Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 11, 2026

Final				ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Bulls	128	124.3	103	108.4
		Nuggets	133	125.5	106	101.0

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+13

-18

DEN

+16

-15

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.23 61.5%

DEN

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Wilson #8 · PF · 6'9" 211 · 20	25.3	17	65%	4	5	0	1	5	3	1	3	4-7	57%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 24	24.4	7	70%	1	8	1	1	1	0	0	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 22	22.5	13	59%	6	3	0	1	2	3	0	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 27	14.2	11	92%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 26	12.5	5	125%	1	0	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%

Noa Essengue #2 · F · 6'8" 194 · 20	22.6	8	44%	6	2	1	0	1	2	4	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Leonard Miller #11 · F · 6'10" 220 · 23	22.1	26	93%	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	7-8	88%	4-6	67%
Buddy Hield #7 · G · 6'4" 220 · 34	19.4	15	94%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Patrick Williams #44 · F · 6'6" 235 · 25	15.7	6	38%	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Dailyn Swain #5 · F · 6'7" 211 · 21	15.3	0	0%	1	2	1	1	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Orlando Robinson #00 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	11.7	8	57%	6	2	0	1	1	4	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #15 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24	10.3	6	60%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Tre Jones #30 · G · 6'1" 190 · 27	9.8	0	0%	1	5	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Bridges #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 25	7.1	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Drew Peterson #21 · F · 6'8" 205 · 27	7.1	3	75%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nic Claxton #9 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	DNP
Brandon Boston #13 · G · 6'6" 188 · 25	DNP
Zach Collins #12 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29	DNP
Norman Powell #24 · G · 6'4" 215 · 33	DNP
Tobe Awaka #19 · F · 6'8" 250 · 23	DNP
Jaylin Sellers #22 · G · 6'4" 180 · 23	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	40	34	8	3	18	31	13	27	13-18	72%	26-43	60%	21-50	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Wilson #8 · PF · 6'9" 211 · 20	25.3	17	65%	4	5	0	1	5	3	1	3	4-7	57%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 24	24.4	7	70%	1	8	1	1	1	0	0	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 22	22.5	13	59%	6	3	0	1	2	3	0	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 27	14.2	11	92%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 26	12.5	5	125%	1	0	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%

Noa Essengue #2 · F · 6'8" 194 · 20	22.6	8	44%	6	2	1	0	1	2	4	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Leonard Miller #11 · F · 6'10" 220 · 23	22.1	26	93%	7	2	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	7-8	88%	4-6	67%
Buddy Hield #7 · G · 6'4" 220 · 34	19.4	15	94%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Patrick Williams #44 · F · 6'6" 235 · 25	15.7	6	38%	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Dailyn Swain #5 · F · 6'7" 211 · 21	15.3	0	0%	1	2	1	1	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Orlando Robinson #00 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	11.7	8	57%	6	2	0	1	1	4	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hawkins #15 · G · 6'4" 190 · 24	10.3	6	60%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Tre Jones #30 · G · 6'1" 190 · 27	9.8	0	0%	1	5	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Bridges #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 25	7.1	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Drew Peterson #21 · F · 6'8" 205 · 27	7.1	3	75%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nic Claxton #9 · C · 6'11" 215 · 27	DNP
Brandon Boston #13 · G · 6'6" 188 · 25	DNP
Zach Collins #12 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29	DNP
Norman Powell #24 · G · 6'4" 215 · 33	DNP
Tobe Awaka #19 · F · 6'8" 250 · 23	DNP
Jaylin Sellers #22 · G · 6'4" 180 · 23	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	40	34	8	3	18	31	13	27	13-18	72%	26-43	60%	21-50	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 32	26.5	22	73%	11	10	0	1	4	2	4	7	5-7	71%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 30	26.0	13	50%	3	5	0	0	2	1	1	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 31	24.9	15	94%	3	1	2	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.9	2	17%	5	1	1	1	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	22.7	25	89%	6	0	0	0	2	2	2	4	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	3-4	75%

Julian Strawther #1 · G · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.5	13	54%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-6	50%
Bryce Hopkins #13 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24	16.4	10	71%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	6-8	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · F · 6'9" 225 · 24	15.0	11	61%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	4-8	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #5 · G · 6'0" 196 · 30	13.2	4	67%	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Alpha Diallo #11 · · 6'7" 210 · 29	13.1	2	20%	4	0	3	0	0	1	4	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37	9.4	2	20%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Trevon Brazile #7 · F · 6'10" 226 · 24	9.3	3	75%	5	0	0	1	0	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #00 · F · 6'6" 230 · 22	8.8	4	67%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · G · 5'11" 180 · 24	8.8	3	75%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	6.5	4	40%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
#99 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	DNP
Emanuel Miller #8 · F · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP
Dane Goodwin #20 · G · 6'6" 214 · 27	DNP
Spencer Jones #21 · F · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP
Lonnie Walker IV #4 · G · 6'5" 196 · 28	DNP
Marvin Bagley III #3 · F · 6'10" 235 · 28	DNP
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	61%	53	26	9	5	15	16	16	37	32-46	70%	31-55	56%	13-32	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.23 61.5%

DEN

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

77%

DEN

63%

Midrange

CHI

35%

DEN

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

31.5

42%

63%

DEN

19.5

41%

61%

Free Throws

CHI

72%

DEN

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Miller	26	93%	13.0 / 14
C. Wilson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
B. Hield	15	94%	7.5 / 8
M. Buzelis	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Smith	11	92%	5.5 / 6
N. Essengue	8	44%	4.0 / 9
O. Robinson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Giddey	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Williams	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Hawkins	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Okoro	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Bridges	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Peterson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Swain	0	-	0.0 / 4
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	25	89%	12.5 / 14
N. Jokić	22	73%	11.0 / 15
C. Johnson	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Murray	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Strawther	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Holmes	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Hopkins	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Jones	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Whitmore	4	67%	2.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Brazile	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Nembhard	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Braun	2	17%	1.0 / 6
A. Diallo	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. DeRozan	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 1 121.3	CHI 124.3 DEN 125.5 +1.2
Pace	3 103.3 19 99.4	CHI 108.4 +7.5 DEN 101.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.7 10 14.8	CHI 13.3 −1.0 DEN 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.8% 1 57.7%	CHI 61.8% +3.8% DEN 58.0%
TO %	20 14.1% 3 12.1%	CHI 15.1% DEN 12.3% −2.8%
ORB %	27 23.1% 24 23.6%	CHI 26.0% DEN 37.2% +11.2%
FTrt	22 24.6 4 29.4	CHI 19.4 DEN 52.9 +33.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 9 66.5%	CHI 72.3% +13.2% DEN 59.1%
STL %	26 7.4% 30 6.8%	CHI 7.8% DEN 8.5% +0.7%
BLK %	19 8.8% 28 8.1%	CHI 5.5% DEN 11.6% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 1 60.1%	CHI 61.5% +1.0% DEN 60.5%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 12 65.1%	CHI 76.9% +14.4% DEN 62.5%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 2 47.0%	CHI 35.3% DEN 47.8% +12.5%
3P %	19 35.6% 1 39.6%	CHI 42.0% +1.4% DEN 40.6%
FT %	18 77.6% 5 80.8%	CHI 72.2% +2.6% DEN 69.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 19 31.1%	CHI 28.0% DEN 36.8% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 21 28.1%	CHI 18.3% −8.2% DEN 26.4%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 17 40.8%	CHI 53.8% +17.0% DEN 36.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.74 and 2.74.

Game Totals	CHI	DEN
Possessions	103	106
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	128	133
Rebounds	40	53
Assists	34	26
Steals	8	9
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	31	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (0)	16 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (0)	37 (0)
Field Goals	47-93	44-87
At-the-Rim FG	20-26	20-32
Midrange FG	6-17	11-23
2-Point FG	26-43	31-55
3-Point FG	21-50	13-32
Free Throws	13-18	32-46
Fast Break Pts	14	10
2nd Chance Pts	21	20
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	21	14
Bench Points	75	56
Biggest Lead	15	8

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg

Last Season Avg