Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Final				ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Warriors	118	113.5	104	104.0
		Trail Blazers	123	117.1	105	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+17

-19

102

POR

+24

-21

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 57.8%

POR

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dalen Terry #21 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	42.6	23	61%	8	9	4	0	4	3	3	5	1-2	50%	5-13	38%	4-5	80%	+13.7
Malevy Leons #33 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	33.3	5	23%	5	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-4	25%	−0.2
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	32.7	15	75%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	6-6	100%	0-4	0%	3-3	100%	+5.0
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	24.1	13	81%	6	1	3	3	3	3	2	4	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-	+9.0
Brandon Williams #12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27	17.9	17	65%	3	4	1	0	3	1	0	3	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	+6.1

Miles Kelly #99 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24	28.4	24	67%	7	6	1	1	1	5	2	5	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	6-11	55%	+13.9
Graham Ike #45 · F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24	23.8	10	50%	6	2	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%	+3.9
Alex Toohey #22 · F · 6'8" 217 · 22	18.8	5	63%	1	2	0	2	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	+3.8
LJ Cryer #18 · G · 6'0" 200 · 25	18.3	6	50%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	+0.6
Stephen Curry #30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 39	DNP
Yaxel Lendeborg #1 · F · 6'9" 241 · 24	DNP
Brandin Podziemski #2 · G · 6'4" 205 · 24	DNP
Gui Santos #15 · F · 6'7" 185 · 24	DNP
Moses Moody #4 · G · 6'5" 211 · 24	DNP
Al Horford #20 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 40	DNP
Jimmy Butler III #10 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	DNP
Draymond Green #23 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	DNP
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · F-C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DNP
Georges Niang #32 · F · 6'6" 230 · 33	DNP
Gary Payton II #0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 34	DNP
De'Anthony Melton #8 · G · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	58%	40	26	11	9	19	24	12	28	15-24	63%	23-53	43%	19-34	56%

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Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dalen Terry #21 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	42.6	23	61%	8	9	4	0	4	3	3	5	1-2	50%	5-13	38%	4-5	80%	+13.7
Malevy Leons #33 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	33.3	5	23%	5	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-4	25%	−0.2
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	32.7	15	75%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	6-6	100%	0-4	0%	3-3	100%	+5.0
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 26	24.1	13	81%	6	1	3	3	3	3	2	4	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-	+9.0
Brandon Williams #12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27	17.9	17	65%	3	4	1	0	3	1	0	3	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	+6.1

Miles Kelly #99 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24	28.4	24	67%	7	6	1	1	1	5	2	5	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	6-11	55%	+13.9
Graham Ike #45 · F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24	23.8	10	50%	6	2	1	0	2	2	2	4	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%	+3.9
Alex Toohey #22 · F · 6'8" 217 · 22	18.8	5	63%	1	2	0	2	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	+3.8
LJ Cryer #18 · G · 6'0" 200 · 25	18.3	6	50%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	+0.6
Stephen Curry #30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 39	DNP
Yaxel Lendeborg #1 · F · 6'9" 241 · 24	DNP
Brandin Podziemski #2 · G · 6'4" 205 · 24	DNP
Gui Santos #15 · F · 6'7" 185 · 24	DNP
Moses Moody #4 · G · 6'5" 211 · 24	DNP
Al Horford #20 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 40	DNP
Jimmy Butler III #10 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	DNP
Draymond Green #23 · F · 6'6" 230 · 37	DNP
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · F-C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DNP
Georges Niang #32 · F · 6'6" 230 · 33	DNP
Gary Payton II #0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 34	DNP
De'Anthony Melton #8 · G · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	58%	40	26	11	9	19	24	12	28	15-24	63%	23-53	43%	19-34	56%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 26	21.0	23	82%	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	1	2-4	50%	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	+8.1
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 23	19.7	3	21%	10	2	1	1	0	1	2	8	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%	+3.6
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	19.4	5	63%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%	+3.8
Damian Lillard #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 36	19.3	15	63%	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	+7.4
Ja Morant #1 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	19.1	8	44%	2	5	2	0	4	2	2	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%	+3.0

Jrue Holiday #5 · G · 6'4" 220 · 36	19.2	5	31%	7	5	1	0	3	0	2	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%	+2.3
Scoot Henderson #00 · G · 6'3" 207 · 23	16.9	9	50%	3	3	0	1	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%	+2.0
Sidy Cissoko #91 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.0	0	0%	1	1	1	2	2	2	0	1	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-	+0.6
Robert Williams III #35 · C-F · 6'9" 249 · 29	13.6	8	80%	5	1	1	5	1	1	4	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	+8.0
Vít Krejčí #27 · G · 6'8" 195 · 26	13.5	3	30%	4	3	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%	+2.5
Micah Potter #9 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	13.0	13	93%	6	1	0	0	0	0	3	3	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	+7.6
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	12.0	6	75%	2	4	1	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+3.7
Chris Youngblood #11 · G · 6'4" 221 · 25	12.0	8	67%	2	3	1	0	3	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	+3.1
Jeremy Sochan #4 · F · 6'8" 230 · 23	9.3	10	83%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	+3.6
Branden Carlson #10 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	9.2	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	+1.8
John Tonje #2 · G · 6'4" 218 · 25	3.5	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+1.7
Jayson Kent #29 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	3.5	3	75%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%	+3.2
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · G · 6'5" 210 · 23	Meniscus
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	50	34	13	7	21	20	18	32	16-21	76%	28-51	55%	17-44	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 57.8%

POR

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

41%

POR

56%

Midrange

GSW

46%

POR

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

28.5

56%

84%

POR

25.5

39%

58%

Free Throws

GSW

63%

POR

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Kelly	24	67%	12.0 / 18
D. Terry	23	61%	11.5 / 18
B. Williams	17	65%	8.5 / 13
W. Richard	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Bassey	13	81%	6.5 / 9
G. Ike	10	50%	5.0 / 10
L. Cryer	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Leons	5	23%	2.5 / 11
A. Toohey	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	23	82%	11.5 / 14
D. Lillard	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Potter	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Sochan	10	83%	5.0 / 6
S. Henderson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Morant	8	44%	4.0 / 9
R. Williams	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Youngblood	8	67%	4.0 / 6
Y. Hansen	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Camara	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Holiday	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Carlson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Clingan	3	21%	1.5 / 7
V. Krejčí	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Kent	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Cissoko	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 110.0 7 116.6	GSW 113.5 POR 117.1 +3.7
Pace	17 103.5 28 100.8	GSW 104.0 POR 105.0 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.4 7 14.3	GSW 13.8 POR 13.7 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 53.8% 3 57.3%	GSW 59.2% +2.9% POR 56.3%
TO %	22 18.0% 20 17.6%	GSW 17.7% POR 17.4% −0.3%
ORB %	20 26.8% 14 29.6%	GSW 27.3% POR 39.1% +11.8%
FTrt	12 34.8 28 25.8	GSW 27.6 +5.5 POR 22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 68.7% 14 68.4%	GSW 61.9% POR 75.6% +13.7%
STL %	4 12.3% 19 9.2%	GSW 10.6% POR 12.4% +1.8%
BLK %	11 11.3% 27 7.9%	GSW 17.6% +4.4% POR 13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.4% 2 59.6%	GSW 57.8% +0.9% POR 56.9%
Rim FG%	18 62.5% 12 65.1%	GSW 41.4% POR 56.1% +14.7%
Mid FG%	15 42.2% 2 50.8%	GSW 45.8% POR 50.0% +4.2%
3P %	11 36.4% 17 35.8%	GSW 55.9% +17.3% POR 38.6%
FT %	17 74.7% 10 77.8%	GSW 62.5% POR 76.2% +13.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.7% 5 36.1%	GSW 33.3% POR 43.2% +9.8%
Mid Att. %	19 25.0% 2 17.5%	GSW 27.6% POR 10.5% −17.1%
3P Att. %	15 45.2% 10 46.4%	GSW 39.1% POR 46.3% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	POR
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	118	123
Rebounds	40	50
Assists	26	34
Steals	11	13
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	19 (2)	21 (1)
Fouls	24	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	32 (2)
Field Goals	42-87	45-95
At-the-Rim FG	12-29	23-41
Midrange FG	11-24	5-10
2-Point FG	23-53	28-51
3-Point FG	19-34	17-44
Free Throws	15-24	16-21
Fast Break Pts	18	25
2nd Chance Pts	16	29
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	23	22
Bench Points	45	69
Biggest Lead	3	12

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

	WAS	132
	ATL	139 ◀

	BOS	119 ◀
	CHA	80

	PHI	95
	CLE	119 ◀

	UTA	100
	DAL	112 ◀

	OKC	128 ◀
	MEM	97

	TOR	121 ◀
	MIL	107

	MIN	115 ◀
	NOP	109

	SAS	124 ◀
	SAC	109

	DEN	114 ◀
	IND	102

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg