Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Wizards	55%	98	99	103.1	96	101.4
	26	Raptors	45%	97	96	99.0	97	92.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 24	42.3	21	53%	4	7	0	1	2	3	0	4	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	1-4	25%
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 29	37.4	29	63%	9	3	1	0	1	3	2	7	3-6	50%	10-16	63%	2-5	40%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 26	34.4	10	45%	14	0	2	1	3	1	6	8	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 31	19.5	2	25%	1	6	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jared Jeffries F · 6'11" 240 · 24	16.5	4	50%	2	1	0	1	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 26	28.6	11	42%	7	5	0	0	2	4	0	7	5-6	83%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Jarvis Hayes F · 6'8" 228 · 24	22.5	17	65%	3	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 31	19.1	2	25%	0	3	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 28	11.1	1	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Michael Ruffin F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29	8.6	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Donell Taylor G · 6'5" 193 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	44	28	4	4	12	0	10	34	13-24	54%	37-70	53%	4-15	27%

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17 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 24	42.3	21	53%	4	7	0	1	2	3	0	4	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	1-4	25%
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 29	37.4	29	63%	9	3	1	0	1	3	2	7	3-6	50%	10-16	63%	2-5	40%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 26	34.4	10	45%	14	0	2	1	3	1	6	8	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 31	19.5	2	25%	1	6	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jared Jeffries F · 6'11" 240 · 24	16.5	4	50%	2	1	0	1	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 26	28.6	11	42%	7	5	0	0	2	4	0	7	5-6	83%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Jarvis Hayes F · 6'8" 228 · 24	22.5	17	65%	3	3	1	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 31	19.1	2	25%	0	3	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 28	11.1	1	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Michael Ruffin F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29	8.6	2	50%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Donell Taylor G · 6'5" 193 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	44	28	4	4	12	0	10	34	13-24	54%	37-70	53%	4-15	27%

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26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Rose G · 6'8" 215 · 33	39.4	20	59%	3	4	0	1	5	5	0	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 22	38.4	17	43%	14	1	1	1	1	3	5	9	3-4	75%	7-18	39%	0-1	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 30	31.3	11	46%	5	7	1	0	1	3	0	5	4-5	80%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Joey Graham F · 6'7" 230 · 23	20.3	7	50%	5	2	1	0	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Loren Woods C · 7'2" 260 · 27	12.2	4	67%	9	0	0	1	1	4	3	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 28	31.7	16	62%	2	4	0	0	2	4	0	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 21	31.0	11	46%	6	0	0	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 24	16.7	5	83%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26	14.0	3	19%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Rafael Araujo C · 6'11" 270 · 25	5.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alvin Williams G · 6'5" 195 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Aaron Williams C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	49%	48	21	4	3	16	0	14	34	17-20	85%	26-62	42%	9-26	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.0%

TOR

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

25

37

68%

TOR

14

25

56%

Midrange

WAS

12

33

36%

TOR

12

37

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

4

6.0

15

27%

40%

TOR

9

13.5

26

35%

52%

Free Throws

WAS

13

24

54%

TOR

17

20

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jamison	29	63%	14.5 / 23
G. Arenas	21	53%	10.5 / 20
J. Hayes	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Butler	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. Haywood	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Jeffries	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Daniels	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Atkins	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Ruffin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
E. Thomas	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Rose	20	59%	10.0 / 17
C. Bosh	17	43%	8.5 / 20
M. Peterson	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. James	11	46%	5.5 / 12
C. Villanueva	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Graham	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Calderon	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Woods	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Bonner	3	19%	1.5 / 8
R. Araujo	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 108.6 5 108.7	WAS 103.1 +4.2 TOR 99.0
Pace	5 93.0 13 91.8	WAS 101.4 +9.3 TOR 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	23 15.3 16 15.7	WAS 14.2 −1.4 TOR 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 48.4% 6 50.0%	WAS 50.6% +5.7% TOR 44.9%
TO %	6 14.3% 3 13.4%	WAS 12.0% −2.2% TOR 14.2%
ORB %	6 29.5% 26 25.5%	WAS 22.7% TOR 29.2% +6.5%
FTrt	3 37.5 23 31.5	WAS 28.2 +5.5 TOR 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 51.2% 26 52.9%	WAS 68.3% +8.3% TOR 60.0%
STL %	3 8.6% 27 7.0%	WAS 4.2% +0.1% TOR 4.1%
BLK %	22 6.6% 30 5.3%	WAS 6.5% +2.2% TOR 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.4% 5 53.4%	WAS 51.0% +2.5% TOR 48.5%
Rim FG%	11 58.0% 14 57.4%	WAS 67.6% +11.6% TOR 56.0%
Mid FG%	27 37.8% 7 41.3%	WAS 36.4% +4.0% TOR 32.4%
3P %	15 35.7% 7 37.5%	WAS 26.7% TOR 34.6% +7.9%
FT %	12 75.7% 2 79.1%	WAS 54.2% TOR 85.0% +30.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 36.3% 27 31.1%	WAS 43.5% +15.1% TOR 28.4%
Mid Att. %	12 42.8% 16 44.5%	WAS 38.8% −3.2% TOR 42.0%
3P Att. %	16 20.9% 5 24.4%	WAS 17.6% TOR 29.5% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	TOR
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	99	96
Rebounds	44	48
Assists	28	21
Steals	4	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	34 (3)
Field Goals	41-85	35-88
At-the-Rim FG	25-37	14-25
Midrange FG	12-33	12-37
2-Point FG	37-70	26-62
3-Point FG	4-15	9-26
Free Throws	13-24	17-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg