Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 16, 2026

Final				ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets	121	126.0	96	96.3
		Lakers	106	111.6	95	94.7

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-14

LAL

+11

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.32 65.8%

LAL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 32	30.8	17	106%	6	8	2	0	6	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-4	100%	3-4	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 30	30.8	21	62%	3	6	1	0	1	0	0	3	5-5	100%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.8	16	67%	6	1	2	0	0	4	3	3	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Trevon Brazile #7 · PF · 6'10" 226 · 24	26.9	12	75%	8	2	2	2	2	3	0	8	0-3	0%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 31	23.2	12	75%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%

DeMar DeRozan #10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37	26.8	14	70%	1	5	1	2	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Alpha Diallo #11 · · 6'7" 210 · 29	22.8	9	56%	5	1	2	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #3 · F · 6'10" 235 · 28	17.3	13	65%	8	0	1	2	2	5	3	5	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #5 · G · 6'0" 196 · 30	17.3	0	0%	1	8	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bryce Hopkins #13 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24	12.0	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #00 · F · 6'6" 230 · 22	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · F · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP
Aaron Gordon #32 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31	DNP
Ryan Nembhard #9 · G · 5'11" 180 · 24	DNP
Spencer Jones #21 · F · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP
Dane Goodwin #20 · G · 6'6" 214 · 27	DNP
Emanuel Miller #8 · F · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP
#43 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	DNP
Julian Strawther #1 · G · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP
Zeke Nnaji #22 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	66%	47	32	12	4	14	21	8	39	18-25	72%	35-52	67%	11-27	41%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 32	30.8	17	106%	6	8	2	0	6	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-4	100%	3-4	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 30	30.8	21	62%	3	6	1	0	1	0	0	3	5-5	100%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.8	16	67%	6	1	2	0	0	4	3	3	4-5	80%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Trevon Brazile #7 · PF · 6'10" 226 · 24	26.9	12	75%	8	2	2	2	2	3	0	8	0-3	0%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 31	23.2	12	75%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%

DeMar DeRozan #10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37	26.8	14	70%	1	5	1	2	1	2	0	1	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Alpha Diallo #11 · · 6'7" 210 · 29	22.8	9	56%	5	1	2	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #3 · F · 6'10" 235 · 28	17.3	13	65%	8	0	1	2	2	5	3	5	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #5 · G · 6'0" 196 · 30	17.3	0	0%	1	8	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bryce Hopkins #13 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24	12.0	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #00 · F · 6'6" 230 · 22	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · F · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP
Aaron Gordon #32 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31	DNP
Ryan Nembhard #9 · G · 5'11" 180 · 24	DNP
Spencer Jones #21 · F · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP
Dane Goodwin #20 · G · 6'6" 214 · 27	DNP
Emanuel Miller #8 · F · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP
#43 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	DNP
Julian Strawther #1 · G · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP
Zeke Nnaji #22 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	66%	47	32	12	4	14	21	8	39	18-25	72%	35-52	67%	11-27	41%

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Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Walker Kessler #14 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	30.9	6	33%	6	4	1	2	1	3	2	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	30.8	19	59%	5	3	1	0	6	1	1	4	8-12	67%	4-4	100%	1-7	14%
Matisse Thybulle #26 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 30	24.8	7	50%	5	3	1	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 28	18.6	15	63%	4	2	1	1	5	2	0	4	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Ziaire Williams #11 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 25	10.6	14	100%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%

Quentin Grimes #5 · G · 6'5" 207 · 26	28.1	11	61%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · F · 6'7" 235 · 25	22.9	3	30%	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 27	20.6	15	68%	8	4	1	1	0	0	2	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Jaden Hardy #7 · G · 6'3" 198 · 24	13.9	13	72%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Bronny James #9 · G · 6'2" 210 · 22	12.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #55 · F · 6'9" 222 · 31	8.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · F · 6'6" 215 · 25	7.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · G · 6'4" 209 · 25	5.5	3	38%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
#18 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	5.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Adou Thiero #1 · G · 6'7" 220 · 22	DNP
Arthur Kaluma #47 · F · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP
#29 · F · 6'6" 200 · 26	DNP
Cameron Carr #43 · G · 6'5" 184 · 22	DNP
Collin Sexton #10 · G · 6'3" 190 · 28	DNP
AK Okereke #31 · F · 6'7" 244 · 23	DNP
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · F · 6'8" 214 · 28	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	37	26	5	6	14	22	11	26	19-25	76%	18-39	46%	17-43	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.32 65.8%

LAL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

74%

LAL

48%

Midrange

DEN

62%

LAL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

41%

61%

LAL

25.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

72%

LAL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	21	62%	10.5 / 17
N. Jokić	17	106%	8.5 / 8
C. Braun	16	67%	8.0 / 12
D. DeRozan	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Bagley	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Brazile	12	75%	6.0 / 8
C. Johnson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Diallo	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Hopkins	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Whitmore	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Reaves	19	59%	9.5 / 16
L. Dončić	15	63%	7.5 / 12
S. Mamukelashvili	15	68%	7.5 / 11
Z. Williams	14	100%	7.0 / 7
J. Hardy	13	72%	6.5 / 9
Q. Grimes	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Thybulle	7	50%	3.5 / 7
W. Kessler	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. LaRavia	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Mañon	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. James	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Knecht	0	-	0.0 / 1
R. Castro	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 10 117.1	DEN 126.0 +14.5 LAL 111.6
Pace	19 99.4 21 99.2	DEN 96.3 +1.5 LAL 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 7 14.8	DEN 15.0 −0.2 LAL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 2 57.3%	DEN 65.2% +12.2% LAL 53.0%
TO %	3 12.1% 19 13.9%	DEN 13.5% LAL 13.1% −0.4%
ORB %	24 23.6% 22 23.9%	DEN 23.5% +1.5% LAL 22.0%
FTrt	4 29.4 1 32.0	DEN 31.6 +1.1 LAL 30.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 19 61.5%	DEN 69.6% LAL 74.3% +4.7%
STL %	30 6.8% 12 8.6%	DEN 12.5% +7.2% LAL 5.3%
BLK %	28 8.1% 30 7.8%	DEN 10.3% LAL 11.5% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 2 59.4%	DEN 65.8% +9.4% LAL 56.4%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 1 72.0%	DEN 73.9% +25.9% LAL 48.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 4 46.8%	DEN 62.1% +19.2% LAL 42.9%
3P %	1 39.6% 14 35.9%	DEN 40.7% +1.2% LAL 39.5%
FT %	5 80.8% 26 76.3%	DEN 72.0% LAL 76.0% +4.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 21 30.7%	DEN 29.1% LAL 30.5% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 26 30.0%	DEN 36.7% LAL 17.1% −19.6%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 22 39.4%	DEN 34.2% LAL 52.4% +18.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	121	106
Rebounds	47	37
Assists	32	26
Steals	12	5
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	21	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (0)	11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	26 (0)
Field Goals	46-79	35-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	12-25
Midrange FG	18-29	6-14
2-Point FG	35-52	18-39
3-Point FG	11-27	17-43
Free Throws	18-25	19-25
Fast Break Pts	11	8
2nd Chance Pts	11	9
Points in Paint	56	30
Pts off Turnovers	16	27
Bench Points	43	45
Biggest Lead	17	2

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg

Last Season Avg