Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Pacers	33%	88	105	111.7	94	96.1
	5	Heat	67%	94	102	109.7	93	91.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 26	39.7	22	61%	4	1	2	0	0	2	1	3	7-10	70%	6-12	50%	1-1	100%
Jermaine O'Neal C · 6'11" 255 · 27	38.3	27	54%	9	2	1	1	1	5	2	7	7-10	70%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Jamaal Tinsley G · 6'3" 188 · 28	35.2	13	59%	4	6	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Austin Croshere F · 6'10" 240 · 31	29.0	11	79%	8	1	1	0	0	3	1	7	5-5	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Stephen Jackson G · 6'8" 220 · 28	27.7	11	37%	4	4	1	0	0	4	2	2	4-4	100%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%

Fred Jones G · 6'2" 225 · 27	29.5	3	50%	4	0	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Sarunas Jasikevicius · 6'4" 197 · 30	12.8	9	75%	1	2	2	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23	11.8	5	42%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
David Harrison C · 7'0" 280 · 23	11.4	4	100%	3	0	0	0	4	5	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Samaki Walker F · 6'9" 260 · 30	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Johnson G · 6'3" 195 · 31	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eddie Gill G · 6'0" 190 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonathan Bender F · 7'0" 230 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	39	17	8	2	11	0	9	30	26-33	79%	32-67	48%	5-10	50%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 26	39.7	22	61%	4	1	2	0	0	2	1	3	7-10	70%	6-12	50%	1-1	100%
Jermaine O'Neal C · 6'11" 255 · 27	38.3	27	54%	9	2	1	1	1	5	2	7	7-10	70%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Jamaal Tinsley G · 6'3" 188 · 28	35.2	13	59%	4	6	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Austin Croshere F · 6'10" 240 · 31	29.0	11	79%	8	1	1	0	0	3	1	7	5-5	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Stephen Jackson G · 6'8" 220 · 28	27.7	11	37%	4	4	1	0	0	4	2	2	4-4	100%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%

Fred Jones G · 6'2" 225 · 27	29.5	3	50%	4	0	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Sarunas Jasikevicius · 6'4" 197 · 30	12.8	9	75%	1	2	2	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23	11.8	5	42%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
David Harrison C · 7'0" 280 · 23	11.4	4	100%	3	0	0	0	4	5	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Samaki Walker F · 6'9" 260 · 30	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Johnson G · 6'3" 195 · 31	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Eddie Gill G · 6'0" 190 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonathan Bender F · 7'0" 230 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	39	17	8	2	11	0	9	30	26-33	79%	32-67	48%	5-10	50%

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5 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 24	44.0	31	70%	6	10	1	1	5	3	2	4	10-13	77%	9-13	69%	1-4	25%
Antoine Walker F · 6'9" 245 · 29	43.9	12	35%	7	2	1	0	5	5	1	6	1-4	25%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 25	31.9	14	64%	8	1	1	0	0	5	2	6	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Shaquille O'Neal C · 7'1" 325 · 34	29.1	18	60%	6	1	0	4	3	5	2	4	6-8	75%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 30	26.8	3	19%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-4	25%

Gary Payton G · 6'4" 190 · 37	29.2	8	57%	6	2	2	0	0	3	1	5	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 25	17.6	4	67%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Alonzo Mourning C · 6'10" 261 · 36	17.1	12	67%	5	0	0	3	3	1	2	3	4-10	40%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Earl Barron F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wayne Simien F · 6'9" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Matt Walsh G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	41	19	5	8	16	0	10	31	27-42	64%	33-59	56%	3-16	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.12 55.9%

MIA

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

14

23

61%

MIA

24

32

75%

Midrange

IND

18

44

41%

MIA

9

27

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

5

7.5

10

50%

75%

MIA

3

4.5

16

19%

28%

Free Throws

IND

26

33

79%

MIA

27

42

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal	27	54%	13.5 / 25
M. World Peace	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Tinsley	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Croshere	11	79%	5.5 / 7
S. Jackson	11	37%	5.5 / 15
S. Jasikevicius	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Granger	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Harrison	4	100%	2.0 / 2
F. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	31	70%	15.5 / 22
S. O'Neal	18	60%	9.0 / 15
U. Haslem	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Walker	12	35%	6.0 / 17
A. Mourning	12	67%	6.0 / 9
G. Payton	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Kapono	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Williams	3	19%	1.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 103.9 8 108.0	IND 111.7 +2.0 MIA 109.7
Pace	19 90.1 10 92.2	IND 96.1 +5.2 MIA 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time	12 16.0 13 15.9	IND 15.0 −0.8 MIA 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 48.7% 2 51.7%	IND 51.3% +1.3% MIA 50.0%
TO %	26 16.3% 16 15.0%	IND 11.6% −3.8% MIA 15.4%
ORB %	13 27.1% 17 26.8%	IND 22.5% MIA 25.0% +2.5%
FTrt	12 34.4 6 36.3	IND 42.9 MIA 56.0 +13.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 58.5% 19 55.7%	IND 45.9% MIA 52.8% +6.9%
STL %	10 8.1% 29 6.9%	IND 8.5% +3.1% MIA 5.4%
BLK %	14 7.5% 8 8.5%	IND 3.4% MIA 11.9% +8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 51.7% 2 53.9%	IND 55.9% +3.3% MIA 52.6%
Rim FG%	13 57.7% 1 64.2%	IND 60.9% MIA 75.0% +14.1%
Mid FG%	20 39.0% 22 38.9%	IND 40.9% +7.6% MIA 33.3%
3P %	18 34.9% 20 34.5%	IND 50.0% +31.2% MIA 18.8%
FT %	19 73.7% 29 70.0%	IND 78.8% +14.5% MIA 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 34.3% 6 39.3%	IND 29.9% MIA 42.7% +12.8%
Mid Att. %	8 41.2% 4 38.0%	IND 57.1% MIA 36.0% −21.1%
3P Att. %	4 24.5% 10 22.7%	IND 13.0% MIA 21.3% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	105	102
Rebounds	39	41
Assists	17	19
Steals	8	5
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	31 (2)
Field Goals	37-77	36-75
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	24-32
Midrange FG	18-44	9-27
2-Point FG	32-67	33-59
3-Point FG	5-10	3-16
Free Throws	26-33	27-42
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg