Hamstring Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	56%	49	36	12	5	11	17	15	34	18-28	64%	31-59	53%	16-41	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIA

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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.15 57.3%

MIA

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

80%

MIA

63%

Midrange

NOP

18%

MIA

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

28.5

44%

66%

MIA

24.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

NOP

76%

MIA

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	14	100%	7.0 / 7
S. Bey	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Pierre	12	100%	6.0 / 6
Y. Missi	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Fears	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Murphy	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Matković	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Bufkin	9	75%	4.5 / 6
Z. Williamson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
B. Mathurin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Queen	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Houstan	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Watford	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Reese	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. McGowens	1	10%	0.5 / 5
M. Dia	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Wiggins	13	93%	6.5 / 7
T. Donaldson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Portis	11	39%	5.5 / 14
T. Hardaway	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Gardner	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Mitchell	9	75%	4.5 / 6
B. Adebayo	9	75%	4.5 / 6
N. Jović	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Fontecchio	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Thompson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
N. Richards	5	63%	2.5 / 4
	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Conwell	3	25%	1.5 / 6
	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 12 115.8	NOP 113.5 MIA 123.1 +9.6
Pace	11 101.3 1 104.3	NOP 94.9 MIA 115.0 +20.2
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 30 13.1	NOP 15.2 MIA 12.5 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 18 54.2%	NOP 54.4% MIA 55.0% +0.6%
TO %	11 13.2% 5 12.6%	NOP 17.7% MIA 8.9% −8.8%
ORB %	8 27.0% 17 25.4%	NOP 33.3% +3.3% MIA 30.0%
FTrt	8 28.4 14 26.8	NOP 27.5 MIA 28.0 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 10 66.3%	NOP 55.0% MIA 76.6% +21.6%
STL %	10 8.7% 17 8.3%	NOP 9.6% MIA 11.5% +1.9%
BLK %	2 10.8% 22 8.5%	NOP 13.6% +3.2% MIA 10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 15 56.8%	NOP 57.3% +1.2% MIA 56.1%
Rim FG%	28 61.5% 20 63.6%	NOP 80.0% +16.7% MIA 63.3%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 21 42.4%	NOP 17.9% MIA 41.4% +23.5%
3P %	24 34.7% 12 36.1%	NOP 44.2% +5.2% MIA 39.0%
FT %	14 78.4% 11 79.2%	NOP 76.0% +11.7% MIA 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 11 32.9%	NOP 22.0% MIA 30.0% +8.0%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 17 26.5%	NOP 30.8% MIA 29.0% −1.8%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 18 40.6%	NOP 47.3% +6.3% MIA 41.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	MIA
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.7
Points	118	128
Rebounds	52	49
Assists	22	36
Steals	10	12
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	25	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (0)	15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	34 (0)
Field Goals	40-91	47-100
At-the-Rim FG	16-20	19-30
Midrange FG	5-28	12-29
2-Point FG	21-48	31-59
3-Point FG	19-43	16-41
Free Throws	19-25	18-28
Fast Break Pts	11	30
2nd Chance Pts	21	13
Points in Paint	40	58
Pts off Turnovers	13	30
Bench Points	69	74
Biggest Lead	6	13

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg

Last Season Avg