Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 16, 2026

Final				ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Kings	97	90.7	107	117.5
		Spurs	126	117.8	107	98.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-20

SAS

+19

-19

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.98 49.0%

SAS

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 32	30.0	20	67%	3	3	3	0	2	3	0	3	7-7	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	29.8	14	50%	10	1	0	0	5	4	2	8	5-10	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Ben Simmons #25 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 30	25.9	14	64%	8	7	1	0	5	4	0	8	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Darius Acuff Jr. #5 · PG · 6'2" 186 · 20	18.8	13	46%	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	16.8	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%

Emanuel Sharp #34 · G · 6'3" 208 · 23	24.8	3	15%	1	2	4	0	2	4	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · F · 6'8" 243 · 27	22.4	13	81%	4	2	1	0	2	3	1	3	1-3	33%	6-6	100%	0-1	0%
De'Andre Hunter #15 · F-G · 6'7" 221 · 29	20.0	2	20%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Nique Clifford #10 · G · 6'5" 175 · 25	18.5	5	50%	4	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Mogbo #22 · F · 6'9" 225 · 25	12.0	4	50%	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Tristen Newton #00 · G · 6'5" 190 · 25	12.0	1	17%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alex Karaban #33 · F · 6'7" 225 · 24	5.0	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · G-F · 6'4" 216 · 28	4.1	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Adam Flagler #20 · G · 6'1" 180 · 27	DNP
#50 · F · 6'11" 247 · 25	DNP
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 25	DNP
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 24	DNP
Leaky Black #19 · F · 6'7" 209 · 27	DNP
Elfrid Payton #3 · G · 6'4" 195 · 33	DNP
Malik Monk #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	42	19	13	6	20	25	7	35	23-34	68%	28-57	49%	6-25	24%

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Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 32	30.0	20	67%	3	3	3	0	2	3	0	3	7-7	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	29.8	14	50%	10	1	0	0	5	4	2	8	5-10	50%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Ben Simmons #25 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 30	25.9	14	64%	8	7	1	0	5	4	0	8	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Darius Acuff Jr. #5 · PG · 6'2" 186 · 20	18.8	13	46%	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	16.8	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%

Emanuel Sharp #34 · G · 6'3" 208 · 23	24.8	3	15%	1	2	4	0	2	4	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · F · 6'8" 243 · 27	22.4	13	81%	4	2	1	0	2	3	1	3	1-3	33%	6-6	100%	0-1	0%
De'Andre Hunter #15 · F-G · 6'7" 221 · 29	20.0	2	20%	2	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Nique Clifford #10 · G · 6'5" 175 · 25	18.5	5	50%	4	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Jonathan Mogbo #22 · F · 6'9" 225 · 25	12.0	4	50%	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Tristen Newton #00 · G · 6'5" 190 · 25	12.0	1	17%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alex Karaban #33 · F · 6'7" 225 · 24	5.0	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · G-F · 6'4" 216 · 28	4.1	5	63%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Adam Flagler #20 · G · 6'1" 180 · 27	DNP
#50 · F · 6'11" 247 · 25	DNP
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 25	DNP
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 24	DNP
Leaky Black #19 · F · 6'7" 209 · 27	DNP
Elfrid Payton #3 · G · 6'4" 195 · 33	DNP
Malik Monk #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 29	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	42	19	13	6	20	25	7	35	23-34	68%	28-57	49%	6-25	24%

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San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	23.4	13	72%	5	5	2	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 29	22.5	16	80%	6	3	0	0	2	0	2	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Devin Vassell #24 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 26	21.5	12	60%	6	4	1	1	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	20.6	19	73%	0	4	1	0	2	2	0	0	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 23	17.4	14	70%	8	2	2	2	0	1	3	5	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%

Keldon Johnson #3 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 27	20.5	15	58%	5	2	0	0	0	3	4	1	6-9	67%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · F · 6'7" 217 · 25	17.4	9	38%	4	2	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	3-10	30%
Carter Bryant #11 · F · 6'6" 220 · 21	16.8	5	36%	8	0	0	0	1	3	3	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Tarris Reed Jr. #10 · C · 6'10" 260 · 23	14.1	2	50%	8	2	1	0	3	3	1	7	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #7 · C-F · 7'1" 250 · 31	13.3	1	17%	3	0	0	1	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · F · 6'7" 225 · 34	13.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · G · 5'11" 185 · 31	10.1	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
David Jones Garcia #25 · G · 6'4" 210 · 25	9.8	2	25%	1	0	1	0	3	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Ja'Kobi Gillespie #17 · G · 6'0" 182 · 23	9.8	11	79%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Maliq Brown #15 · F · 6'8" 217 · 23	9.7	4	50%	4	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Tobias Harris #23 · F · 6'8" 226 · 34	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	56%	57	27	8	2	19	25	19	38	21-28	75%	27-47	57%	17-51	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.98 49.0%

SAS

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

58%

SAS

70%

Midrange

SAC

38%

SAS

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

9.0

24%

36%

SAS

25.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAC

68%

SAS

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	20	67%	10.0 / 15
D. Sabonis	14	50%	7.0 / 14
B. Simmons	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Acuff	13	46%	6.5 / 14
P. Achiuwa	13	81%	6.5 / 8
N. Clifford	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Plowden	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Mogbo	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Murray	3	30%	1.5 / 5
E. Sharp	3	15%	1.5 / 10
D. Hunter	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Newton	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Harper	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Fox	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Johnson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
V. Wembanyama	14	70%	7.0 / 10
S. Castle	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Vassell	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Gillespie	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Champagnie	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Bryant	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Brown	4	50%	2.0 / 4
H. Barnes	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Reed	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Jones Garcia	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Kornet	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 3 118.9	SAC 90.7 SAS 117.8 +27.1
Pace	17 100.0 13 100.5	SAC 117.5 +19.3 SAS 98.2
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 19 14.1	SAC 12.3 −2.4 SAS 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 8 55.9%	SAC 45.1% SAS 53.6% +8.5%
TO %	15 13.7% 4 12.5%	SAC 17.1% SAS 15.3% −1.8%
ORB %	13 25.9% 11 26.2%	SAC 15.6% SAS 35.2% +19.6%
FTrt	19 25.6 12 27.3	SAC 41.5 +12.9 SAS 28.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 13 64.6%	SAC 55.9% SAS 61.4% +5.5%
STL %	21 8.0% 25 7.4%	SAC 12.1% +4.6% SAS 7.5%
BLK %	21 8.7% 17 9.1%	SAC 12.8% +9.3% SAS 3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 6 58.1%	SAC 49.0% SAS 55.8% +6.8%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 9 65.7%	SAC 58.1% SAS 69.7% +11.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 5 45.1%	SAC 38.5% +9.9% SAS 28.6%
3P %	30 34.1% 15 35.9%	SAC 24.0% SAS 33.3% +9.3%
FT %	21 77.2% 12 78.7%	SAC 67.6% SAS 75.0% +7.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 7 34.4%	SAC 37.8% +4.1% SAS 33.7%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 7 23.4%	SAC 31.7% SAS 14.3% −17.4%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 15 42.2%	SAC 30.5% SAS 52.0% +21.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	97	126
Rebounds	42	57
Assists	19	27
Steals	13	8
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	25	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (0)	19 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	38 (0)
Field Goals	34-82	44-98
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	23-33
Midrange FG	10-26	4-14
2-Point FG	28-57	27-47
3-Point FG	6-25	17-51
Free Throws	23-34	21-28
Fast Break Pts	26	22
2nd Chance Pts	11	21
Points in Paint	50	52
Pts off Turnovers	18	25
Bench Points	33	52
Biggest Lead	2	37

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg

Last Season Avg