Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	28%	91	91	101.1	90	93.6
	1	Spurs	72%	98	102	115.9	88	84.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	39.3	8	67%	3	6	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 32	35.0	8	40%	2	0	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 21	34.6	23	61%	8	4	0	1	3	4	6	2	3-5	60%	10-16	63%	0-1	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	32.2	19	48%	2	3	1	0	2	5	1	1	1-2	50%	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 32	31.8	4	33%	11	3	2	2	3	5	3	8	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 29	23.5	13	46%	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-3	33%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	21.6	14	64%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	7.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DerMarr Johnson F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25	7.2	2	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	35	21	6	4	13	0	12	23	9-15	60%	41-77	53%	0-7	0%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	39.3	8	67%	3	6	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 32	35.0	8	40%	2	0	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 21	34.6	23	61%	8	4	0	1	3	4	6	2	3-5	60%	10-16	63%	0-1	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	32.2	19	48%	2	3	1	0	2	5	1	1	1-2	50%	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Marcus Camby C · 6'11" 240 · 32	31.8	4	33%	11	3	2	2	3	5	3	8	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 29	23.5	13	46%	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-3	33%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	21.6	14	64%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	7.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DerMarr Johnson F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25	7.2	2	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	35	21	6	4	13	0	12	23	9-15	60%	41-77	53%	0-7	0%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	37.7	19	50%	10	6	1	4	2	2	5	5	3-4	75%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 23	33.8	26	65%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-1	0%	13-20	65%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	28.7	10	42%	4	2	1	0	3	0	1	3	6-8	75%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	20.2	4	40%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 29	10.3	2	50%	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	27.8	16	73%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-1	100%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	24.9	7	44%	8	3	1	2	0	2	2	6	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	19.3	3	50%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.2	5	50%	0	2	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	14.0	6	75%	4	0	0	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	9.1	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	42	21	5	7	14	0	15	27	16-21	76%	37-69	54%	4-13	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.99 49.5%

SAS

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

18

29

62%

SAS

25

43

58%

Midrange

DEN

23

48

48%

SAS

12

26

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

0%

SAS

4

6.0

13

31%

46%

Free Throws

DEN

9

15

60%

SAS

16

21

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	23	61%	11.5 / 19
K. Martin	19	48%	9.5 / 20
E. Najera	14	64%	7.0 / 11
E. Boykins	13	46%	6.5 / 14
A. Miller	8	67%	4.0 / 6
V. Lenard	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Camby	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Buckner	0	-	0.0 / 1
Nene	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	26	65%	13.0 / 20
T. Duncan	19	50%	9.5 / 19
M. Finley	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. Ginobili	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Horry	7	44%	3.5 / 8
F. Oberto	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Van Exel	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Bowen	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Mohammed	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Barry	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Nesterovic	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 105.6 10 107.1	DEN 101.1 SAS 115.9 +14.8
Pace	2 93.9 23 88.8	DEN 93.6 +8.9 SAS 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.7 4 16.9	DEN 15.4 −1.6 SAS 17.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 48.8% 3 51.3%	DEN 48.8% SAS 52.4% +3.6%
TO %	19 15.1% 14 14.8%	DEN 12.5% −2.4% SAS 14.9%
ORB %	16 26.9% 20 26.1%	DEN 30.8% SAS 39.5% +8.7%
FTrt	10 34.7 27 29.8	DEN 17.9 SAS 25.6 +7.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 62.4% 17 57.4%	DEN 51.2% SAS 51.2%
STL %	2 8.9% 21 7.4%	DEN 6.7% +1.0% SAS 5.7%
BLK %	7 8.8% 9 8.4%	DEN 5.8% SAS 9.1% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.3% 7 53.1%	DEN 49.5% SAS 53.7% +4.2%
Rim FG%	5 59.2% 3 61.7%	DEN 62.1% +4.0% SAS 58.1%
Mid FG%	15 39.7% 21 39.0%	DEN 47.9% +1.7% SAS 46.2%
3P %	30 32.5% 2 38.5%	DEN 0.0% SAS 30.8% +30.8%
FT %	16 74.4% 28 70.2%	DEN 60.0% SAS 76.2% +16.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 38.8% 14 36.7%	DEN 34.5% SAS 52.4% +17.9%
Mid Att. %	17 45.1% 9 41.8%	DEN 57.1% SAS 31.7% −25.4%
3P Att. %	23 16.1% 15 21.5%	DEN 8.3% SAS 15.9% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	90	88
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	91	102
Rebounds	35	42
Assists	21	21
Steals	6	5
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (0)	27 (1)
Field Goals	41-84	41-82
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	25-43
Midrange FG	23-48	12-26
2-Point FG	41-77	37-69
3-Point FG	0-7	4-13
Free Throws	9-15	16-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg