Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Mavericks	58%	95	82	95.3	86	93.7
	21	Jazz	42%	93	93	106.9	87	80.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 27	36.2	16	42%	6	0	1	3	1	2	1	5	5-6	83%	4-11	36%	1-6	17%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	31.3	21	62%	4	2	2	1	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	9-13	69%	1-4	25%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 35	30.9	4	25%	5	2	1	0	2	2	2	3	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Josh Howard F · 6'7" 210 · 26	29.6	11	34%	4	1	1	0	1	5	3	1	5-6	83%	3-13	23%	0-0	-
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 30	15.0	1	17%	4	0	0	0	1	4	2	2	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Keith Van Horn F · 6'10" 245 · 30	31.6	11	46%	11	3	1	1	6	5	4	7	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 24	23.4	0	0%	5	0	0	4	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 25	22.9	8	57%	4	0	1	0	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 23	14.2	7	58%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 37	5.0	3	150%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	45%	44	10	10	9	15	0	15	29	21-31	68%	26-63	41%	3-14	21%

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2 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 27	36.2	16	42%	6	0	1	3	1	2	1	5	5-6	83%	4-11	36%	1-6	17%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	31.3	21	62%	4	2	2	1	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	9-13	69%	1-4	25%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 35	30.9	4	25%	5	2	1	0	2	2	2	3	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Josh Howard F · 6'7" 210 · 26	29.6	11	34%	4	1	1	0	1	5	3	1	5-6	83%	3-13	23%	0-0	-
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 30	15.0	1	17%	4	0	0	0	1	4	2	2	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Keith Van Horn F · 6'10" 245 · 30	31.6	11	46%	11	3	1	1	6	5	4	7	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 24	23.4	0	0%	5	0	0	4	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 25	22.9	8	57%	4	0	1	0	2	2	2	2	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 23	14.2	7	58%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 37	5.0	3	150%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	45%	44	10	10	9	15	0	15	29	21-31	68%	26-63	41%	3-14	21%

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21 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 25	39.8	7	25%	10	5	1	6	0	1	2	8	3-8	38%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Mehmet Okur F · 6'11" 260 · 26	37.3	27	71%	8	1	0	2	5	4	3	5	5-5	100%	8-15	53%	2-2	100%
Keith McLeod G · 6'2" 190 · 26	21.2	10	71%	2	3	1	0	1	4	0	2	3-5	60%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Gordan Giricek G · 6'6" 220 · 28	21.2	9	45%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Greg Ostertag C · 7'2" 280 · 33	18.6	2	50%	6	0	0	5	1	3	4	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 21	26.3	18	64%	3	3	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	3-4	75%
Jarron Collins C · 6'11" 249 · 27	23.8	4	50%	8	0	1	1	2	5	3	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Matt Harpring F · 6'7" 230 · 29	22.1	8	44%	6	0	1	1	1	1	1	5	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 27	16.3	4	67%	2	2	0	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 28	7.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 21	5.6	4	67%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Robert Whaley C · 6'10" 260 · 24	\| DNP - League suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	52%	50	15	6	15	16	0	14	36	22-34	65%	25-64	39%	7-10	70%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

0.89 44.6%

UTA

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

10

21

48%

UTA

15

29

52%

Midrange

DAL

16

42

38%

UTA

10

35

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

3

4.5

14

21%

32%

UTA

7

10.5

10

70%

105%

Free Throws

DAL

21

31

68%

UTA

22

34

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Terry	21	62%	10.5 / 17
D. Nowitzki	16	42%	8.0 / 19
J. Howard	11	34%	5.5 / 16
K. Van Horn	11	46%	5.5 / 12
M. Daniels	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Harris	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Christie	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. Armstrong	3	150%	1.5 / 1
E. Dampier	1	17%	0.5 / 3
D. Diop	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Okur	27	71%	13.5 / 19
D. Williams	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. McLeod	10	71%	5.0 / 7
G. Giricek	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Harpring	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Kirilenko	7	25%	3.5 / 14
J. Collins	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Brown	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Humphries	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Ostertag	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Palacio	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 111.3 24 103.6	DAL 95.3 UTA 106.9 +11.5
Pace	25 88.2 24 88.3	DAL 93.7 +13.4 UTA 80.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.9 1 17.4	DAL 15.4 −2.6 UTA 17.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 49.5% 28 46.7%	DAL 39.6% UTA 48.0% +8.4%
TO %	8 14.4% 28 16.6%	DAL 14.2% −1.0% UTA 15.2%
ORB %	2 31.9% 1 32.4%	DAL 29.4% UTA 32.6% +3.2%
FTrt	5 36.4 2 39.7	DAL 40.3 UTA 45.9 +5.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 50.0% 3 64.6%	DAL 34.5% UTA 46.9% +12.4%
STL %	9 8.1% 25 7.2%	DAL 11.6% +4.7% UTA 6.9%
BLK %	3 9.4% 1 10.3%	DAL 14.1% UTA 23.8% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 53.3% 27 50.0%	DAL 44.6% UTA 51.7% +7.1%
Rim FG%	24 55.4% 19 56.5%	DAL 47.6% UTA 51.7% +4.1%
Mid FG%	2 43.4% 28 37.5%	DAL 38.1% +9.5% UTA 28.6%
3P %	9 37.4% 26 33.6%	DAL 21.4% UTA 70.0% +48.6%
FT %	6 78.3% 25 71.9%	DAL 67.7% +3.0% UTA 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 32.5% 10 38.3%	DAL 27.3% UTA 39.2% +11.9%
Mid Att. %	28 50.0% 23 46.8%	DAL 54.5% UTA 47.3% −7.2%
3P Att. %	21 17.5% 25 14.9%	DAL 18.2% +4.7% UTA 13.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	UTA
Possessions	86	87
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	82	93
Rebounds	44	50
Assists	10	15
Steals	10	6
Blocks	9	15
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	36 (2)
Field Goals	29-77	32-74
At-the-Rim FG	10-21	15-29
Midrange FG	16-42	10-35
2-Point FG	26-63	25-64
3-Point FG	3-14	7-10
Free Throws	21-31	22-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg