Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 16, 2026

Final				ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Wizards	106	98.1	108	109.2
		Pelicans	107	98.2	109	107.8

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+20

-23

105

NOP

+20

-16

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.00 50.0%

NOP

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	27.9	7	25%	4	7	3	0	5	1	1	3	4-6	67%	0-4	0%	1-7	14%	+3.0
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 34	26.8	14	47%	11	1	1	2	2	2	1	10	2-4	50%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%	+4.8
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 23	26.8	14	88%	3	1	1	2	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	+7.5
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	12	67%	9	0	1	1	1	2	3	6	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	+6.7
AJ Dybantsa #4 · SF · 6'9" 217 · 20	14.9	12	60%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	+3.5

Tre Johnson #12 · G · 6'5" 190 · 21	18.3	7	44%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	+1.6
Khris Middleton #22 · F · 6'7" 222 · 35	13.9	5	36%	4	3	0	0	2	1	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	+1.0
Deandre Ayton #8 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	13.8	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+1.8
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · G · 6'7" 195 · 22	13.3	3	38%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%	+1.2
Will Riley #27 · F · 6'9" 180 · 21	11.0	11	61%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	+4.1
Felix Okpara #34 · F-C · 6'10" 237 · 22	8.1	2	50%	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+1.5
Chris Livingston #24 · F · 6'6" 220 · 23	8.1	4	50%	4	1	0	1	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	+3.1
Reece Beekman #26 · G · 6'1" 190 · 25	8.1	0	0%	2	2	2	0	4	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.4
Bub Carrington #7 · G · 6'4" 190 · 21	8.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-	−0.9
Trevor Keels #13 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	6.2	6	60%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%	+2.2
Justin Champagnie #9 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 25	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	−0.2
Alondes Williams #31 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	3.2	5	125%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%	+2.9
Anthony Gill #16 · F · 6'7" 230 · 34	DNP
Jamir Watkins #5 · F · 6'6" 210 · 25	DNP
Tre Mann #1 · G · 6'4" 178 · 26	DNP
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · F · 7'0" 220 · 24	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	50%	51	21	10	6	23	21	16	35	22-31	71%	24-50	48%	12-41	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 28	27.9	7	25%	4	7	3	0	5	1	1	3	4-6	67%	0-4	0%	1-7	14%	+3.0
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 34	26.8	14	47%	11	1	1	2	2	2	1	10	2-4	50%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%	+4.8
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 23	26.8	14	88%	3	1	1	2	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	+7.5
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	12	67%	9	0	1	1	1	2	3	6	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	+6.7
AJ Dybantsa #4 · SF · 6'9" 217 · 20	14.9	12	60%	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	+3.5

Tre Johnson #12 · G · 6'5" 190 · 21	18.3	7	44%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	+1.6
Khris Middleton #22 · F · 6'7" 222 · 35	13.9	5	36%	4	3	0	0	2	1	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	+1.0
Deandre Ayton #8 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	13.8	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+1.8
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · G · 6'7" 195 · 22	13.3	3	38%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%	+1.2
Will Riley #27 · F · 6'9" 180 · 21	11.0	11	61%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	+4.1
Felix Okpara #34 · F-C · 6'10" 237 · 22	8.1	2	50%	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+1.5
Chris Livingston #24 · F · 6'6" 220 · 23	8.1	4	50%	4	1	0	1	0	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	+3.1
Reece Beekman #26 · G · 6'1" 190 · 25	8.1	0	0%	2	2	2	0	4	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.4
Bub Carrington #7 · G · 6'4" 190 · 21	8.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-	−0.9
Trevor Keels #13 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	6.2	6	60%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%	+2.2
Justin Champagnie #9 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 25	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	−0.2
Alondes Williams #31 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	3.2	5	125%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%	+2.9
Anthony Gill #16 · F · 6'7" 230 · 34	DNP
Jamir Watkins #5 · F · 6'6" 210 · 25	DNP
Tre Mann #1 · G · 6'4" 178 · 26	DNP
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · F · 7'0" 220 · 24	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	50%	51	21	10	6	23	21	16	35	22-31	71%	24-50	48%	12-41	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	22.1	11	37%	5	1	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-4	0%	+0.1
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	22.0	14	54%	3	5	3	0	3	3	0	3	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%	+7.2
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28	21.9	5	36%	4	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	+2.9
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	20.7	11	55%	5	3	2	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%	+7.4
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	18.6	6	60%	7	1	0	0	0	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+3.8

Jordan Poole #3 · G · 6'4" 194 · 27	18.6	8	44%	1	4	1	2	1	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-7	14%	+5.5
Bennedict Mathurin #24 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24	17.4	10	56%	2	2	1	2	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%	+4.2
Saddiq Bey #41 · G-F · 6'8" 215 · 28	17.3	19	79%	6	2	2	0	2	3	2	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	+10.1
Karlo Matković #17 · F-C · 6'10" 231 · 26	17.1	6	43%	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	+1.5
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 22	16.9	2	33%	7	5	0	2	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	+5.3
Jaron Pierre Jr. #10 · G · 6'5" 210 · 24	8.7	2	25%	0	1	2	0	3	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%	+0.4
Bryce McGowens #11 · G · 6'6" 190 · 24	8.7	5	36%	2	1	3	0	0	3	2	0	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%	+4.7
Julian Reese #13 · F · 6'9" 230 · 23	8.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-	+0.7
AJ Johnson #14 · G · 6'5" 160 · 22	8.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	−0.7
Trendon Watford #9 · G-F · 6'8" 245 · 26	8.7	4	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-	+0.7
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	3.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.5
#34 · F · 6'8" 211 · 24	DNP
Kobe Bufkin #4 · G · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP
Malik Dia #8 · F · 6'9" 250 · 23	DNP
Caleb Houstan #33 · G · 6'8" 205 · 24	DNP
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP
Dejounte Murray #5 · G · 6'4" 180 · 30	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	47%	48	28	15	10	16	27	14	34	14-16	88%	36-63	57%	7-36	19%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.00 50.0%

NOP

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

62%

NOP

63%

Midrange

WAS

29%

NOP

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

18.0

29%

44%

NOP

10.5

19%

29%

Free Throws

WAS

71%

NOP

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	14	47%	7.0 / 15
K. George	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Sarr	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Dybantsa	12	60%	6.0 / 10
W. Riley	11	61%	5.5 / 9
T. Young	7	25%	3.5 / 14
T. Johnson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Keels	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Middleton	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Williams	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Ayton	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Livingston	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Coulibaly	3	38%	1.5 / 4
F. Okpara	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Carrington	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Fears	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Z. Williamson	11	37%	5.5 / 15
T. Murphy	11	55%	5.5 / 10
B. Mathurin	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Poole	8	44%	4.0 / 9
Y. Missi	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Matković	6	43%	3.0 / 7
H. Jones	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. McGowens	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Watford	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Queen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Pierre	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Reese	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 105.1 23 104.5	WAS 98.1 NOP 98.2 +0.0
Pace	7 105.0 5 105.8	WAS 109.2 +1.4 NOP 107.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 13.5 15 14.0	WAS 13.2 −0.2 NOP 13.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.5% 26 49.7%	WAS 46.2% NOP 47.0% +0.8%
TO %	28 21.3% 14 16.1%	WAS 18.0% NOP 14.5% −3.5%
ORB %	8 31.1% 12 29.7%	WAS 32.0% +3.4% NOP 28.6%
FTrt	2 42.5 10 35.8	WAS 34.1 +17.9 NOP 16.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 66.2% 29 61.2%	WAS 58.3% NOP 65.1% +6.8%
STL %	13 10.0% 3 12.5%	WAS 9.3% NOP 13.8% +4.5%
BLK %	28 7.3% 1 19.3%	WAS 9.5% NOP 20.0% +10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.99 and 2.99.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 55.7% 27 52.1%	WAS 50.0% +2.7% NOP 47.3%
Rim FG%	2 70.4% 20 62.1%	WAS 62.1% NOP 62.8% +0.7%
Mid FG%	31 26.7% 30 29.6%	WAS 28.6% NOP 45.0% +16.4%
3P %	8 36.6% 25 33.1%	WAS 29.3% +9.9% NOP 19.4%
FT %	14 76.1% 21 73.0%	WAS 71.0% NOP 87.5% +16.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.2% 2 37.5%	WAS 31.9% NOP 43.4% +11.6%
Mid Att. %	16 23.1% 15 23.0%	WAS 23.1% NOP 20.2% −2.9%
3P Att. %	20 43.7% 28 39.5%	WAS 45.1% +8.7% NOP 36.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Game Totals	WAS	NOP
Possessions	108	109
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	106	107
Rebounds	51	48
Assists	21	28
Steals	10	15
Blocks	6	10
Turnovers (Team)	23 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	21	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (4)	34 (4)
Field Goals	36-91	43-99
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	27-43
Midrange FG	6-21	9-20
2-Point FG	24-50	36-63
3-Point FG	12-41	7-36
Free Throws	22-31	14-16
Fast Break Pts	15	22
2nd Chance Pts	21	17
Points in Paint	42	62
Pts off Turnovers	22	23
Bench Points	47	60
Biggest Lead	4	14

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

	WAS	132
	ATL	139 ◀

	BOS	119 ◀
	CHA	80

	PHI	95
	CLE	119 ◀

	UTA	100
	DAL	112 ◀

	OKC	128 ◀
	MEM	97

	TOR	121 ◀
	MIL	107

	POR	118
	LAL	124 ◀

	SAS	124 ◀
	SAC	109

	DEN	114 ◀
	IND	102

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg